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Ostersund W vs AIK Basket W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record4-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.5
Ostersund W
Sweden
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
5.6/10
Above normal
AIK Basket W
Sweden
Position#9
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game84.2
SwedenBasketligan WRound 16· Ostersunds Sporthall
Women2026-27
Meetings · Ostersund W v AIK Basket W
30 Jan 2027
OSTE v AIK
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
OSTE79
AIK 61
07 Feb 2026
OSTE85
AIK 87
16 Nov 2024
OSTE76
AIK 77
16 Dec 2023
OSTE81
AIK 59
17 Jan 2021
OSTE v AIK
upcoming
15 Mar 2020
OSTE v AIK
upcoming
23 Sep 2018
OSTE57
AIK 54
29 Mar 2017
OSTE60
AIK 54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ostersund W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ostersund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
51-53
51
53
-2
51avg 74
A07/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
73-70
73
70
+3
68avg 74
H10/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
62avg 74
A12/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
68-98
68
98
-30
58avg 74
H15/04
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
W
74-65
74
65
+9
no box
H03/10
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
63-85
63
85
-22
52avg 74
H10/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
W
92-89
92
89
+3
77avg 74
A17/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
74-91
74
91
-17
62avg 74
H24/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
97-66
97
66
+31
87avg 74
A31/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
11-12
10-5
15-22
21-29
23-9
17-13
12-19
17-19
16-23
14-17
20-18
15-31
17-27
18-30
18-10
19-15
25-14
17-19
13-17
24-19
18-30
17-13
4-23
23-31
20-20
19-19
30-19
9-19
22-22
18-24
25-26
22-17
20-16
31-18
24-15
17-25
21-15
21-13
20-16
150.1Avg total
73.8Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.877.5157.3+2.367%
Season at home (4)72.577.5150.0-5.050%
Season away (2)94.577.5172.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.876.3150.1-2.550%
Last 5 (5)81.080.0161.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.381.9152.2-11.622%
vs Similar (9)81.675.7157.2+5.978%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.965.9152.8+21.0100%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
69-66
69
66
+3
58avg 61
H07/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
68-66
68
66
+2
66avg 61
H21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
43avg 61
A27/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
55avg 61
H29/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
76-87
76
87
-11
56avg 61
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
56-80
56
80
-24
43avg 61
A09/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
W
71-63
71
63
+8
64avg 61
H19/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
59-89
59
89
-30
40avg 61
A24/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
66-97
66
97
-31
59avg 61
H31/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
56-89
56
89
-33
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-20
20-14
20-15
20-17
28-20
13-21
16-10
11-15
21-18
15-21
11-24
14-16
13-15
10-17
20-20
25-25
14-23
25-19
22-19
15-26
12-16
10-21
18-22
16-21
19-17
11-23
26-12
15-11
17-23
19-18
13-26
10-22
17-22
16-20
18-31
15-24
16-25
11-22
13-20
16-22
144.3Avg total
65.0Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)64.084.2148.2-20.217%
Season at home (3)64.383.0147.3-18.733%
Season away (3)63.785.3149.0-21.70%
Last 10 (10)65.079.3144.3-14.330%
Last 5 (5)61.683.6145.2-22.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)65.285.2150.4-20.010%
vs Similar (9)75.975.9151.8+0.067%
vs Weaker (11)79.168.8147.9+10.373%
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -4.2-4.2
Ostersund WAIK Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ostersund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A07/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A12/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
32-58
32
58
-26
H15/04
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H03/10
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H10/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A17/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H24/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A31/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H07/11
Basketligan W
78.2Avg total
37.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.978.4+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.739.980.7+0.860%-
Last 30 away (15)38.337.976.1+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.778.2-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.242.882.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.143.778.8-8.611%-
vs Similar (9)41.440.381.8+1.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.334.275.6+7.192%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H07/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H29/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A09/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A24/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H31/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H07/11
Basketligan W
71.1Avg total
31.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.575.5+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.237.173.2-0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)40.138.078.1+2.143%-
Last 10 (10)31.639.571.1-7.90%-
Last 5 (5)29.641.471.0-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.041.175.1-7.130%-
vs Similar (9)38.838.977.7-0.144%-
vs Weaker (11)41.033.174.1+7.964%-
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ostersund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ostersund W: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.017.7
46.6%
46.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.0
32.4%
30.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.114.4
68.2%
71.1%14.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.118.3
44.5%
46.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.4
28.2%
30.7%19.2
🏀 Free throws17.613.6
77.3%
71.1%13.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ostersund W
WWLWLWLLWL
AIK Basket W
LLLWLLLLWW
#6
League position
#9
-1.9
Net rating
-4.3
79.2
Offensive rating
77.8
81.1
Defensive rating
82.0
47.4%
Effective FG%
43.7%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
21.7%
Turnover %
19.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.4%
3-point %
28.2%
67.3%
Assist %
64.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence79.2 · 77.8Defence81.1 · 82.0Shooting47.4% · 43.7%3-point %32.4% · 28.2%Ball care21.7% · 19.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Ostersund W   ■ AIK Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ostersund W wins
3
AIK Basket W wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26AIK Basket W v Ostersund W66-97
29/03/26AIK Basket W v Ostersund W68-77
27/03/26Ostersund W v AIK Basket W79-61
07/02/26Ostersund W v AIK Basket W85-87
11/10/25AIK Basket W v Ostersund W73-86
01/02/25AIK Basket W v Ostersund W69-60
16/11/24Ostersund W v AIK Basket W76-77
09/03/24AIK Basket W v Ostersund W56-81
16/12/23Ostersund W v AIK Basket W81-59
03/10/20AIK Basket W v Ostersund W63-83
Ostersund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HAlvik W79-69
31/10/26AAIK Basket W97-66
24/10/26HNorrkoping W74-91
17/10/26AUppsala W92-89
10/10/26HOnsala W63-85
03/10/26HLund W74-65
15/04/26HLulea W68-98
12/04/26ALulea W67-77
10/04/26HLulea W73-70
07/04/26ALulea W51-53
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HLulea W56-89
31/10/26HOstersund W66-97
24/10/26AUppsala W59-89
19/10/26HLund W71-63
09/10/26ASodertalje W56-80
04/10/26AAlvik W76-87
29/03/26HOstersund W68-77
27/03/26AOstersund W61-79
21/03/26HSodertalje W68-66
07/03/26HMalbas Malmo W69-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ostersund W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game79.872.594.5
Allowed / game77.577.577.5
Point differential+2.3-5.0+17.0
Avg total157.3150.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game64.064.363.7
Allowed / game84.283.085.3
Point differential-20.2-18.7-21.7
Avg total148.2147.3149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W65183%97.556.2+41.3
2 Onsala W65183%88.264.0+24.2
3 Norrkoping W65183%76.563.5+13.0
4 Alvik W65183%80.269.2+11.0
5 Sodertalje W65183%73.066.5+6.5
6 Ostersund W64267%79.877.5+2.3
7 Uppsala W63350%76.271.0+5.2
8 Visby W62433%71.375.7-4.3
9 AIK Basket W61517%64.084.2-20.2
10 Hogsbo W61517%60.386.2-25.8
11 Lund W6060%59.578.3-18.8
12 Brahe W6060%57.591.8-34.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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