Oviedo vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2024

Tip-off: 20:00

Final 71-91

17-25 24-19 10-27 20-20

Position#11

Record4-8

FormLLLWL

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game80.6

Oviedo

Palencia 🏆

Position#6

Record8-4

FormWWWLW

Points / game87.5

Allowed / game79.4

Primera FEBRound 13

Other2024-25

Meetings · Oviedo v Palencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oviedo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Palencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oviedo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOviedo

Date

Competition

Moron

#18

89-84

77avg 65

A12/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

78-74

66avg 65

H19/10

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

69-79

-10

56avg 65

A26/10

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

70-80

-10

49avg 65

H02/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

82-78

71avg 65

A09/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

81-106

106

-25

67avg 65

A16/11

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

76-78

-2

67avg 65

H01/12

Primera FEB

Real Betis

77-86

-9

71avg 65

A06/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

95-70

+25

88avg 65

H10/12

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

64-69 OT

-5

52avg 65

A15/12

Primera FEB

22-20

20-30

19-17

28-17

26-18

18-20

16-17

18-19

15-22

22-22

12-19

20-16

20-14

18-28

20-25

12-13

24-30

21-12

11-15

26-21

13-26

19-34

37-20

12-26

20-19

23-18

18-23

15-18

29-21

19-17

18-23

11-25

21-15

23-15

29-21

22-19

6-11

20-20

13-14

17-11

158.5Avg total

78.1Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	76.0	80.6	156.6	-4.6	33%
Season at home (5)	76.4	75.0	151.4	+1.4	40%
Season away (7)	75.7	84.6	160.3	-8.9	29%
Last 10 (10)	78.1	80.4	158.5	-2.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	81.8	160.4	-3.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	69.0	78.5	147.5	-9.5	0%
vs Similar (12)	79.0	82.8	161.8	-3.8	42%
vs Weaker (8)	83.1	79.5	162.6	+3.6	62%

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPalencia

Date

Competition

San Pablo Burgos

77-88

-11

66avg 78

A12/10

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

80-87

-7

70avg 78

H19/10

Primera FEB

Real Betis

68-85

-17

54avg 78

A26/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

80-64

+16

80avg 78

H01/11

Primera FEB

Cartagena

100-67

100

+33

96avg 78

A08/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

107-76

107

+31

102avg 78

H15/11

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

91-86

81avg 78

A01/12

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

91-83

81avg 78

H05/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

73-82

-9

64avg 78

A11/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

114-81

114

+33

113avg 78

H14/12

Primera FEB

13-24

21-19

17-20

26-25

15-30

22-19

24-20

19-18

23-23

12-25

20-19

13-18

17-15

19-18

21-15

23-16

27-16

28-25

22-10

33-22

22-11

29-22

23-21

24-17

17-28

23-12

27-29

17-14

24-25

24-24

26-20

15-23

27-22

9-22

22-15

31-14

30-21

26-21

27-25

168.0Avg total

88.1Scored

79.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	87.5	79.4	166.9	+8.1	67%
Season at home (6)	91.7	76.7	168.3	+15.0	83%
Season away (6)	83.3	82.2	165.5	+1.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	88.1	79.9	168.0	+8.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	95.2	81.6	176.8	+13.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	81.4	87.9	169.2	-6.5	19%
vs Similar (7)	79.7	85.9	165.6	-6.1	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	94.4	75.4	169.9	+19.0	100%

This opponent (Oviedo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OviedoPalencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	18.2	37.9	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	22.6	41.3	-3.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.4	36.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	18.0	42.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.6	19%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.9	21.6	39.4	-3.7	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	24.1	17.1	41.3	+7.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	19.7	40.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.6	41.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.7	19.0	36.7	-1.3	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.8	20.5	42.3	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.0	41.3	+1.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	18.3	39.5	+2.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	21.6	43.1	-0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.4	42.5	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.4	45.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+1.9	75%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.7	22.7	42.4	-3.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.6	18.0	40.6	+4.6	71%	-

OviedoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Moron

#18

42-50

-8

A12/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

44-38

H19/10

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

37-44

-7

A26/10

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

38-42

-4

H02/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

45-42

A09/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

32-60

-28

A16/11

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

43-37

H01/12

Primera FEB

Real Betis

48-38

+10

A06/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

44-30

+14

H10/12

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

26-31

-5

A15/12

Primera FEB

81.1Avg total

39.9Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	40.4	79.7	-1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.3	37.9	78.2	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.6	42.5	81.1	-3.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	41.2	81.1	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	39.2	77.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	36.1	39.4	75.5	-3.3	30%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.7	40.9	80.6	-1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	43.0	40.8	83.8	+2.2	75%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Pablo Burgos

34-43

-9

A12/10

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

37-49

-12

H19/10

Primera FEB

Real Betis

35-48

-13

A26/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

36-33

H01/11

Primera FEB

Cartagena

50-32

+18

A08/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

55-33

+22

H15/11

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

41-45

-4

A01/12

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

41-39

H05/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

42-45

-3

A11/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

61-35

+26

H14/12

Primera FEB

83.4Avg total

43.2Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	40.2	81.1	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	37.8	79.1	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.6	42.5	83.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	40.2	83.4	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	39.4	87.4	+8.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	39.9	40.6	80.5	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.6	44.3	81.9	-6.7	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	46.7	35.1	81.9	+11.6	86%	-

This opponent (Oviedo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	19.8	39.6	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	20%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.8	18.6	37.3	+0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.9	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.5	42.9	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	21.0	43.3	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.9	42.6	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.0	42.1	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.6	22.4	43.0	-1.8	44%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	25.0	19.7	44.7	+5.3	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.0	36.3	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	19.1	36.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.5	36.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	19.8	35.2	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	15.3	18.2	33.5	-2.9	20%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	42%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.9	18.4	37.2	+0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.9	44.5	-1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	22.3	43.2	-1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	23.4	45.7	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.7	42.5	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.8	24.9	45.8	-4.1	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.3	20.4	42.7	+1.9	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.7	20.6	43.3	+2.1	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	38.5	74.8	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	38.6	75.4	-1.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	38.4	74.2	-2.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	37.9	75.3	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	40.0	78.4	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	32.5	38.2	70.7	-5.7	10%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.8	38.6	75.4	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.1	38.8	78.9	+1.4	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	44.3	87.4	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	43.3	86.5	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.0	45.3	88.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	39.7	84.6	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	42.2	89.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	41.4	47.3	88.8	-5.9	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	42.1	41.6	83.7	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	47.7	40.3	88.0	+7.4	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Oviedotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.1	52.2%	51.8%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	8.4	34.1%	33.7%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.8	75.4%	73.6%	13.8

They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.0	17.8	55.6%	51.8%	35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	11.0	36.4%	33.7%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	22.8	19.3	84.6%	73.6%	19.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.0	52.5%	51.8%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.7	34.3%	33.7%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.6	74.4%	73.6%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.7	53.7%	51.8%	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.2	37.5%	33.7%	30.7
🏀 Free throws	21.3	16.8	78.9%	73.6%	16.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Oviedo wins

Palencia wins

Date	Game	Score
04/02/23	Oviedo v Palencia	56-67
16/10/22	Palencia v Oviedo	88-63
02/06/22	Oviedo v Palencia	67-75
28/05/22	Palencia v Oviedo	83-70
26/05/22	Palencia v Oviedo	76-71
17/04/22	Palencia v Oviedo	76-80
04/01/22	Oviedo v Palencia	79-74 OT
29/01/21	Palencia v Oviedo	78-81 OT
09/12/20	Oviedo v Palencia	78-79
09/11/19	Oviedo v Palencia	66-73

Oviedolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/24	A	Hestia Menorca	64-69 OT
10/12/24	H	Estela	95-70
06/12/24	A	Real Betis	77-86
01/12/24	H	Estudiantes	76-78
16/11/24	A	Tizona Burgos	81-106
09/11/24	A	Real Valladolid	82-78
02/11/24	H	Fuenlabrada	70-80
26/10/24	A	San Pablo Burgos	69-79
19/10/24	H	Alicante	78-74
12/10/24	A	Moron	89-84

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/24	H	Ourense	114-81
11/12/24	A	Fuenlabrada	73-82
05/12/24	H	Obradoiro CAB	91-83
01/12/24	A	Moron	91-86
15/11/24	H	Castello	107-76
08/11/24	A	Cartagena	100-67
01/11/24	H	Alicante	80-64
26/10/24	A	Real Betis	68-85
19/10/24	H	Estudiantes	80-87
12/10/24	A	San Pablo Burgos	77-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oviedo

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	33%
Home	LWLLW	40%
Away	LWLLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	33%	40%	29%
Points / game	76.0	76.4	75.7
Allowed / game	80.6	75.0	84.6
Point differential	-4.6	+1.4	-8.9
Avg total	156.6	151.4	160.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	50% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	8%	0%	14%

Palencia

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	67%
Home	LWWWW	83%
Away	LLWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	67%	83%	50%
Points / game	87.5	91.7	83.3
Allowed / game	79.4	76.7	82.2
Point differential	+8.1	+15.0	+1.2
Avg total	166.9	168.3	165.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	13	12	1	92%	87.1	73.2	+13.8
2	Fuenlabrada	12	11	1	92%	82.2	69.2	+13.1
3	Estudiantes	12	11	1	92%	88.5	79.0	+9.5
4	Real Betis	12	9	3	75%	82.2	71.0	+11.2
5	Palencia	12	8	4	67%	87.5	79.4	+8.1
6	Ourense	12	7	5	58%	85.3	79.4	+5.9
7	Tizona Burgos	12	7	5	58%	92.8	89.8	+2.9
8	Obradoiro CAB	13	7	6	54%	79.8	74.8	+4.9
9	Zamora	12	6	6	50%	77.3	78.5	-1.2
10	Castello	13	6	7	46%	79.5	86.4	-6.8
11	Gipuzkoa	13	5	8	38%	73.7	77.2	-3.5
12	Cartagena	13	5	8	38%	75.5	84.4	-8.9
13	Hestia Menorca	12	4	8	33%	71.3	75.2	-3.8
14	Oviedo	12	4	8	33%	76.0	80.6	-4.6
15	Estela	12	4	8	33%	72.4	82.3	-9.9
16	Real Valladolid	12	4	8	33%	71.3	81.8	-10.5
17	Alicante	12	1	11	8%	69.7	76.4	-6.8
18	Moron	13	0	13	0%	72.6	85.0	-12.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Oviedo	17	24	10	20	71
Palencia	25	19	27	20	91

← all games of the day

Oviedo vs Palencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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