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Oviedo vs Palencia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 11:30
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#3
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game73.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 21
Other2026-27
Meetings · Oviedo v Palencia
14 Feb 2027
OVIE v PAL
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
OVIE61
PAL76
20 Dec 2024
OVIE71
PAL91
04 Feb 2023
OVIE56
PAL67
02 Jun 2022
OVIE67
PAL75
04 Jan 2022
OVIE79
PAL74
09 Dec 2020
OVIE78
PAL79
09 Nov 2019
OVIE66
PAL73
13 Oct 2018
OVIE81
PAL83
15 May 2018
OVIE54
PAL66
06 May 2018
OVIE91
PAL76
04 May 2018
OVIE64
PAL58
24 Mar 2018
OVIE73
PAL72
21 May 2017
OVIE74
PAL68
19 May 2017
OVIE74
PAL76
04 Feb 2017
OVIE93
PAL89
21 Nov 2015
OVIE68
PAL74
14 Feb 2015
OVIE74
PAL77
04 May 2014
OVIE51
PAL63
02 May 2014
OVIE79
PAL76
18 Jan 2014
OVIE82
PAL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oviedo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OviedoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOviedo
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 71
H22/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
54avg 71
A06/06
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
69-108
69
108
-39
53avg 71
A26/09
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
L
67-77
67
77
-10
57avg 71
H03/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
99-86
99
86
+13
no box
H10/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
88avg 71
A16/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
69avg 71
H24/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
A01/11
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
70-63
70
63
+7
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
L
65-75
65
75
-10
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
22-18
19-12
15-25
23-18
16-28
18-20
14-13
27-23
16-32
16-30
10-23
10-17
29-19
12-22
16-19
19-21
28-17
21-28
31-20
25-19
24-27
23-25
16-17
19-15
24-23
20-17
18-22
18-25
17-16
23-20
21-19
12-13
21-14
19-15
18-21
18-16
13-18
19-20
15-21
160.4Avg total
78.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.983.2162.1-4.450%
Season at home (4)79.275.8155.0+3.575%
Season away (4)78.590.8169.2-12.225%
Last 10 (10)78.482.0160.4-3.650%
Last 5 (5)79.279.0158.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)72.287.8160.0-15.60%
vs Similar (13)77.975.8153.7+2.262%
vs Weaker (12)87.076.3163.3+10.792%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
76-51
76
51
+25
68avg 76
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
70avg 76
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
95-69
95
69
+26
105avg 76
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
70-67
70
67
+3
63avg 76
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
91-76
91
76
+15
85avg 76
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
62avg 76
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
78avg 76
H24/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A31/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
72-56
72
56
+16
no box
H06/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-9
15-12
22-12
13-18
16-20
24-18
21-28
20-26
25-20
27-14
23-23
20-12
14-12
19-19
16-15
21-21
17-19
27-18
14-17
33-22
22-21
26-14
12-27
17-24
13-25
22-20
25-16
24-19
19-17
19-14
24-21
23-21
13-7
16-18
22-12
21-19
27-20
16-19
26-14
17-24
154.4Avg total
81.7Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.573.0155.5+9.588%
Season at home (4)79.269.8149.0+9.5100%
Season away (4)85.876.2162.0+9.575%
Last 10 (10)81.772.7154.4+9.080%
Last 5 (5)80.874.4155.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.081.0134.0-28.00%
vs Similar (4)85.584.5170.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)83.869.6153.4+14.292%
This opponent (Oviedo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
OviedoPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OviedoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H22/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A06/06
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A26/09
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H10/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H24/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A01/11
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H07/11
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A14/11
Primera FEB
80.6Avg total
40.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.280.8+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.838.478.1+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)41.341.983.2-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.980.6+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.275.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.642.479.0-5.820%-
vs Similar (13)41.039.780.7+1.362%-
vs Weaker (12)41.839.981.8+1.958%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H24/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A31/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H06/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A14/11
Primera FEB
73.9Avg total
40.3Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.934.575.4+6.487%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.134.176.2+8.186%-
Last 30 away (16)39.834.874.6+5.088%-
Last 10 (10)40.333.673.9+6.790%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.073.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.037.060.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (4)43.235.078.2+8.2100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.234.375.5+7.088%-
This opponent (Oviedo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oviedotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oviedo: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.717.9
56.5%
53.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.010.8
31.8%
32.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.212.9
70.9%
74.2%12.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.6
47.9%
53.0%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws25.319.2
75.9%
74.2%19.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oviedo
LWLWWWLLLW
Palencia
WWWWLWWWLW
#9
League position
#3
-1.2
Net rating
+6.0
108.8
Offensive rating
110.8
110.0
Defensive rating
104.8
51.9%
Effective FG%
50.3%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.41
31.8%
3-point %
35.4%
46.0%
Assist %
58.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 110.8Defence110.0 · 104.8Shooting51.9% · 50.3%3-point %31.8% · 35.4%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Oviedo   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Oviedo wins
9
Palencia wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26Oviedo v Palencia61-76
14/11/25Palencia v Oviedo88-80
01/03/25Palencia v Oviedo90-78
20/12/24Oviedo v Palencia71-91
04/02/23Oviedo v Palencia56-67
16/10/22Palencia v Oviedo88-63
02/06/22Oviedo v Palencia67-75
28/05/22Palencia v Oviedo83-70
26/05/22Palencia v Oviedo76-71
17/04/22Palencia v Oviedo76-80
Oviedolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AHestia Menorca65-75
07/11/26HCordoba70-63
01/11/26APalmer Basket79-80
24/10/26HZamora81-77
16/10/26ATizona Burgos101-100 OT
10/10/26HFibwi Palma99-86
03/10/26HGranada67-77
26/09/26AGran Canaria69-108
06/06/26AEstudiantes71-79
22/05/26HGipuzkoa82-75
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AZamora86-77
06/11/26HGranada72-56
31/10/26AEstela85-73
24/10/26HOurense84-80
18/10/26AEstudiantes77-86
09/10/26HHestia Menorca91-76
02/10/26HCordoba70-67
26/09/26AAlbacete95-69
06/06/26ALeyma Coruna81-92
29/05/26HFuenlabrada76-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oviedo
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game78.979.278.5
Allowed / game83.275.890.8
Point differential-4.4+3.5-12.2
Avg total162.1155.0169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Palencia
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game82.579.285.8
Allowed / game73.069.876.2
Point differential+9.5+9.5+9.5
Avg total155.5149.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket85362%86.584.5+2.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
11 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
12 Albacete83538%78.483.5-5.1
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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