Oviedo vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 May 2018

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 64-58

17-16 13-14 17-10 17-18

Position#4

Record22-12

FormLWWWL

Points / game76.4

Allowed / game74.0

Oviedo 🏆

Palencia

Position#7

Record18-16

FormWWLWL

Points / game74.9

Allowed / game73.4

Primera FEBLEB Oro - Quarter-finals

Other2017-18

Meetings · Oviedo v Palencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oviedo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Palencia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oviedo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

#16

67-64

H03/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#10

97-72

+25

A09/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

64-61

A16/03

Primera FEB

Castello

62-83

-21

A20/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

73-72

H24/03

Primera FEB

Manresa

68-70

-2

A01/04

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

#14

87-79

H07/04

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

#13

84-76

A14/04

Primera FEB

Huesca

#15

80-61

+19

H20/04

Primera FEB

Breogan

65-91

-26

A27/04

Primera FEB

15-15

16-10

20-28

16-11

32-18

24-21

20-13

21-20

17-16

20-20

15-10

12-15

17-18

20-19

12-25

13-21

14-20

17-10

23-20

19-22

12-22

21-14

18-20

17-14

24-16

25-24

20-19

18-20

26-12

21-17

18-19

19-28

16-17

18-12

15-15

31-17

26-27

10-21

14-23

15-20

147.6Avg total

74.7Scored

72.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	76.4	74.0	150.4	+2.4	65%
Season at home (17)	78.8	72.2	151.0	+6.6	76%
Season away (17)	73.9	75.8	149.7	-1.8	53%
Last 10 (10)	74.7	72.9	147.6	+1.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	75.4	152.2	+1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	70.8	81.8	152.5	-11.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	73.0	75.0	148.0	-2.0	57%
vs Weaker (12)	81.0	70.2	151.2	+10.8	92%

This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Breogan

82-80

A04/03

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#17

86-71

+15

H09/03

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#18

86-69

+17

A18/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

76-64

+12

H21/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

72-73

-1

A24/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

74-72

H01/04

Primera FEB

Valladolid

#11

72-67

A06/04

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

67-76

-9

H13/04

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#16

84-75

A20/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

#10

71-80

-9

H27/04

Primera FEB

23-20

16-18

22-21

21-21

29-26

14-21

20-10

23-14

23-15

25-15

19-18

19-21

24-15

16-25

18-13

18-11

20-14

10-17

20-23

22-19

21-20

14-21

24-13

15-18

17-17

17-11

22-22

16-17

18-22

13-27

17-15

19-12

22-18

21-26

18-18

23-13

17-21

21-23

17-13

16-23

149.7Avg total

77.0Scored

72.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	74.9	73.4	148.4	+1.5	53%
Season at home (17)	75.7	72.6	148.4	+3.1	59%
Season away (17)	74.1	74.2	148.4	-0.1	47%
Last 10 (10)	77.0	72.7	149.7	+4.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	74.0	147.6	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	72.0	75.2	147.2	-3.2	25%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	76.6	75.1	151.7	+1.6	64%
vs Weaker (12)	75.6	70.3	145.9	+5.2	67%

This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OviedoPalencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.8	39.6	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.1	38.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	23.8	44.8	-2.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.1	21.7	39.8	-3.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.3	16.2	37.6	+5.1	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.9	18.0	36.9	+0.9	42%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.0	35.4	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	15.9	34.3	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	18.2	36.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.0	19.2	34.2	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.0	17.2	34.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.0	16.1	37.1	+4.9	92%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.7	37.0	-0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.6	19.2	35.8	-2.7	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	18.1	38.3	+2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	20.4	37.1	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.6	38.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	19.0	35.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.8	18.6	37.3	+0.2	33%	-

OviedoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

#16

31-25

H03/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#10

56-39

+17

A09/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

37-36

A16/03

Primera FEB

Castello

37-37

A20/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

31-30

H24/03

Primera FEB

Manresa

33-36

-3

A01/04

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

#14

49-40

H07/04

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

#13

47-29

+18

A14/04

Primera FEB

Huesca

#15

34-29

H20/04

Primera FEB

Breogan

36-48

-12

A27/04

Primera FEB

74.0Avg total

39.1Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	36.8	74.9	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	35.6	73.1	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	38.1	76.8	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	34.9	74.0	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	36.4	76.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.0	43.0	79.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	35.1	38.9	74.0	-3.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (12)	42.3	32.3	74.7	+10.0	83%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Breogan

39-38

A04/03

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#17

43-47

-4

H09/03

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#18

48-30

+18

A18/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

40-40

H21/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

30-31

-1

A24/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

35-41

-6

H01/04

Primera FEB

Valladolid

#11

34-28

A06/04

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

31-49

-18

H13/04

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#16

43-44

-1

A20/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

#10

38-44

-6

H27/04

Primera FEB

77.3Avg total

38.1Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	37.8	75.7	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.1	39.2	76.4	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.7	36.1	74.9	+2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	39.2	77.3	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	41.2	77.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.8	39.5	76.2	-2.8	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.4	38.4	76.7	+0.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (12)	37.7	36.6	74.2	+1.1	42%	-

This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	19.1	36.1	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.2	36.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (12)	17.3	19.5	36.8	-2.2	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	17.1	35.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	16.1	35.1	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	18.3	35.1	-1.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	16.6	36.3	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.2	35.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	18.5	35.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.1	15.8	33.9	+2.2	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	17.7	38.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	18.7	36.1	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.5	19.8	34.2	-5.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.7	17.5	36.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.3	18.4	39.8	+2.9	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	17.1	36.9	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	19.6	39.3	+0.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.9	36.1	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.6	34.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	17.2	35.2	+0.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.1	18.9	39.0	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.8	17.9	37.8	+1.9	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	37.2	75.0	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	36.6	77.8	+4.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.4	37.7	72.1	-3.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	38.0	73.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	39.0	76.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.8	38.8	73.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	37.9	36.1	74.0	+1.9	64%	-
vs Weaker (12)	38.7	37.9	76.6	+0.8	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	35.4	73.1	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.8	33.2	72.0	+5.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.5	37.9	74.4	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	33.5	72.4	+5.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	32.8	70.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.2	35.8	71.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.3	36.7	75.0	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	37.9	33.8	71.7	+4.2	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Oviedo wins

Palencia wins

Date	Game	Score
24/03/18	Oviedo v Palencia	73-72
03/12/17	Palencia v Oviedo	73-62
28/05/17	Palencia v Oviedo	86-71
26/05/17	Palencia v Oviedo	81-70
21/05/17	Oviedo v Palencia	74-68
19/05/17	Oviedo v Palencia	74-76
04/02/17	Oviedo v Palencia	93-89 OT
21/10/16	Palencia v Oviedo	72-70
04/03/16	Palencia v Oviedo	97-74
21/11/15	Oviedo v Palencia	68-74

Oviedolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/18	A	Breogan	65-91
20/04/18	H	Huesca	80-61
14/04/18	A	Iberojet Palma	84-76
07/04/18	H	Barcelona B	87-79
01/04/18	A	Manresa	68-70
24/03/18	H	Palencia	73-72
20/03/18	A	Castello	62-83
16/03/18	A	Melilla	64-61
09/03/18	A	Caceres	97-72
03/03/18	H	Forca Lleida	67-64

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/18	H	Caceres	71-80
20/04/18	A	Forca Lleida	84-75
13/04/18	H	Prat Joventut	67-76
06/04/18	A	Valladolid	72-67
01/04/18	H	Ourense	74-72
24/03/18	A	Oviedo	72-73
21/03/18	H	Leyma Coruna	76-64
18/03/18	A	Iraurgi SB	86-69
09/03/18	H	Clavijo	86-71
04/03/18	A	Breogan	82-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oviedo

Primera FEB 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	65%
Home	WWWWW	76%
Away	WLLWL	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	65%	76%	53%
Points / game	76.4	78.8	73.9
Allowed / game	74.0	72.2	75.8
Point differential	+2.4	+6.6	-1.8
Avg total	150.4	151.0	149.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	35%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (14)	57% (7)	57% (7)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Palencia

Primera FEB 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	53%
Home	WWWLL	59%
Away	WWLWW	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	53%	59%	47%
Points / game	74.9	75.7	74.1
Allowed / game	73.4	72.6	74.2
Point differential	+1.5	+3.1	-0.1
Avg total	148.4	148.4	148.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	29%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	47% (19)	44% (9)	50% (10)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Breogan	34	28	6	82%	87.0	75.1	+11.9
2	Prat Joventut	35	26	9	74%	73.9	67.2	+6.7
3	Manresa	34	24	10	71%	78.9	73.2	+5.7
4	Oviedo	34	22	12	65%	76.4	74.0	+2.4
5	Melilla	34	21	13	62%	74.5	70.9	+3.6
6	Castello	34	19	15	56%	77.3	77.2	+0.1
7	Palencia	34	18	16	53%	74.9	73.4	+1.5
8	Leyma Coruna	34	16	18	47%	76.2	76.5	-0.3
9	Araberri	34	15	19	44%	83.0	84.4	-1.4
10	Caceres	34	15	19	44%	75.7	79.6	-3.9
11	Valladolid	35	15	20	43%	76.6	76.9	-0.2
12	Ourense	34	13	21	38%	74.7	76.1	-1.4
13	Iberojet Palma	34	13	21	38%	73.4	76.4	-3.0
14	Barcelona B	34	13	21	38%	75.7	79.9	-4.2
15	Huesca	34	13	21	38%	70.6	74.9	-4.2
16	Forca Lleida	34	12	22	35%	74.4	77.2	-2.8
17	Clavijo	34	12	22	35%	74.2	78.1	-3.9
18	Iraurgi SB	34	12	22	35%	71.2	78.0	-6.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Oviedo	17	13	17	17	64
Palencia	16	14	10	18	58

← all games of the day

Oviedo vs Palencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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