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Ostersund W vs Hogsbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 71-59
19-12 17-19 12-11 23-17
Position#5
Record7-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game68.4
Ostersund W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo W
Sweden
Position#7
Record7-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game74.7
SwedenBasketligan W· Ostersunds Sporthall
Women2023-24
Meetings · Ostersund W v Hogsbo W
13 Dec 2026
OSTE v HOGS
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
OSTE65
HOGS72
15 Feb 2025
OSTE62
HOGS97
03 Feb 2024
OSTE71
HOGS59
07 Jan 2023
OSTE77
HOGS63
18 Dec 2021
OSTE96
HOGS68
05 Apr 2017
OSTE63
HOGS67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ostersund W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ostersund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#4
L
70-75
70
75
-5
62avg 66
A21/10
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
W
67-58
67
58
+9
62avg 66
H04/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
78-61
78
61
+17
68avg 66
A18/11
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
56-60
56
60
-4
48avg 66
A25/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
75-78
75
78
-3
68avg 66
H02/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
105-68
105
68
+37
87avg 66
H09/12
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
81-59
81
59
+22
69avg 66
H16/12
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
93-85
93
85
+8
83avg 66
H13/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
63-74
63
74
-11
58avg 66
A24/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
75-68
75
68
+7
73avg 66
H27/01
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
18-22
17-22
15-16
16-16
19-10
16-16
16-16
19-20
20-16
19-12
20-13
23-18
10-14
11-12
12-16
16-19
18-23
21-18
20-18
20-19
27-14
33-12
25-23
15-8
20-11
24-15
22-25
32-14
24-17
19-28
18-26
14-20
18-8
15-26
16-20
17-11
22-14
17-20
19-23
144.9Avg total
76.3Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.268.4143.6+6.858%
Season at home (7)78.170.3148.4+7.971%
Season away (5)71.065.8136.8+5.240%
Last 10 (10)76.368.6144.9+7.760%
Last 5 (5)83.470.8154.2+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)61.682.0143.6-20.40%
vs Similar (6)73.767.7141.3+6.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)79.667.7147.3+11.980%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sjuharads W
#9
W
76-65
76
65
+11
80avg 64
H16/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
L
69-75
69
75
-6
65avg 64
A25/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
51-82
51
82
-31
39avg 64
H02/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
59-79
59
79
-20
49avg 64
A09/12
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
W
77-74
77
74
+3
71avg 64
H15/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
95-76
95
76
+19
92avg 64
A03/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
56-88
56
88
-32
33avg 64
H13/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
79avg 64
A24/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
87-64
87
64
+23
91avg 64
H27/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
47avg 64
A02/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
22-18
10-15
20-17
24-22
17-15
14-21
14-17
12-21
17-11
8-22
14-28
18-14
13-22
11-21
17-22
14-13
16-20
28-13
19-28
22-14
26-22
20-21
27-19
20-20
6-19
19-26
11-23
19-25
23-14
23-18
21-25
19-12
18-21
18-14
32-17
13-20
17-15
21-28
10-10
147.5Avg total
71.7Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.374.7146.0-3.450%
Season at home (7)69.974.6144.4-4.757%
Season away (7)72.774.9147.6-2.143%
Last 10 (10)71.775.8147.5-4.150%
Last 5 (5)77.076.6153.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)65.486.5151.9-21.115%
vs Similar (1)59.079.0138.0-20.00%
vs Weaker (9)77.970.7148.6+7.278%
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
Ostersund WHogsbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ostersund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A21/10
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H04/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A18/11
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A25/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H02/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H09/12
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
35-19
35
19
+16
H16/12
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H13/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A24/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H27/01
Basketligan W
69.7Avg total
38.8Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.334.971.2+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.632.169.6+5.569%-
Last 30 away (14)34.938.173.1-3.243%-
Last 10 (10)38.830.969.7+7.990%-
Last 5 (5)41.827.269.0+14.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.241.472.7-10.222%-
vs Similar (6)34.529.363.8+5.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.133.273.3+6.973%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sjuharads W
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H16/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A25/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H02/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A09/12
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H15/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A03/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H13/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A24/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H27/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A02/02
Basketligan W
71.3Avg total
36.0Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.239.673.8-5.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.138.070.1-5.921%-
Last 30 away (16)35.941.076.9-5.138%-
Last 10 (10)36.035.371.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.636.473.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.442.274.7-9.915%-
vs Similar (1)31.036.067.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker (9)38.434.172.6+4.367%-
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ostersund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ostersund W: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.721.7
47.5%
44.5%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.9
32.5%
30.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws15.711.4
72.6%
73.7%11.4
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.518.2
40.9%
44.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.7
30.6%
30.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws13.611.4
83.8%
73.7%11.4
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ostersund W
WLWWWLLWWL
Hogsbo W
LWWLWWLLLW
#5
League position
#7
+10.5
Net rating
-5.6
100.1
Offensive rating
91.6
89.7
Defensive rating
97.2
47.9%
Effective FG%
42.7%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
17.2%
Turnover %
21.6%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.5%
3-point %
30.6%
65.7%
Assist %
68.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 91.6Defence89.7 · 97.2Shooting47.9% · 42.7%3-point %32.5% · 30.6%Ball care17.2% · 21.6%Off. rebounds28.9% · 34.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Ostersund W   ■ Hogsbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ostersund W wins
2
Hogsbo W wins
DateGameScore
07/01/23Ostersund W v Hogsbo W77-63
23/10/22Hogsbo W v Ostersund W62-92
22/02/22Hogsbo W v Ostersund W61-77
18/12/21Ostersund W v Hogsbo W96-68
05/04/17Ostersund W v Hogsbo W63-67
22/03/17Hogsbo W v Ostersund W92-67
Ostersund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HUppsala W75-68
24/01/24ASodertalje W63-74
13/01/24HLund W93-85
16/12/23HAIK Basket W81-59
09/12/23HAlvik W105-68
02/12/23HNorrkoping W75-78
25/11/23ASjuharads W56-60
18/11/23AVisby W78-61
04/11/23HMarbo W67-58
21/10/23AUppsala W70-75
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24ALulea W61-73
27/01/24HAIK Basket W87-64
24/01/24AAlvik W86-82
13/01/24HNorrkoping W56-88
03/01/24AVisby W95-76
15/12/23HMarbo W77-74
09/12/23AUppsala W59-79
02/12/23HSodertalje W51-82
25/11/23ALund W69-75
16/11/23HSjuharads W76-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ostersund W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%71%40%
Points / game75.278.171.0
Allowed / game68.470.365.8
Point differential+6.8+7.9+5.2
Avg total143.6148.4136.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%29%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game71.369.972.7
Allowed / game74.774.674.9
Point differential-3.4-4.7-2.1
Avg total146.0144.4147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje W15150100%87.758.3+29.4
2 Lulea W1412286%81.656.7+24.9
3 Norrkoping W1411379%80.465.4+15.1
4 Uppsala W1510567%79.571.4+8.1
5 Ostersund W127558%75.268.4+6.8
6 Hogsbo W147750%71.374.7-3.4
7 Marbo W146843%68.175.0-6.9
8 Sjuharads W1551033%61.365.7-4.5
9 Alvik W1551033%73.582.9-9.3
10 Lund W1551033%69.983.9-14.0
11 Visby W1521313%61.183.4-22.3
12 AIK Basket W141137%60.182.1-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ostersund W1917122371
Hogsbo W1219111759
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