Ostersund W host Alvik W on 7 November 2026 in the Basketligan W, with the model favouring the home side at 61% versus 39% for the visitors. Ostersund W finish the season 3-2, averaging 80.0 points and allowing 79.2, while Alvik W remain unbeaten 5-0, scoring 82.4 and conceding 67.2; Alvik's road record is 3-0 with 81.7 points and 62.3 allowed. In their last five outings, Ostersund won three, including a 97-66 victory over AIK Basket W away, but lost 74-91 to Norrköping W at home; Alvik won all five, topping the league with a 80-73 win over Uppsala at home and two road triumphs over Sodertalje W and Brahe W. Their head-to-head history shows Ostersund 6-4, with the most recent meeting on 17 January 2026 ending 78-65 for Ostersund. Pythia projects a close 78-75 score, totaling 152.3 points, and gives Ostersund a 1.0-point line with a 62% chance to cover, while the over on the 151.0 line stands at 52%. The model estimates a 5% chance of overtime. Alvik's flawless record and higher points per game hint at a tight contest, but Ostersund's recent win over AIK and the projected margin suggest the home team may edge out the visitors.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 80.0 | 79.2 | 159.2 | +0.8 | 60% |
| Season at home (3) | 70.3 | 80.3 | 150.7 | -10.0 | 33% |
| Season away (2) | 94.5 | 77.5 | 172.0 | +17.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 73.6 | 76.2 | 149.8 | -2.6 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.0 | 79.2 | 159.2 | +0.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 69.2 | 83.5 | 152.8 | -14.2 | 12% |
| vs Similar (9) | 81.6 | 75.7 | 157.2 | +5.9 | 78% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 86.7 | 67.4 | 154.1 | +19.3 | 92% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 82.4 | 67.2 | 149.6 | +15.2 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 83.5 | 74.5 | 158.0 | +9.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 81.7 | 62.3 | 144.0 | +19.3 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 70.8 | 74.7 | 145.5 | -3.9 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.4 | 67.2 | 149.6 | +15.2 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 65.1 | 82.9 | 148.0 | -17.7 | 7% |
| vs Similar (4) | 81.2 | 85.5 | 166.8 | -4.2 | 25% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 81.5 | 58.2 | 139.6 | +23.3 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 75.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.7 | 38.9 | 78.7 | +0.8 | 60% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 41.2 | 40.0 | 81.2 | +1.2 | 67% | 67% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.3 | 37.9 | 76.1 | +0.4 | 53% | 47% |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.9 | 39.0 | 75.9 | -2.1 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.4 | 40.6 | 81.0 | -0.2 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 34.8 | 44.1 | 78.9 | -9.4 | 12% | 62% |
| vs Similar (9) | 41.4 | 40.3 | 81.8 | +1.1 | 56% | 78% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 41.6 | 34.8 | 76.4 | +6.8 | 92% | 38% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 75.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.0 | 36.9 | 71.9 | -1.9 | 37% | 33% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 33.6 | 36.9 | 70.4 | -3.3 | 29% | 36% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 36.2 | 36.9 | 73.1 | -0.6 | 44% | 31% |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.3 | 37.6 | 72.9 | -2.3 | 40% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.6 | 33.8 | 77.4 | +9.8 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 30.7 | 41.0 | 71.7 | -10.3 | 13% | 27% |
| vs Similar (4) | 36.2 | 42.2 | 78.5 | -6.0 | 25% | 75% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 40.4 | 29.3 | 69.6 | +11.1 | 73% | 27% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostersund W over 71.5 | 72.6% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +10.2pp | Won |
| Ostersund W over 70.5 | 75.7% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Won |
| Ostersund W +4.5 | 72.0% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Won |
| Ostersund W over 69.5 | 78.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +9.9pp | Won |
| Ostersund W +5.5 | 75.1% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +9.4pp | Won |
| Ostersund W +6.5 | 77.9% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Alvik W under 81.5 | 73.4% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Alvik W under 80.5 | 70.1% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.0 | 17.7 | 47.4% | 35.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.7 | 8.0 | 30.3% | 24.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.1 | 14.4 | 71.4% | 14.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.6 | 15.7 | 47.4% | 31.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.1 | 7.8 | 30.3% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 15.1 | 11.6 | 71.4% | 11.6 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 | Alvik W v Ostersund W | 65-78 |
| 29/11/25 | Ostersund W v Alvik W | 98-85 |
| 16/03/25 | Alvik W v Ostersund W | 84-71 |
| 14/12/24 | Ostersund W v Alvik W | 69-83 |
| 02/03/24 | Alvik W v Ostersund W | 60-88 |
| 09/12/23 | Ostersund W v Alvik W | 105-68 |
| 18/02/23 | Ostersund W v Alvik W | 58-60 |
| 02/12/22 | Alvik W v Ostersund W | 81-88 |
| 16/02/22 | Alvik W v Ostersund W | 74-60 |
| 17/11/21 | Ostersund W v Alvik W | 85-82 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | AIK Basket W | 97-66 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Norrkoping W | 74-91 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Uppsala W | 92-89 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Onsala W | 63-85 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Lund W | 74-65 |
| 15/04/26 | H | Lulea W | 68-98 |
| 12/04/26 | A | Lulea W | 67-77 |
| 10/04/26 | H | Lulea W | 73-70 |
| 07/04/26 | A | Lulea W | 51-53 |
| 29/03/26 | A | AIK Basket W | 77-68 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 | H | Uppsala W | 80-73 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Sodertalje W | 81-67 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Brahe W | 86-53 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Hogsbo W | 78-67 |
| 04/10/26 | H | AIK Basket W | 87-76 |
| 21/03/26 | H | Lund W | 73-85 |
| 05/03/26 | A | Uppsala W | 42-74 |
| 01/03/26 | A | Hogsbo W | 61-94 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Norrkoping W | 58-91 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Hogsbo W | 62-67 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLW | 60% |
| Home | WLL | 33% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Points / game | 80.0 | 70.3 | 94.5 |
| Allowed / game | 79.2 | 80.3 | 77.5 |
| Point differential | +0.8 | -10.0 | +17.0 |
| Avg total | 159.2 | 150.7 | 172.0 |
| Over 151 | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | WWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 82.4 | 83.5 | 81.7 |
| Allowed / game | 67.2 | 74.5 | 62.3 |
| Point differential | +15.2 | +9.0 | +19.3 |
| Avg total | 149.6 | 158.0 | 144.0 |
| Over 151 | 40% | 100% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 82.4 | 67.2 | +15.2 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 88.2 | 64.0 | +24.2 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 76.5 | 63.5 | +13.0 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 73.0 | 66.5 | +6.5 | |
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 99.2 | 56.2 | +43.0 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 80.0 | 79.2 | +0.8 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 76.2 | 71.0 | +5.2 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 71.3 | 75.7 | -4.3 | |
| 9 | AIK Basket W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 65.6 | 83.2 | -17.6 |
| 10 | Hogsbo W | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 60.3 | 86.2 | -25.8 |
| 11 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 59.5 | 78.3 | -18.8 | |
| 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 57.5 | 91.8 | -34.3 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 79 | |
| 25 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 69 |
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