Ourense vs Real Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 May 2021

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 77-78

20-22 22-24 19-12 16-20

Position#15

Record11-14

FormWLLWW

Points / game75.4

Allowed / game79.2

Ourense

Real Murcia 🏆

Position#11

Record11-14

FormLWWWW

Points / game73.4

Allowed / game73.2

Primera FEBRound 16

Other2020-21

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Murcia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ourense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melilla

#14

70-66

H07/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#10

88-77 OT

+11

H21/03

Primera FEB

Real Murcia

#11

69-81

-12

A27/03

Primera FEB

Basquet Girona

77-89

-12

A31/03

Primera FEB

Real Canoe

#19

90-70

+20

A09/04

Primera FEB

Basquet Girona

73-71

H18/04

Primera FEB

Huesca

#17

65-91

-26

H05/05

Primera FEB

Huesca

#17

64-103

103

-39

A09/05

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#10

76-74

A12/05

Primera FEB

Real Canoe

#19

88-74

+14

H16/05

Primera FEB

12-24

22-10

15-15

21-17

20-18

14-16

20-13

15-22

20-24

18-15

14-19

17-23

23-22

19-25

14-17

21-25

20-20

24-19

23-16

23-15

14-10

27-22

10-14

22-25

20-21

19-22

11-25

15-23

14-27

14-25

17-24

19-27

17-13

16-18

27-25

27-18

24-15

19-15

18-26

155.6Avg total

76.0Scored

79.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	75.4	79.2	154.6	-3.8	44%
Season at home (12)	76.3	76.1	152.4	+0.2	67%
Season away (13)	74.5	82.0	156.5	-7.5	23%
Last 10 (10)	76.0	79.6	155.6	-3.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.2	82.6	155.8	-9.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	73.6	80.5	154.1	-6.9	17%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	74.0	78.6	152.6	-4.6	44%
vs Weaker (2)	89.0	72.0	161.0	+17.0	100%

This opponent (Real Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Murcia Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Granada

68-80

-12

H23/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

105-81

105

+24

A28/02

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

63-68

-5

H07/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#13

68-74

-6

A19/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#15

81-69

+12

H27/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

#14

65-68

-3

H31/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#18

102-71

102

+31

H10/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

#14

67-61

A17/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

#13

80-64

+16

H24/04

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#18

88-75

+13

A16/05

Primera FEB

19-20

11-26

17-16

21-18

35-15

21-23

25-20

24-23

19-14

15-18

18-19

11-17

20-14

19-21

8-16

21-23

24-20

15-18

19-14

23-17

25-12

13-28

18-12

9-16

15-16

30-15

31-21

26-19

12-12

21-19

20-11

14-19

20-16

24-11

22-19

14-18

28-10

18-22

21-23

21-20

149.8Avg total

78.7Scored

71.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	73.4	73.2	146.6	+0.1	44%
Season at home (13)	72.4	71.2	143.5	+1.2	54%
Season away (12)	74.4	75.5	149.9	-1.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	71.1	149.8	+7.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	67.8	148.2	+12.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	70.5	87.0	157.5	-16.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	72.3	72.7	145.0	-0.4	45%
vs Weaker (8)	82.5	70.6	153.1	+11.9	75%

This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OurenseReal Murcia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.6	37.3	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	17.9	38.7	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	19.3	35.9	-2.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.7	38.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.6	18.8	37.3	-0.2	58%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	19.0	42.5	+4.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	16.3	35.9	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	15.7	34.6	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	16.9	37.3	+3.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	14.9	36.6	+6.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	13.2	33.2	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.2	16.7	36.0	+2.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.9	14.6	35.5	+6.2	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	18.9	37.4	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.7	38.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.8	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	17.6	17.6	35.2	-0.1	31%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	17.0	41.0	+7.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.2	36.6	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.6	19.7	36.3	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	13.0	21.5	34.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	17.1	20.0	37.0	-2.9	30%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.4	16.5	35.9	+2.9	50%	-

OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melilla

#14

34-34

H07/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#10

34-34

H21/03

Primera FEB

Real Murcia

#11

38-39

-1

A27/03

Primera FEB

Basquet Girona

42-47

-5

A31/03

Primera FEB

Real Canoe

#19

44-39

A09/04

Primera FEB

Basquet Girona

41-32

H18/04

Primera FEB

Huesca

#17

39-43

-4

H05/05

Primera FEB

Huesca

#17

28-52

-24

A09/05

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#10

33-31

A12/05

Primera FEB

Real Canoe

#19

51-33

+18

H16/05

Primera FEB

76.8Avg total

38.4Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	37.4	74.6	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	36.6	75.9	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.1	38.2	73.3	-3.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	38.4	76.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	38.2	76.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	37.5	39.4	76.9	-1.9	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	35.8	36.1	71.8	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.5	36.0	83.5	+11.5	100%	-

This opponent (Real Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Granada

30-46

-16

H23/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

56-38

+18

A28/02

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

34-32

H07/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#13

39-35

A19/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#15

39-38

H27/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

#14

38-40

-2

H31/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#18

45-31

+14

H10/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

#14

33-31

A17/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

#13

44-27

+17

H24/04

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#18

46-32

+14

A16/05

Primera FEB

75.4Avg total

40.4Scored

35.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	35.5	72.5	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.5	35.4	70.9	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.6	35.5	74.1	+3.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	35.0	75.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	32.2	73.4	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	31.5	40.5	72.0	-9.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	36.3	36.7	73.0	-0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.2	31.1	71.4	+9.1	75%	-

This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.7	37.0	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.1	18.9	35.0	-2.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	17.6	33.5	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	19.2	33.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.5	20.3	36.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	17.6	19.7	37.2	-2.1	31%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	15.5	36.5	+5.5	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	17.5	37.2	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	18.1	35.2	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	17.1	37.0	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.2	39.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.0	19.0	31.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.1	16.8	34.9	+1.2	55%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	23.2	44.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.8	42.6	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	25.2	45.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.6	20.8	40.3	-1.2	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.5	22.4	41.9	-2.9	31%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	18.5	36.4	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.5	39.1	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.4	35.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	17.1	18.7	35.8	-1.6	35%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.1	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	41.3	78.2	-4.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.3	38.9	73.2	-4.7	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	43.6	83.3	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	40.4	76.1	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	44.4	79.2	-9.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	36.1	41.1	77.2	-5.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	37.1	42.1	79.1	-5.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.5	36.0	77.5	+5.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	36.9	73.9	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	36.1	73.6	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.6	37.7	74.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	36.1	74.4	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	35.6	74.8	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.0	40.0	75.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	35.2	35.5	70.7	-0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.2	39.5	81.8	+2.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

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Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ourense wins

Real Murcia wins

Date	Game	Score
27/03/21	Real Murcia v Ourense	81-69

Ourenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/05/21	H	Real Canoe	88-74
12/05/21	A	Forca Lleida	76-74
09/05/21	A	Huesca	64-103
05/05/21	H	Huesca	65-91
18/04/21	H	Basquet Girona	73-71
09/04/21	A	Real Canoe	90-70
31/03/21	A	Basquet Girona	77-89
27/03/21	A	Real Murcia	69-81
21/03/21	H	Forca Lleida	88-77 OT
07/03/21	H	Melilla	70-66

Real Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/05/21	A	Tizona Burgos	88-75
24/04/21	H	Caceres	80-64
17/04/21	A	Melilla	67-61
10/04/21	H	Tizona Burgos	102-71
31/03/21	H	Melilla	65-68
27/03/21	H	Ourense	81-69
19/03/21	A	Caceres	68-74
07/03/21	H	Fibwi Palma	63-68
28/02/21	A	Alicante	105-81
23/02/21	H	Granada	68-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense

Primera FEB 2020-21

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	44%
Home	WWWLW	67%
Away	LLWLW	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	44%	67%	23%
Points / game	75.4	76.3	74.5
Allowed / game	79.2	76.1	82.0
Point differential	-3.8	+0.2	-7.5
Avg total	154.6	152.4	156.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	25%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Real Murcia

Primera FEB 2020-21

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	44%
Home	LWLWW	54%
Away	LWLWW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	44%	54%	33%
Points / game	73.4	72.4	74.4
Allowed / game	73.2	71.2	75.5
Point differential	+0.1	+1.2	-1.1
Avg total	146.6	143.5	149.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	23%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	50% (4)	0% (3)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Breogan	26	19	7	73%	79.2	73.4	+5.8
2	Castello	28	20	8	71%	80.9	75.7	+5.2
3	Granada	28	20	8	71%	78.9	74.0	+4.9
4	Leyma Coruna	26	18	8	69%	76.8	71.4	+5.4
5	Oviedo	26	16	10	62%	79.8	77.3	+2.4
6	Alicante	28	16	12	57%	79.3	74.8	+4.5
7	Fibwi Palma	28	15	13	54%	77.2	79.5	-2.2
8	Real Valladolid	26	13	13	50%	82.8	82.6	+0.2
9	Basquet Girona	26	12	14	46%	78.1	76.7	+1.5
10	Forca Lleida	26	12	14	46%	76.5	77.1	-0.5
11	Real Murcia	25	11	14	44%	73.4	73.2	+0.1
12	Ourense	25	11	14	44%	75.4	79.2	-3.8
13	Almansa	28	12	16	43%	77.4	77.9	-0.6
14	Caceres	26	11	15	42%	73.4	76.6	-3.2
15	Melilla	26	11	15	42%	76.1	79.4	-3.3
16	Palencia	26	10	16	38%	72.7	73.2	-0.5
17	Huesca	26	10	16	38%	74.6	76.1	-1.5
18	Tizona Burgos	26	9	17	35%	78.7	84.8	-6.2
19	Real Canoe	26	5	21	19%	73.8	83.0	-9.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ourense	20	22	19	16	77
Real Murcia	22	24	12	20	78

← all games of the day

Ourense vs Real Murcia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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