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Ostersund W vs AIK Basket W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game82.5
Ostersund W
Sweden
vs
AIK Basket W
Sweden
Position#9
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game79.8
SwedenBasketligan WRound 16· Ostersunds Sporthall
Women2026-27
Meetings · Ostersund W v AIK Basket W
30 Jan 2027
OSTE v AIK
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
OSTE79
AIK 61
07 Feb 2026
OSTE85
AIK 87
16 Nov 2024
OSTE76
AIK 77
16 Dec 2023
OSTE81
AIK 59
17 Jan 2021
OSTE v AIK
upcoming
15 Mar 2020
OSTE v AIK
upcoming
23 Sep 2018
OSTE57
AIK 54
29 Mar 2017
OSTE60
AIK 54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ostersund W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Ostersund W
4.2out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.0
74.2▼ 3.8
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 75.7
85.6▲ 9.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
51%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.3
17.4▼ 1.9
🔥 Form · AIK Basket W
5.0out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 71.9
66.0▼ 5.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 75.1
79.2▲ 4.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 50%
47%▼ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.6
16.0▲ 0.4
Ostersund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#5
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H27/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A29/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A07/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H10/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A12/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
68-98
68
98
-30
H15/04
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H03/10
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#1
L
63-85
63
85
-22
H10/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
92-89
92
89
+3
A17/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
74-91
74
91
-17
H24/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
21-15
24-11
16-14
15-13
17-10
20-20
25-25
15-14
11-12
10-5
15-22
21-29
23-9
17-13
12-19
17-19
16-23
14-17
20-18
15-31
17-27
18-30
18-10
19-15
25-14
17-19
13-17
24-19
18-30
17-13
4-23
23-31
20-20
19-19
30-19
9-19
22-22
18-24
25-26
147.5Avg total
71.8Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.882.5158.2-6.850%
Season at home (3)70.380.3150.7-10.033%
Season away (1)92.089.0181.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)71.875.7147.5-3.950%
Last 5 (5)74.285.6159.8-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.884.1155.9-12.322%
vs Similar (9)78.377.7156.0+0.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.867.5153.3+18.392%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A20/02
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
105-55
105
55
+50
A21/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H07/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A27/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H29/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#2
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A09/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H19/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
59-89
59
89
-30
A24/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
17-18
12-25
16-24
30-14
33-15
25-18
17-8
9-20
20-14
20-15
20-17
28-20
13-21
16-10
11-15
21-18
15-21
11-24
14-16
13-15
10-17
20-20
25-25
14-23
25-19
22-19
15-26
12-16
10-21
18-22
16-21
19-17
11-23
26-12
15-11
17-23
19-18
13-26
10-22
143.6Avg total
69.4Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)65.579.8145.2-14.225%
Season at home (1)71.063.0134.0+8.0100%
Season away (3)63.785.3149.0-21.70%
Last 10 (10)69.474.2143.6-4.840%
Last 5 (5)66.079.2145.2-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)69.782.3152.0-12.722%
vs Similar (9)75.975.9151.8+0.067%
vs Weaker (12)80.367.4147.8+12.975%
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
Ostersund WAIK Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ostersund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H27/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A29/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A07/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A12/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
32-58
32
58
-26
H15/04
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H03/10
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H10/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A17/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H24/10
Basketligan W
75.9Avg total
36.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.779.3-0.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.240.081.2+1.267%-
Last 30 away (15)37.939.577.3-1.647%-
Last 10 (10)36.639.375.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.445.684.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.744.980.6-9.211%-
vs Similar (9)40.741.081.7-0.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.634.976.5+6.792%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A20/02
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
63-29
63
29
+34
A21/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H07/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H29/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A09/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A24/10
Basketligan W
71.8Avg total
35.2Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.936.675.5+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.136.073.1+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.537.177.6+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.236.671.8-1.420%-
Last 5 (5)30.038.468.4-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.339.976.2-3.644%-
vs Similar (9)38.838.977.7-0.144%-
vs Weaker (12)40.932.473.3+8.567%-
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ostersund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ostersund W: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.517.4
46.4%
47.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.7
32.2%
30.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.414.7
68.7%
70.8%14.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.117.7
43.1%
47.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.5
29.0%
30.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.214.0
76.9%
70.8%14.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ostersund W
LWLWLLWLWW
AIK Basket W
LWLLLLWWWL
#7
League position
#9
-4.7
Net rating
-2.9
78.3
Offensive rating
77.6
83.0
Defensive rating
80.5
47.1%
Effective FG%
43.2%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
22.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.2%
3-point %
29.0%
68.5%
Assist %
63.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence78.3 · 77.6Defence83.0 · 80.5Shooting47.1% · 43.2%3-point %32.2% · 29.0%Ball care22.6% · 18.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Ostersund W   ■ AIK Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ostersund W wins
3
AIK Basket W wins
DateGameScore
29/03/26AIK Basket W v Ostersund W68-77
27/03/26Ostersund W v AIK Basket W79-61
07/02/26Ostersund W v AIK Basket W85-87
11/10/25AIK Basket W v Ostersund W73-86
01/02/25AIK Basket W v Ostersund W69-60
16/11/24Ostersund W v AIK Basket W76-77
09/03/24AIK Basket W v Ostersund W56-81
16/12/23Ostersund W v AIK Basket W81-59
03/10/20AIK Basket W v Ostersund W63-83
20/10/19AIK Basket W v Ostersund W70-73
Ostersund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HNorrkoping W74-91
17/10/26AUppsala W92-89
10/10/26HOnsala W63-85
03/10/26HLund W74-65
15/04/26HLulea W68-98
12/04/26ALulea W67-77
10/04/26HLulea W73-70
07/04/26ALulea W51-53
29/03/26AAIK Basket W77-68
27/03/26HAIK Basket W79-61
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AUppsala W59-89
19/10/26HLund W71-63
09/10/26ASodertalje W56-80
04/10/26AAlvik W76-87
29/03/26HOstersund W68-77
27/03/26AOstersund W61-79
21/03/26HSodertalje W68-66
07/03/26HMalbas Malmo W69-66
21/02/26ARIG Lulea W105-55
20/02/26ALulea W61-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ostersund W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game75.870.392.0
Allowed / game82.580.389.0
Point differential-6.8-10.0+3.0
Avg total158.2150.7181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game65.571.063.7
Allowed / game79.863.085.3
Point differential-14.2+8.0-21.7
Avg total145.2134.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Onsala W440100%92.260.2+32.0
2 Alvik W440100%83.065.8+17.2
3 Norrkoping W440100%80.266.0+14.2
4 Lulea W54180%99.256.2+43.0
5 Sodertalje W43175%72.068.5+3.5
6 Uppsala W42250%80.072.0+8.0
7 Ostersund W42250%75.882.5-6.8
8 Visby W41325%74.083.0-9.0
9 AIK Basket W41325%65.579.8-14.2
10 Lund W4040%59.875.2-15.5
11 Hogsbo W5050%58.090.0-32.0
12 Brahe W4040%57.0100.2-43.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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