Ourense vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 96-77

25-17 24-21 26-24 21-15

Position#10

Record11-17

FormLLLLL

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game83.4

Ourense 🏆

Castello

Position#17

Record7-21

FormLLLLL

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game89.6

Primera FEBRound 29

Other2024-25

Meetings · Ourense v Castello

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Castello winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ourense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOurense

Date

Competition

Zamora

#13

84-93

-9

67avg 72

A08/02

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

78-94

-16

69avg 72

H12/02

Primera FEB

Cartagena

80-92

-12

75avg 72

A16/02

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

84-83

78avg 72

A02/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

73-79

-6

65avg 72

H08/03

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

59-89

-30

52avg 72

A11/03

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

77-85

-8

67avg 72

H15/03

Primera FEB

Real Betis

89-94 OT

-5

81avg 72

A21/03

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

60-74

-14

46avg 72

H29/03

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

74-81

-7

72avg 72

A06/04

Primera FEB

13-23

26-25

22-19

23-26

22-26

22-19

18-25

16-24

19-24

25-22

22-22

14-24

30-22

19-20

19-14

16-27

21-23

17-13

20-24

15-19

12-19

10-25

20-30

17-15

19-17

10-19

27-24

21-25

24-22

22-21

19-18

12-16

18-19

12-14

14-23

16-18

18-13

14-19

16-23

26-26

162.2Avg total

75.8Scored

86.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	81.6	83.4	165.0	-1.8	39%
Season at home (14)	83.4	79.8	163.1	+3.6	43%
Season away (14)	79.9	87.0	166.9	-7.1	36%
Last 10 (10)	75.8	86.4	162.2	-10.6	10%
Last 5 (5)	71.8	84.6	156.4	-12.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	78.8	87.7	166.5	-8.8	17%
vs Similar (10)	80.6	80.3	160.9	+0.3	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	86.4	80.6	167.0	+5.8	62%

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCastello

Date

Competition

Hestia Menorca

#15

66-90

-24

51avg 73

A07/02

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

78-88

-10

71avg 73

H11/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

76-96

-20

65avg 73

A15/02

Primera FEB

Cartagena

83-87 OT

-4

70avg 73

H02/03

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

87-96

-9

77avg 73

A08/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

85-89

-4

81avg 73

H11/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

76-87

-11

74avg 73

A16/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

94-97

-3

86avg 73

H21/03

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

72-100

100

-28

60avg 73

A28/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

83-102

102

-19

81avg 73

H04/04

Primera FEB

12-18

20-23

21-29

13-20

22-33

21-20

15-17

20-18

19-20

17-25

19-18

21-33

22-37

14-11

27-13

14-16

27-20

23-38

19-20

18-18

33-29

17-15

22-26

13-19

24-20

20-26

21-21

11-20

22-21

19-20

30-26

23-30

18-26

14-22

22-23

18-29

21-24

19-30

28-26

15-22

173.2Avg total

80.0Scored

93.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	80.4	89.6	170.0	-9.3	25%
Season at home (14)	80.3	82.6	162.9	-2.4	43%
Season away (14)	80.4	96.6	177.1	-16.2	7%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	93.2	173.2	-13.2	0%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	95.0	177.0	-13.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	79.0	89.1	168.1	-10.0	27%
vs Similar (8)	85.6	91.8	177.4	-6.1	25%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OurenseCastello

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	20.5	43.2	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.3	41.3	+0.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	58%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.8	19.5	42.2	+3.2	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	23.3	45.7	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	22.5	45.9	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	24.1	45.5	-2.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	24.8	46.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	24.0	47.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	22.4	22.8	45.2	-0.5	55%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.2	24.8	47.0	-2.5	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	20.3	37.9	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.8	18.5	35.3	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	22.1	40.5	-3.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.7	37.4	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	19.6	33.2	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.1	20.1	37.2	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.4	20.5	36.9	-4.1	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.9	20.4	40.2	-0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	22.5	40.0	-5.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	18.9	37.2	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	26.1	42.7	-9.4	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	23.0	41.4	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.6	40.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.6	23.0	40.6	-5.4	23%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.1	21.0	38.1	-3.9	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zamora

#13

39-48

-9

A08/02

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

44-45

-1

H12/02

Primera FEB

Cartagena

44-46

-2

A16/02

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

49-42

A02/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

38-36

H08/03

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

22-44

-22

A11/03

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

29-36

-7

H15/03

Primera FEB

Real Betis

46-43

A21/03

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

30-33

-3

H29/03

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

32-32

A06/04

Primera FEB

77.8Avg total

37.3Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	40.7	80.1	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	39.0	78.5	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	42.5	81.8	-3.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	40.5	77.8	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	37.6	69.4	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	38.1	41.5	79.6	-3.4	42%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.4	40.5	78.9	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	42.6	39.9	82.5	+2.8	62%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hestia Menorca

#15

32-41

-9

A07/02

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

43-53

-10

H11/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

36-45

-9

A15/02

Primera FEB

Cartagena

36-48

-12

H02/03

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

50-58

-8

A08/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

50-44

H11/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

44-46

-2

A16/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

41-41

H21/03

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

32-48

-16

A28/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

40-54

-14

H04/04

Primera FEB

88.2Avg total

40.4Scored

47.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	45.8	85.6	-6.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	41.4	83.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.0	50.2	88.2	-12.2	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	47.8	88.2	-7.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	46.6	88.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	40.0	45.8	85.8	-5.8	23%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.4	45.8	85.1	-6.4	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.2	41.9	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.6	42.8	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.6	22.1	41.7	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.5	22.0	44.5	+0.5	38%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	22.6	44.1	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	21.9	44.3	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	24.4	49.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	24.5	20.8	45.2	+3.8	88%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	18.7	41.2	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.9	39.4	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	22.0	39.6	-4.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.9	20.8	39.7	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.8	19.5	41.3	+2.3	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.5	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	22.0	41.2	-2.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	22.5	39.1	-5.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	24.0	40.0	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.3	45%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.4	22.2	41.6	-2.9	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	41.0	81.7	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	40.1	82.2	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.4	41.9	81.3	-2.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	44.2	81.5	-6.9	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	43.6	81.2	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	38.5	42.8	81.3	-4.3	17%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.0	39.0	80.0	+2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	43.8	40.8	84.5	+3.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	42.8	82.7	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	44.6	85.3	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	44.4	83.4	-5.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	48.4	89.0	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	38.4	42.7	81.1	-4.3	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.9	43.0	86.9	+0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ourense wins

Castello wins

Date	Game	Score
08/11/24	Castello v Ourense	95-86
13/03/24	Castello v Ourense	78-81
07/10/23	Ourense v Castello	93-80
05/02/23	Castello v Ourense	76-64
14/10/22	Ourense v Castello	78-74
24/01/20	Castello v Ourense	78-86
06/10/19	Ourense v Castello	82-65
16/02/19	Ourense v Castello	72-82
26/10/18	Castello v Ourense	80-85
25/03/18	Ourense v Castello	65-75

Ourenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/04/25	A	Fuenlabrada	74-81
29/03/25	H	San Pablo Burgos	60-74
21/03/25	A	Real Betis	89-94 OT
15/03/25	H	Obradoiro CAB	77-85
11/03/25	A	Moron	59-89
08/03/25	H	Estudiantes	73-79
02/03/25	A	Tizona Burgos	84-83
16/02/25	A	Cartagena	80-92
12/02/25	H	Oviedo	78-94
08/02/25	A	Zamora	84-93

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/04/25	H	Real Valladolid	83-102
28/03/25	A	Obradoiro CAB	72-100
21/03/25	H	Tizona Burgos	94-97
16/03/25	A	Oviedo	76-87
11/03/25	H	Estudiantes	85-89
08/03/25	A	Zamora	87-96
02/03/25	H	Cartagena	83-87 OT
15/02/25	A	Estela	76-96
11/02/25	H	Fuenlabrada	78-88
07/02/25	A	Hestia Menorca	66-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	39%
Home	LLLLL	43%
Away	LWLLL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	39%	43%	36%
Points / game	81.6	83.4	79.9
Allowed / game	83.4	79.8	87.0
Point differential	-1.8	+3.6	-7.1
Avg total	165.0	163.1	166.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	21%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	25% (4)	75% (4)
Overtime %	14%	14%	14%

Castello

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	25%
Home	LLLLL	43%
Away	LLLLL	7%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	25%	43%	7%
Points / game	80.4	80.3	80.4
Allowed / game	89.6	82.6	96.6
Point differential	-9.3	-2.4	-16.2
Avg total	170.0	162.9	177.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	21%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	40% (5)	33% (3)
Overtime %	11%	7%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	28	26	2	93%	89.0	74.5	+14.5
2	Fuenlabrada	29	24	5	83%	84.9	75.5	+9.4
3	Estudiantes	28	23	5	82%	86.5	78.2	+8.2
4	Real Betis	28	22	6	79%	83.5	74.9	+8.6
5	Obradoiro CAB	28	19	9	68%	82.8	73.4	+9.4
6	Palencia	28	19	9	68%	86.9	80.4	+6.5
7	Tizona Burgos	29	15	14	52%	88.8	89.1	-0.3
8	Cartagena	28	13	15	46%	77.5	84.4	-6.9
9	Gipuzkoa	28	11	17	39%	78.0	79.6	-1.6
10	Ourense	28	11	17	39%	81.6	83.4	-1.8
11	Oviedo	28	11	17	39%	78.1	81.1	-3.0
12	Alicante	29	11	18	38%	79.1	79.7	-0.6
13	Zamora	29	11	18	38%	78.6	82.5	-3.9
14	Hestia Menorca	28	10	18	36%	74.5	77.9	-3.4
15	Estela	29	10	19	34%	75.7	83.0	-7.3
16	Real Valladolid	29	9	20	31%	78.0	85.2	-7.2
17	Castello	28	7	21	25%	80.4	89.6	-9.3
18	Moron	28	3	25	11%	72.4	83.2	-10.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ourense	25	24	26	21	96
Castello	17	21	24	15	77

← all games of the day

Ourense vs Castello Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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