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Osasco vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 82-84
Projected total 165.9
Scheduled
Position#16
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game86.8
Vs
40%
60%
■ OSAS 40%■ CRUZ 60%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#9
Record3-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game78.8
BrazilNBB· Ginásio Geodésico
Other2026-27
Meetings · Osasco v Cruzeiro
21 Nov 2026
OSAS v CRUZ
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
OSAS84
CRUZ92
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Osasco host Cruzeiro in the NBB. Pythia makes Cruzeiro the favourite at 60% and projects 82-84, about 166 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Osasco are 1-5 this season (77.8 scored, 86.8 allowed a game), form WLLLL; Cruzeiro are 3-3 this season (76.2 scored, 78.8 allowed a game), form LLWWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osasco win
40.4%fair 2.48
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cruzeiro win
59.6%fair 1.68
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsasco
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
65-101
65
101
-36
57avg 66
H03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
96-111
96
111
-15
87avg 66
A07/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
77-68
77
68
+9
56avg 66
H11/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
76-73
76
73
+3
68avg 66
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
70-96
70
96
-26
41avg 66
A17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
93-69
93
69
+24
72avg 66
A20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
74-89
74
89
-15
45avg 66
H29/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
81-90
81
90
-9
no box
H05/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
H12/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
15-26
18-23
16-23
19-32
18-22
26-28
33-29
14-19
21-20
23-14
19-15
12-23
26-23
17-17
21-10
20-21
21-20
17-26
12-29
32-17
22-23
18-13
21-16
21-25
18-24
19-26
16-14
16-31
17-19
13-28
35-12
25-27
12-20
16-27
22-19
16-21
25-26
12-17
21-20
165.5Avg total
78.1Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.886.8164.7-9.017%
Season at home (3)76.790.7167.3-14.00%
Season away (3)79.083.0162.0-4.033%
Last 10 (10)78.187.4165.5-9.330%
Last 5 (5)79.485.0164.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.090.7165.7-15.74%
vs Similar (6)80.283.5163.7-3.333%
vs Weaker (1)93.069.0162.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
94-99
94
99
-5
92avg 75
A21/04
NBB
Minas
#3
W
97-81
97
81
+16
94avg 75
H24/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
63avg 75
H26/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
93-103
93
103
-10
83avg 75
A29/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
72-61
72
61
+11
71avg 75
A17/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
74-83
74
83
-9
66avg 75
A19/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
80-89
80
89
-9
40avg 75
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
76-68
76
68
+8
60avg 75
H29/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
78-74
78
74
+4
no box
A03/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
77-98
77
98
-21
no box
A05/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
38-33
22-24
18-19
31-21
12-29
22-18
32-13
9-25
28-27
16-29
21-20
16-24
27-19
15-27
35-33
21-20
12-19
19-9
20-13
22-20
18-14
13-29
21-20
21-16
28-16
11-30
20-27
17-17
21-18
19-10
19-23
16-24
23-21
13-15
26-14
14-23
21-22
17-27
25-26
167.2Avg total
81.5Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.278.8155.0-2.750%
Season at home (2)78.078.5156.5-0.550%
Season away (4)75.279.0154.2-3.850%
Last 10 (10)81.585.7167.2-4.240%
Last 5 (5)77.082.4159.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)83.893.3177.1-9.519%
vs Similar (7)79.779.7159.4+0.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)81.674.3155.9+7.386%
This opponent (Osasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
80.0%
Under 152
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157
Over 157
70.1%
Under 157
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162
Over 162
58.5%
Under 162
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Osasco total 76
Over 76
70.7%
Under 76
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osasco total 80
Over 80
55.7%
Under 80
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osasco total 84
Over 84
39.9%
Under 84
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cruzeiro total 73
Over 73
87.1%
Under 73
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cruzeiro total 77
Over 77
76.8%
Under 77
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cruzeiro total 81
Over 81
62.9%
Under 81
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Osasco -3
OSAS -3
31.7%
CRUZ +3
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
OSAS
No market prices yet.
CRUZ
No market prices yet.
Spread Osasco 0
OSAS 0
40.4%
CRUZ 0
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
OSAS
No market prices yet.
CRUZ
No market prices yet.
Spread Osasco +3
OSAS +3
49.3%
CRUZ -3
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
OSAS
No market prices yet.
CRUZ
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
OsascoCruzeiro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A07/04
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H29/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H05/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H12/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/11
NBB
85.4Avg total
38.6Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.344.482.8-6.120%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.145.181.2-9.015%-
Last 30 away (17)40.143.984.0-3.924%-
Last 10 (10)38.646.885.4-8.210%-
Last 5 (5)40.846.687.4-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.445.482.8-8.013%-
vs Similar (6)39.341.380.7-2.033%-
vs Weaker (1)54.040.094.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A21/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H24/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H26/04
NBB
Minas
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A29/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A17/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A19/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H29/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A03/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A05/11
NBB
84.2Avg total
41.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.683.0-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.941.184.0+1.864%-
Last 30 away (19)38.843.582.4-4.732%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.184.2-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.278.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.746.787.4-6.025%-
vs Similar (7)42.637.379.9+5.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.338.776.0-1.457%-
This opponent (Osasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osasco: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.6
49.3%
49.8%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.48.9
28.3%
31.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.612.9
69.4%
71.3%12.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.4
50.6%
49.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.0
33.9%
31.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.713.1
74.0%
71.3%13.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osasco
LLLLWLWWLL
Cruzeiro
LWWLLWLLWL
#16
League position
#9
-15.4
Net rating
+1.2
83.1
Offensive rating
92.4
98.5
Defensive rating
91.2
46.0%
Effective FG%
50.7%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.3%
3-point %
33.9%
61.6%
Assist %
73.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence83.1 · 92.4Defence98.5 · 91.2Shooting46.0% · 50.7%3-point %28.3% · 33.9%Ball care15.6% · 15.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Osasco   ■ Cruzeiro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Osasco wins
2
Cruzeiro wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Osasco v Cruzeiro84-92
17/11/25Cruzeiro v Osasco98-76
Osascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ACorinthians Paulista74-84
12/11/26HMogi75-93
05/11/26HSao Jose81-90
29/10/26HPinheiros74-89
20/10/26ACearense93-69
17/10/26AUnifacisa70-96
17/04/26AMogi76-73
11/04/26HPato77-68
07/04/26ACorinthians Paulista96-111
03/04/26HUnifacisa65-101
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26AFranca77-98
03/11/26ABauru78-74
29/10/26HPato76-68
27/10/26HBrasilia80-89
19/10/26AUniao Corinthians74-83
17/10/26ACaxias do Sul72-61
29/04/26AMinas93-103
26/04/26HMinas74-101
24/04/26HMinas97-81
21/04/26AMinas94-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osasco
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game77.876.779.0
Allowed / game86.890.783.0
Point differential-9.0-14.0-4.0
Avg total164.7167.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cruzeiro
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.278.075.2
Allowed / game78.878.579.0
Point differential-2.7-0.5-3.8
Avg total155.0156.5154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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