PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ourense vs Zamora Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 16 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#12
Record3-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game81.5
SpainPrimera FEBRound 30
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ourense v Zamora
16 Apr 2027
OURE v ZAMO
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
OURE84
ZAMO105
11 Dec 2024
OURE79
ZAMO73
20 Nov 2021
OURE76
ZAMO52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zamora win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
W
93-84
93
84
+9
86avg 71
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
65avg 71
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
91-71
91
71
+20
79avg 71
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
90-86
90
86
+4
79avg 71
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
86-101
86
101
-15
76avg 71
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 71
H16/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
64avg 71
A24/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
83-73
83
73
+10
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
A07/11
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
24-31
25-18
20-16
13-20
22-27
19-15
16-12
31-15
18-24
22-17
20-15
20-29
30-16
20-21
20-20
28-21
13-31
20-27
25-22
16-16
22-16
22-24
19-27
25-13
20-22
16-25
19-24
23-20
18-20
26-11
16-22
19-17
25-19
19-20
23-28
20-24
23-11
21-16
23-23
165.9Avg total
84.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.282.0167.2+3.262%
Season at home (5)85.280.4165.6+4.860%
Season away (3)85.384.7170.0+0.767%
Last 10 (10)84.581.4165.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)83.079.6162.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.584.6162.1-7.114%
vs Similar (7)78.782.4161.1-3.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.477.4158.9+4.067%
This opponent (Zamora) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZamoraSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZamora
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
64avg 64
A02/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
68avg 64
H08/05
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
L
57-72
57
72
-15
42avg 64
A26/09
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
H03/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
L
69-84
69
84
-15
53avg 64
A11/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H17/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#9
L
77-81
77
81
-4
67avg 64
A24/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
W
90-89
90
89
+1
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
A08/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
H14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
25-23
18-29
20-17
24-14
19-18
26-23
14-21
18-22
13-15
12-19
14-16
22-24
29-13
10-22
12-21
15-18
18-21
17-23
19-22
30-15
18-18
19-16
22-32
15-19
23-24
17-20
22-18
15-18
25-24
29-15
21-32
23-21
28-22
27-17
14-19
20-27
19-16
14-26
24-17
160.5Avg total
78.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.081.5159.5-3.538%
Season at home (4)82.284.0166.2-1.850%
Season away (4)73.879.0152.8-5.225%
Last 10 (10)78.781.8160.5-3.140%
Last 5 (5)85.083.2168.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.187.1163.1-11.014%
vs Similar (10)82.481.3163.7+1.170%
vs Weaker (6)89.284.3173.5+4.867%
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.3-3.3
OurenseZamora
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H16/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A24/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H31/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A07/11
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/11
Primera FEB
84.5Avg total
43.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.980.8-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.041.681.6-1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)39.939.979.8+0.062%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.184.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.677.8+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.842.180.9-3.343%-
vs Similar (7)40.141.982.0-1.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.738.279.9+3.478%-
This opponent (Zamora) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZamoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A02/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H08/05
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A26/09
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H03/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A11/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H17/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#9
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A24/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H31/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A08/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H14/11
Primera FEB
80.9Avg total
41.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.382.0-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.742.582.1-2.840%-
Last 30 away (15)39.742.181.9-2.427%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.380.9+2.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.884.0+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.743.680.3-6.914%-
vs Similar (10)41.539.981.4+1.650%-
vs Weaker (6)43.743.387.0+0.350%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ourense: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.2
51.9%
53.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.3
30.5%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws25.718.3
71.2%
74.2%18.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zamoratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zamora: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.0
47.4%
53.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.0
28.3%
32.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.716.8
77.4%
74.2%16.8
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ourense
WWWLLLWWLW
Zamora
LWWLWLLLWL
#6
League position
#12
-5.1
Net rating
-4.0
110.3
Offensive rating
104.4
115.4
Defensive rating
108.4
49.6%
Effective FG%
45.6%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.5%
3-point %
28.3%
53.1%
Assist %
45.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 104.4Defence115.4 · 108.4Shooting49.6% · 45.6%3-point %30.5% · 28.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Ourense   ■ Zamora
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ourense wins
3
Zamora wins
DateGameScore
28/03/26Ourense v Zamora84-105
11/10/25Zamora v Ourense84-94
08/02/25Zamora v Ourense93-84
11/12/24Ourense v Zamora79-73
05/03/22Zamora v Ourense59-53
20/11/21Ourense v Zamora76-52
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCaja 8787-74
07/11/26AFuenlabrada86-84
31/10/26HFibwi Palma83-73
24/10/26APalencia80-84
16/10/26HAlicante79-83
10/10/26HEstela86-101
04/10/26AGipuzkoa90-86
26/09/26HTizona Burgos91-71
08/05/26HOviedo70-74
03/05/26AMelilla93-84
Zamoralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPalencia77-86
08/11/26AFibwi Palma92-79
31/10/26HAlbacete90-89
24/10/26AOviedo77-81
17/10/26HGranada89-81
11/10/26APalmer Basket69-84
03/10/26HEstudiantes73-80
26/09/26ACordoba57-72
08/05/26HAlicante83-76
02/05/26AOviedo80-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game85.285.285.3
Allowed / game82.080.484.7
Point differential+3.2+4.8+0.7
Avg total167.2165.6170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zamora
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL38%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game78.082.273.8
Allowed / game81.584.079.0
Point differential-3.5-1.8-5.2
Avg total159.5166.2152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket74357%87.486.4+1.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Albacete73443%79.484.0-4.6
11 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
12 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.