PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Osceola Magic vs Mexico City Capitanes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 107-103
Projected total 209.1
Final 109-94
31-19 34-23 25-30 19-22
Position#6
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game93.5
Osceola Magic 🏆
USA
Vs
62%
38%
■ OSCE 62%■ MEXI 38%
Pythia win probability
Mexico City Capitanes
USA
Position#10
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game99.3
Allowed / game87.7
USANBA - G League
Other2026-27
Meetings · Osceola Magic v Mexico City Capitanes
12 Nov 2026
OSCE109
MEXI94
22 Dec 2025
OSCE119
MEXI112
13 Nov 2025
OSCE117
MEXI111
15 Nov 2024
OSCE98
MEXI107
14 Nov 2024
OSCE128
MEXI105
16 Dec 2023
OSCE130
MEXI108
05 Feb 2023
OSCE121
MEXI122
26 Nov 2022
OSCE128
MEXI103
25 Nov 2022
OSCE99
MEXI89
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Osceola Magic host Mexico City Capitanes on 12 November 2026 in an NBA G League showdown that the Pythia model predicts will be a tight affair, with both teams averaging just over 99 points per game and the Magic's defence allowing 93.5 points on average. The Magic have gone 2-0 this season, scoring 99.0 and conceding 93.5 per game, while the Capitanes are undefeated 3-0, posting 99.3 points and 87.7 allowed. The Magic's lone home game was a 97-89 win, and their last five games include a 101-98 victory over Memphis Hustle and a 97-89 win at home against Oklahoma City Blue, with a 121-134 loss to Greensboro Swarm still in the record books. The Capitanes' road record is 1-0, and their recent wins include 97-93 and 107-91 over Texas Legends and a 94-79 win against Oklahoma City Blue. Historically, the Magic lead the series 6-4, most recently beating the Capitanes 119-112 on 22 December 2025. Pythia gives the Magic a 62% chance to win versus 38% for the Capitanes, projecting a 107-103 score and a total of 209.1 points; the model sees only a 14% chance of the 229.5 line being hit and a 4% chance of overtime. The Capitanes' recent 94-79 road win suggests they will try to keep the game within a few points.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osceola Magic winWon
61.9%fair 1.62
Best odds1.46
Implied64.3%
Edge-2.4pp
Mexico City Capitanes winLost
38.1%fair 2.62
Best odds2.63
Implied35.7%
Edge+2.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:02 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Osceola MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware Blue Coats
#20
W
113-106
113
106
+7
H20/03
NBA - G League
Delaware Blue Coats
#20
W
124-107
124
107
+17
H21/03
NBA - G League
College Park Skyhawks
#25
W
129-120
129
120
+9
A25/03
NBA - G League
Motor City Cruise
#10
L
118-132
118
132
-14
A27/03
NBA - G League
Motor City Cruise
#10
W
125-119
125
119
+6
A28/03
NBA - G League
Long Island Nets
#17
W
119-117
119
117
+2
H01/04
NBA - G League
Motor City Cruise
#10
W
123-116
123
116
+7
H03/04
NBA - G League
Greensboro Swarm
#2
L
121-134
121
134
-13
H05/04
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#25
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H08/11
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#20
W
101-98
101
98
+3
A11/11
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
33-26
26-26
29-28
23-27
21-26
46-24
34-30
25-35
36-32
27-24
41-29
41-33
20-23
33-49
24-27
33-22
32-32
31-29
29-36
32-38
33-22
28-26
26-31
31-32
22-24
39-36
31-24
26-36
33-37
35-32
27-29
22-31
21-13
27-26
27-19
30-27
31-16
17-31
23-24
230.8Avg total
117.0Scored
113.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)99.093.5192.5+5.5100%
Season at home (1)97.089.0186.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)101.098.0199.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)117.0113.8230.8+3.280%
Last 5 (5)112.2110.8223.0+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)120.9121.9242.8-1.060%
vs Weaker (20)117.0108.5225.6+8.580%
This opponent (Mexico City Capitanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mexico City CapitanesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Hustle
#26
L
109-127
109
127
-18
H15/03
NBA - G League
Sioux Falls Skyforce
#16
L
89-131
89
131
-42
A21/03
NBA - G League
Sioux Falls Skyforce
#16
W
116-105
116
105
+11
A22/03
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
W
112-99
112
99
+13
A25/03
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
L
94-114
94
114
-20
A26/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
L
86-118
86
118
-32
A29/03
NBA - G League
Rip City Remix
#12
L
108-113
108
113
-5
H02/04
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#25
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A07/11
NBA - G League
Texas Legends
#22
W
107-91
107
91
+16
H09/11
NBA - G League
Texas Legends
#22
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H11/11
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-31
29-32
29-25
26-39
20-33
29-36
24-31
16-31
25-32
32-31
27-18
32-24
24-27
23-19
36-30
29-23
20-31
21-23
22-26
31-34
19-33
26-32
16-27
25-26
24-38
31-16
26-34
27-25
28-21
16-14
27-22
23-22
30-24
27-34
25-14
25-19
25-19
31-24
21-21
20-29
208.2Avg total
101.2Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)99.387.7187.0+11.7100%
Season at home (2)102.092.0194.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)101.2107.0208.2-5.850%
Last 5 (5)98.498.8197.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)109.0119.0228.0-10.050%
vs Similar ◀ (19)112.7111.5224.2+1.258%
vs Weaker (9)107.8102.9210.7+4.978%
This opponent (Osceola Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 224.5Actual: Under 224.5
Over 224.5
20.9%
Under 224.5
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 229.5 · main lineActual: Under 229.5
Over 229.5
14.2%
@ 1.87-35.8pp
Under 229.5
85.8%
@ 1.87+35.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
Under
1xBet
1.87
Over/Under 234.5Actual: Under 234.5
Over 234.5
9.1%
Under 234.5
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Osceola Magic total 114.5Actual: Osceola Magic under 114.5
Over 114.5
25.0%
@ 1.52-35.4pp
Under 114.5
75.0%
@ 2.32+35.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.52
Under
1xBet
2.32
Osceola Magic total 118.5 · main lineActual: Osceola Magic under 118.5
Over 118.5
15.5%
@ 1.87-34.0pp
Under 118.5
84.5%
@ 1.83+34.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
Under
1xBet
1.83
Osceola Magic total 122.5Actual: Osceola Magic under 122.5
Over 122.5
8.8%
@ 2.39-29.6pp
Under 122.5
91.2%
@ 1.49+29.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.39
Under
1xBet
1.49
Mexico City Capitanes total 107.5Actual: Mexico City Capitanes under 107.5
Over 107.5
33.9%
@ 1.52-26.4pp
Under 107.5
66.1%
@ 2.31+26.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.52
Under
1xBet
2.31
Mexico City Capitanes total 111.5 · main lineActual: Mexico City Capitanes under 111.5
Over 111.5
22.6%
@ 1.88-26.6pp
Under 111.5
77.4%
@ 1.82+26.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.88
Under
1xBet
1.82
Mexico City Capitanes total 115.5Actual: Mexico City Capitanes under 115.5
Over 115.5
13.8%
@ 2.39-24.6pp
Under 115.5
86.2%
@ 1.49+24.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.39
Under
1xBet
1.49

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Osceola Magic -3Actual: Osceola Magic -3
OSCE -3
54.3%
MEXI +3
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
OSCE
No market prices yet.
MEXI
No market prices yet.
Spread Osceola Magic 0Actual: Osceola Magic 0
OSCE 0
61.9%
MEXI 0
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
OSCE
No market prices yet.
MEXI
No market prices yet.
Spread Osceola Magic +3Actual: Osceola Magic +3
OSCE +3
69.4%
MEXI -3
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
OSCE
No market prices yet.
MEXI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
Osceola MagicMexico City Capitanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Osceola MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware Blue Coats
#20
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H20/03
NBA - G League
Delaware Blue Coats
#20
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H21/03
NBA - G League
College Park Skyhawks
#25
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A25/03
NBA - G League
Motor City Cruise
#10
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A27/03
NBA - G League
Motor City Cruise
#10
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A28/03
NBA - G League
Long Island Nets
#17
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H01/04
NBA - G League
Motor City Cruise
#10
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H03/04
NBA - G League
Greensboro Swarm
#2
L
59-73
59
73
-14
H05/04
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#25
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H08/11
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#20
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A11/11
NBA - G League
112.8Avg total
57.0Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 114.5
Last 30 (30)60.157.7117.8+2.450%63%
Last 30 at home (21)59.458.2117.6+1.143%62%
Last 30 away (9)61.756.4118.1+5.267%67%
Last 10 (10)57.055.8112.8+1.250%50%
Last 5 (5)56.255.2111.4+1.040%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)62.162.1124.2+0.040%90%
vs Weaker (20)59.055.5114.5+3.555%50%
This opponent (Mexico City Capitanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mexico City CapitanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Hustle
#26
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H15/03
NBA - G League
Sioux Falls Skyforce
#16
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A21/03
NBA - G League
Sioux Falls Skyforce
#16
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A22/03
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A25/03
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A26/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A29/03
NBA - G League
Rip City Remix
#12
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H02/04
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#25
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A07/11
NBA - G League
Texas Legends
#22
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H09/11
NBA - G League
Texas Legends
#22
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H11/11
NBA - G League
105.5Avg total
50.5Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 114.5
Last 30 (30)53.756.4110.1-2.740%37%
Last 30 at home (15)57.656.9114.5+0.747%53%
Last 30 away (15)49.855.9105.7-6.133%20%
Last 10 (10)50.555.0105.5-4.540%40%
Last 5 (5)51.451.0102.4+0.460%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.557.5106.0-9.050%0%
vs Similar ◀ (19)55.259.0114.2-3.837%47%
vs Weaker (9)51.850.8102.6+1.044%22%
This opponent (Osceola Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Osceola Magic -3.5 · main lineActual: Osceola Magic -3.5
OSCE -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
MEXI +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half Over/Under 114.5 · main lineActual: Under 114.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Osceola Magic 1st half total 58.5 · main lineActual: Osceola Magic over 58.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Mexico City Capitanes 1st half total 55.5 · main lineActual: Mexico City Capitanes under 55.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread Osceola Magic -2.5Actual: Osceola Magic -2.5
OSCE -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.74
MEXI +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.97
1st half Over/Under 112.5Actual: Under 112.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.68
Under
no forecast
@ 2.06
1st half Over/Under 116.5Actual: Under 116.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.09
Under
no forecast
@ 1.66
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Osceola Magic (regulation)
OSCE
no forecast
@ 1.57
Draw
no forecast
@ 13.00
MEXI
no forecast
@ 2.52

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 225.580.6%2.18
1xBet
2.18		----+38.1ppWon
Under 226.582.0%2.09
1xBet
2.09		----+37.7ppWon
Under 227.583.3%2.00
1xBet
2.00		----+37.1ppWon
Under 228.584.6%1.92
1xBet
1.92		----+36.5ppWon
Under 229.585.8%1.87
1xBet
1.87		----+35.8ppWon
Osceola Magic under 114.575.0%2.32
1xBet
2.32		----+35.4ppWon
Osceola Magic under 115.577.6%2.16
1xBet
2.16		----+35.2ppWon
Under 230.587.0%1.78
1xBet
1.78		----+35.1ppWon
Osceola Magic under 116.580.1%2.03
1xBet
2.03		----+35.0ppWon
Osceola Magic under 117.582.4%1.91
1xBet
1.91		----+34.4ppWon
Under 231.588.0%1.72
1xBet
1.72		----+34.3ppWon
Osceola Magic under 118.584.5%1.83
1xBet
1.83		----+34.0ppWon
Under 232.589.1%1.66
1xBet
1.66		----+33.3ppWon
Osceola Magic under 119.586.5%1.71
1xBet
1.71		----+32.9ppWon
Under 233.590.0%1.61
1xBet
1.61		----+32.4ppWon
Osceola Magic under 120.588.2%1.63
1xBet
1.63		----+32.0ppWon
Osceola Magic under 121.589.8%1.56
1xBet
1.56		----+31.0ppWon
Osceola Magic under 122.591.2%1.49
1xBet
1.49		----+29.6ppWon
Mexico City Capitanes under 109.572.0%2.03
1xBet
2.03		----+26.9ppWon
Mexico City Capitanes under 110.574.8%1.91
1xBet
1.91		----+26.9ppWon
Mexico City Capitanes under 111.577.4%1.82
1xBet
1.82		----+26.6ppWon
Mexico City Capitanes under 112.579.9%1.71
1xBet
1.71		----+26.3ppWon
Mexico City Capitanes under 113.582.2%1.63
1xBet
1.63		----+26.0ppWon
Mexico City Capitanes under 114.584.3%1.55
1xBet
1.55		----+25.3ppWon
Mexico City Capitanes under 115.586.2%1.49
1xBet
1.49		----+24.6ppWon
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Osceola Magic wins
4
Mexico City Capitanes wins
DateGameScore
22/12/25Osceola Magic v Mexico City Capitanes119-112
13/11/25Osceola Magic v Mexico City Capitanes117-111
01/12/24Mexico City Capitanes v Osceola Magic108-94
16/11/24Osceola Magic v Mexico City Capitanes98-107
14/11/24Osceola Magic v Mexico City Capitanes128-105
17/12/23Osceola Magic v Mexico City Capitanes130-108
11/11/23Mexico City Capitanes v Osceola Magic108-97
05/02/23Osceola Magic v Mexico City Capitanes121-122
27/11/22Osceola Magic v Mexico City Capitanes128-103
26/11/22Osceola Magic v Mexico City Capitanes99-89
Osceola Magiclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AMemphis Hustle101-98
08/11/26HOklahoma City Blue97-89
05/04/26HGreensboro Swarm121-134
03/04/26HMotor City Cruise123-116
01/04/26HLong Island Nets119-117
28/03/26AMotor City Cruise125-119
27/03/26AMotor City Cruise118-132
25/03/26ACollege Park Skyhawks129-120
21/03/26HDelaware Blue Coats124-107
20/03/26HDelaware Blue Coats113-106
Mexico City Capitaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HTexas Legends97-93
09/11/26HTexas Legends107-91
07/11/26AOklahoma City Blue94-79
02/04/26HRip City Remix108-113
29/03/26AAustin Toros Spurs86-118
26/03/26AValley Suns94-114
25/03/26AValley Suns112-99
22/03/26ASioux Falls Skyforce116-105
21/03/26ASioux Falls Skyforce89-131
15/03/26HMemphis Hustle109-127

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osceola Magic
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game99.097.0101.0
Allowed / game93.589.098.0
Point differential+5.5+8.0+3.0
Avg total192.5186.0199.0
Over 229.50%0%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mexico City Capitanes
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game99.3102.094.0
Allowed / game87.792.079.0
Point differential+11.7+10.0+15.0
Avg total187.0194.0173.0
Over 229.50%0%0%
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Delaware Blue Coats110100%147.0122.0+25.0
2 Motor City Cruise110100%142.0122.0+20.0
3 Santa Cruz Warriors110100%127.0108.0+19.0
4 Maine Celtics220100%109.593.5+16.0
5 Windy City Bulls220100%131.0115.0+16.0
6 Wisconsin Herd220100%142.0127.0+15.0
7 Mexico City Capitanes330100%99.387.7+11.7
8 Sioux Falls Skyforce220100%125.0115.0+10.0
9 Austin Toros Spurs220100%118.5113.0+5.5
10 Osceola Magic220100%99.093.5+5.5
11 Long Island Nets32167%117.0107.3+9.7
12 South Bay Lakers32167%118.3112.7+5.7
13 San Diego Clippers32167%122.3125.7-3.3
14 College Park Skyhawks32167%119.7127.7-8.0
15 Rio Grande Valley Vipers21150%104.598.0+6.5
16 Stockton Kings21150%121.5123.5-2.0
17 Rip City Remix21150%105.0108.0-3.0
18 Salt Lake City Stars31233%104.7104.7+0.0
19 Greensboro Swarm31233%109.3109.7-0.3
20 Raptors 90531233%120.3121.7-1.3
21 Noblesville Boom41325%115.2120.8-5.5
22 Iowa Wolves41325%118.8128.8-10.0
23 Memphis Hustle1010%98.0101.0-3.0
24 Birmingham Squadron1010%110.0117.0-7.0
25 Valley Suns2020%123.0131.0-8.0
26 Grand Rapids Gold2020%115.0125.0-10.0
27 Texas Legends2020%92.0102.0-10.0
28 Oklahoma City Blue3030%81.394.7-13.3
29 Westchester2020%93.5109.5-16.0
30 Cleveland Charge1010%122.0142.0-20.0
31 Capital City Go-Go1010%122.0147.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osceola Magic31342519109
Mexico City Capitanes1923302294
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.