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Ourense vs Breogan Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 25 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Postponed
Position#11
Record10-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#5
Record15-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game75.5
SpainPrimera FEBRound 32
Other2019-20
Meetings · Ourense v Breogan
13 Feb 2021
OURE77
BRE71
25 Apr 2020
OURE v BRE
upcoming
13 Jan 2018
OURE79
BRE67
28 Apr 2017
OURE75
BRE88
31 Oct 2015
OURE53
BRE71
02 Jun 2015
OURE91
BRE65
24 May 2015
OURE68
BRE77
22 May 2015
OURE83
BRE52
20 Mar 2015
OURE73
BRE75
09 Nov 2013
OURE60
BRE62
09 Mar 2013
OURE74
BRE66
03 Apr 2011
OURE71
BRE77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#5
L
52-85
52
85
-33
A28/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#4
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A03/01
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#15
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H10/01
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H18/01
Primera FEB
Castello
#10
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A24/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#16
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H01/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A07/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#3
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H15/02
Primera FEB
Valladolid
#2
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A28/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#9
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H07/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
19-23
9-20
12-24
18-22
18-18
17-15
12-17
20-19
16-12
15-11
13-7
23-21
22-23
15-19
20-23
16-16
20-22
27-23
23-17
21-15
14-20
11-17
19-20
17-21
20-16
19-24
24-26
23-20
18-12
17-26
10-12
14-22
24-22
14-10
21-20
23-23
11-23
22-27
18-13
146.6Avg total
70.7Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.274.8146.0-3.542%
Season at home (12)71.974.1146.0-2.242%
Season away (12)70.675.4146.0-4.842%
Last 10 (10)70.775.9146.6-5.220%
Last 5 (5)72.077.8149.8-5.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)67.879.4147.2-11.68%
vs Similar (16)73.770.8144.4+2.969%
vs Weaker (2)65.056.5121.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ourense
#11
W
85-52
85
52
+33
H28/12
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#15
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A03/01
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H10/01
Primera FEB
Castello
#10
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H18/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#16
L
66-72 OT
66
72
-6
A25/01
Primera FEB
Palencia
#7
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H01/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#3
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A07/02
Primera FEB
Valladolid
#2
W
95-71
95
71
+24
H15/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#9
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A28/02
Primera FEB
Granada
#13
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H07/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
23-19
20-9
24-12
18-15
10-14
23-22
13-10
25-14
14-22
26-29
20-21
20-15
22-16
28-21
17-17
17-23
17-14
8-16
19-8
20-20
21-26
16-16
18-12
13-22
17-22
14-20
22-19
29-16
17-19
29-15
20-21
30-19
15-25
15-19
16-14
26-12
20-21
20-21
20-9
149.3Avg total
78.5Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.275.5156.8+5.762%
Season at home (13)83.772.1155.8+11.677%
Season away (11)78.479.6158.0-1.345%
Last 10 (10)78.570.8149.3+7.760%
Last 5 (5)79.673.6153.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.286.7169.8-3.517%
vs Similar (11)80.786.2166.9-5.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.766.5148.2+15.285%
This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +4.6+4.6
OurenseBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A28/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A03/01
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/01
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H18/01
Primera FEB
Castello
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H01/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A07/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H15/02
Primera FEB
Valladolid
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A28/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#9
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H07/03
Primera FEB
75.7Avg total
36.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.336.572.8-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.037.074.0+0.060%-
Last 30 away (15)35.536.071.5-0.533%-
Last 10 (10)36.938.875.7-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.875.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.038.373.3-3.333%-
vs Similar (16)37.436.573.9+0.950%-
vs Weaker (2)34.525.560.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ourense
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H28/12
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#15
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A03/01
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/01
Primera FEB
Castello
#10
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H18/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#16
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A25/01
Primera FEB
Palencia
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H01/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#3
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A07/02
Primera FEB
Valladolid
#2
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H15/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A28/02
Primera FEB
Granada
#13
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H07/03
Primera FEB
75.8Avg total
39.2Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.980.5+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.537.979.4+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)41.840.081.8+1.857%-
Last 10 (10)39.236.675.8+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.482.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.342.884.2-1.550%-
vs Similar (11)41.544.585.9-3.036%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.932.374.2+9.677%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.323.0
50.8%
51.8%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.1
31.6%
33.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.013.3
70.0%
73.6%13.3
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ourense wins
7
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
28/12/19Breogan v Ourense85-52
13/01/18Ourense v Breogan79-67
30/09/17Breogan v Ourense83-71
28/04/17Ourense v Breogan75-88
30/12/16Breogan v Ourense87-74
06/02/16Breogan v Ourense90-68
31/10/15Ourense v Breogan53-71
02/06/15Ourense v Breogan91-65
31/05/15Breogan v Ourense69-73
29/05/15Breogan v Ourense81-73
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HCaceres74-86
28/02/20AValladolid73-74
15/02/20HAlicante68-70
07/02/20APalencia80-87
01/02/20HOviedo65-72
24/01/20ACastello86-78
18/01/20HAlmansa80-86
10/01/20HForca Lleida64-49
03/01/20ALeyma Coruna65-72
28/12/19ABreogan52-85
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HGranada86-63
28/02/20ACaceres76-77
15/02/20HValladolid95-71
07/02/20AAlicante66-83
01/02/20HPalencia75-74
25/01/20AOviedo66-72 OT
18/01/20HCastello87-69
10/01/20HAlmansa85-86
03/01/20AForca Lleida64-61
28/12/19HOurense85-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense
Primera FEB 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL42%
HomeWLLLL42%
AwayLLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%42%42%
Points / game71.271.970.6
Allowed / game74.874.175.4
Point differential-3.5-2.2-4.8
Avg total146.0146.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
Primera FEB 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayLWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %62%77%45%
Points / game81.283.778.4
Allowed / game75.572.179.6
Point differential+5.7+11.6-1.3
Avg total156.8155.8158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%54%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gipuzkoa2418675%75.969.1+6.8
2 Valladolid2418675%79.975.1+4.8
3 Alicante2416867%80.574.4+6.0
4 Leyma Coruna2416867%74.274.3-0.0
5 Breogan2415962%81.275.5+5.7
6 Melilla2415962%76.171.2+4.9
7 Palencia2415962%82.577.9+4.6
8 Fibwi Palma2415962%76.672.2+4.5
9 Caceres24141058%76.572.9+3.7
10 Castello24101442%79.281.7-2.5
11 Ourense24101442%71.274.8-3.5
12 Almansa24101442%76.681.3-4.7
13 Granada2491538%72.273.0-0.8
14 Huesca2491538%73.377.2-3.9
15 Forca Lleida2491538%72.977.3-4.5
16 Oviedo2481633%70.175.8-5.7
17 Real Canoe2451921%76.880.9-4.1
18 Peixegalego2442017%67.178.3-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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