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Ourense vs Zamora Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 84-105
19-21 21-28 19-33 25-23
Position#11
Record11-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Zamora 🏆
Spain
Position#9
Record10-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game87.1
SpainPrimera FEBRound 27
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ourense v Zamora
16 Apr 2027
OURE v ZAMO
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
OURE84
ZAMO105
11 Dec 2024
OURE79
ZAMO73
20 Nov 2021
OURE76
ZAMO52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zamora winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A16/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
69-72
69
72
-3
56avg 71
H31/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
52avg 71
A04/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 71
H07/02
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
80-81
80
81
-1
71avg 71
A11/02
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
103-97
103
97
+6
99avg 71
H14/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
81-69
81
69
+12
78avg 71
H21/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
79-81
79
81
-2
71avg 71
A07/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
59-74
59
74
-15
45avg 71
H11/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
79-77
79
77
+2
67avg 71
H14/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
17-23
26-13
12-31
13-18
31-19
14-17
11-18
27-23
19-13
15-24
10-18
18-25
16-15
25-21
22-14
19-18
18-23
28-27
15-13
27-16
27-33
17-23
32-25
19-16
17-18
21-15
24-20
19-20
22-20
15-23
23-18
10-17
23-20
15-19
11-18
23-25
17-20
17-19
22-13
156.6Avg total
77.9Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.080.7161.7+0.246%
Season at home (12)83.377.9161.2+5.475%
Season away (12)78.683.5162.1-4.917%
Last 10 (10)77.978.7156.6-0.840%
Last 5 (5)80.279.6159.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.385.6166.9-4.436%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.579.9159.5-0.445%
vs Weaker (8)85.678.0163.6+7.662%
This opponent (Zamora) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZamoraSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZamora
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
W
97-88
97
88
+9
84avg 72
H04/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
61-79
61
79
-18
40avg 72
A11/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
95-92
95
92
+3
89avg 72
A01/02
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
77-92
77
92
-15
62avg 72
H07/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
72avg 72
A11/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
101-93
101
93
+8
90avg 72
A15/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
70-101
70
101
-31
53avg 72
H21/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
66-77
66
77
-11
58avg 72
A06/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
58avg 72
H10/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
72-67
72
67
+5
64avg 72
H21/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
24-21
26-28
20-19
18-28
13-16
17-23
13-12
27-23
21-22
27-29
20-18
21-19
11-33
24-24
21-16
14-18
25-21
18-21
19-21
23-29
28-17
19-18
31-29
10-30
19-21
22-30
19-20
18-22
17-14
16-16
15-25
18-20
18-32
24-21
15-13
12-11
18-15
28-18
14-23
164.6Avg total
79.0Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.287.1170.3-4.042%
Season at home (12)84.687.9172.5-3.350%
Season away (12)81.886.3168.1-4.633%
Last 10 (10)79.085.6164.6-6.640%
Last 5 (5)76.884.8161.6-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.787.3164.0-10.621%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.985.6168.5-2.736%
vs Weaker (5)95.479.8175.2+15.6100%
This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
OurenseZamora
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A16/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H31/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A04/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H07/02
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A11/02
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H14/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H21/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A07/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H11/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H14/03
Primera FEB
80.2Avg total
40.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.783.6+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.039.783.7+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)41.941.683.5+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.880.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.081.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.943.186.0-0.255%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.240.983.1+1.364%-
vs Weaker (8)44.037.081.0+7.062%-
This opponent (Zamora) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZamoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H04/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A11/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A01/02
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H07/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A11/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A15/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H21/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A06/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H10/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H21/03
Primera FEB
81.4Avg total
38.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.644.884.5-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.844.982.7-7.133%-
Last 30 away (15)41.544.786.2-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)38.243.281.4-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.278.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.945.381.1-9.421%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.746.886.5-7.127%-
vs Weaker (5)50.039.289.2+10.8100%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ourense: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.1 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.919.6
43.6%
51.5%39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.1
32.9%
33.9%21.4
🏀 Free throws21.916.3
74.5%
73.4%16.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zamoratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zamora: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.719.0
46.7%
51.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.3
31.3%
33.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.616.7
70.9%
73.4%16.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ourense
WLLWWLWLLL
Zamora
WLLLWLLWLW
#11
League position
#9
-3.9
Net rating
-10.2
105.0
Offensive rating
101.4
108.9
Defensive rating
111.6
45.5%
Effective FG%
46.8%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.9%
3-point %
31.3%
54.0%
Assist %
44.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 101.4Defence108.9 · 111.6Shooting45.5% · 46.8%3-point %32.9% · 31.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Ourense   ■ Zamora
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ourense wins
2
Zamora wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Zamora v Ourense84-94
08/02/25Zamora v Ourense93-84
11/12/24Ourense v Zamora79-73
05/03/22Zamora v Ourense59-53
20/11/21Ourense v Zamora76-52
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HTizona Burgos79-77
11/03/26HLeyma Coruna59-74
07/03/26AGipuzkoa79-81
21/02/26HFibwi Palma81-69
14/02/26HEstudiantes103-97
11/02/26ACartagena80-81
07/02/26HAlicante81-75
04/02/26AFuenlabrada71-78
31/01/26HFuenlabrada69-72
16/01/26APalencia77-83
Zamoralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HHestia Menorca72-67
10/03/26HEstudiantes75-86
06/03/26APalencia66-77
21/02/26HGipuzkoa70-101
15/02/26ATizona Burgos101-93
11/02/26ALeyma Coruna76-81
07/02/26HObradoiro CAB77-92
01/02/26APalmer Basket95-92
11/01/26AFuenlabrada61-79
04/01/26HMelilla97-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW46%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%75%17%
Points / game81.083.378.6
Allowed / game80.777.983.5
Point differential+0.2+5.4-4.9
Avg total161.7161.2162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)75% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zamora
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW42%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game83.284.681.8
Allowed / game87.187.986.3
Point differential-4.0-3.3-4.6
Avg total170.3172.5168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna2624292%91.778.0+13.7
2 Obradoiro CAB2421388%92.877.2+15.6
3 Palencia2620677%84.072.1+11.9
4 Estudiantes2415962%84.780.8+3.8
5 Gipuzkoa25151060%79.674.7+4.9
6 Oviedo25141156%83.679.3+4.3
7 Hestia Menorca24131154%81.577.3+4.2
8 Fuenlabrada26141254%79.682.0-2.4
9 Alicante25131252%83.382.1+1.2
10 Ourense24111346%81.080.7+0.2
11 Zamora24101442%83.287.1-4.0
12 Estela25101540%78.184.0-6.0
13 Fibwi Palma2591636%77.082.5-5.6
14 Cartagena2571828%73.084.7-11.7
15 Palmer Basket2561924%73.084.7-11.8
16 Tizona Burgos2662023%82.289.0-6.8
17 Melilla2542116%75.487.0-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ourense1921192584
Zamora21283323105
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