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AEK Larnaca vs Anorthosis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 76-58
26-14 18-17 17-20 15-7
Position#2
Record2-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game69.0
CyprusDivision ARound 5· Kition Athletic Center
Other2023-24
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Anorthosis
15 Nov 2026
ALA v ANOR
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
ALA81
ANOR64
08 May 2025
ALA88
ANOR73
01 May 2025
ALA82
ANOR63
16 Mar 2025
ALA89
ANOR83
05 Dec 2024
ALA76
ANOR73
21 Apr 2024
ALA88
ANOR76
04 Nov 2023
ALA76
ANOR58
22 Apr 2023
ALA90
ANOR72
12 Apr 2023
ALA83
ANOR72
16 Oct 2022
ALA76
ANOR52
13 Apr 2022
ALA94
ANOR59
30 Oct 2021
ALA90
ANOR57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Anorthosis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
H17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A22/05
Division A
Levice
#47
W
74-66
74
66
+8
70avg 67
A25/09
Champions League
Benfica
#28
L
59-87
59
87
-28
48avg 67
A27/09
Champions League
AEL
#5
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
no box
A09/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
93-71
93
71
+22
100avg 67
H14/10
Division A
Rostock
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
69avg 67
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
L
60-62
60
62
-2
47avg 67
A22/10
Division A
Jonava
#33
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 67
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Karhu Basket
#42
L
66-75
66
75
-9
56avg 67
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
20-7
11-17
21-19
14-15
20-16
21-17
17-22
20-0
25-22
8-21
21-23
15-24
16-23
18-15
10-25
12-13
21-21
21-23
22-19
26-20
29-13
18-17
20-21
24-27
22-18
15-20
17-11
12-14
17-14
17-18
14-16
21-13
22-22
18-22
26-23
16-16
17-15
20-21
13-23
149.9Avg total
74.9Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.075.7158.7+7.367%
Season at home (1)93.071.0164.0+22.0100%
Season away (2)78.078.0156.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)74.975.0149.9-0.160%
Last 5 (5)76.872.8149.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.581.5150.0-13.050%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.377.7156.0+0.750%
vs Weaker (21)84.665.7150.3+19.090%
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AnorthosisCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAnorthosis
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#3
W
103-83
103
83
+20
no box
H04/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
A12/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
H19/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A22/04
Division A
Kormend
#21
L
87-91
87
91
-4
80avg 76
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bnei Herzliya
#1
L
63-87
63
87
-24
53avg 76
H04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#11
W
89-61
89
61
+28
92avg 76
A11/10
Division A
AEL
#5
W
91-78
91
78
+13
89avg 76
H15/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
80-63
80
63
+17
76avg 76
A20/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
73-74
73
74
-1
67avg 76
H27/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
26-19
19-22
26-22
18-21
21-21
18-19
15-22
21-20
17-24
17-23
16-17
17-22
21-23
19-24
15-21
22-24
25-26
21-19
19-22
19-21
13-14
14-30
17-22
23-10
23-12
21-17
22-22
24-14
20-18
20-20
27-26
21-16
22-18
19-12
18-17
21-17
24-16
13-16
15-25
159.5Avg total
80.1Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.269.0152.2+14.275%
Season at home (2)82.076.0158.0+6.050%
Season away (2)84.562.0146.5+22.5100%
Last 10 (10)80.179.4159.5+0.740%
Last 5 (5)79.272.6151.8+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.685.8157.3-14.20%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.482.2166.6+2.162%
vs Weaker (13)80.167.8147.9+12.269%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
AEK LarnacaAnorthosis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A22/05
Division A
Levice
#47
W
45-22
45
22
+23
A25/09
Champions League
Benfica
#28
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A27/09
Champions League
AEL
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A09/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H14/10
Division A
Rostock
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A22/10
Division A
Jonava
#33
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Karhu Basket
#42
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
72.0Avg total
38.1Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.533.775.2+7.777%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.932.176.1+11.893%-
Last 30 away (16)39.335.174.4+4.262%-
Last 10 (10)38.133.972.0+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.234.475.6+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.546.084.5-7.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.539.076.5-1.533%-
vs Weaker (21)42.731.674.3+11.190%-
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AnorthosisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#3
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H04/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H19/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A22/04
Division A
Kormend
#21
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bnei Herzliya
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#11
W
46-22
46
22
+24
A11/10
Division A
AEL
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H15/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A20/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H27/10
Division A
80.6Avg total
43.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.578.6+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.736.075.7+3.764%-
Last 30 away (16)42.338.981.2+3.462%-
Last 10 (10)43.037.680.6+5.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.031.273.2+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.944.080.9-7.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.839.584.2+5.275%-
vs Weaker (13)41.831.873.6+9.9100%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.118.5
47.3%
51.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.5
29.5%
32.6%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.013.6
75.7%
71.2%13.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Anorthosistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Anorthosis: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.7 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.722.8
51.1%
51.0%45.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.8
30.8%
32.6%20.5
🏀 Free throws18.713.3
71.4%
71.2%13.3
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/6 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
LWLWWWLWWL
Anorthosis
LWWWLLLLLW
#2
League position
#3
-2.2
Net rating
+6.3
96.6
Offensive rating
111.1
98.8
Defensive rating
104.8
46.2%
Effective FG%
49.5%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.6%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
41.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.5%
3-point %
30.8%
55.5%
Assist %
59.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 111.1Defence98.8 · 104.8Shooting46.2% · 49.5%3-point %29.5% · 30.8%Ball care17.6% · 17.6%Off. rebounds25.3% · 41.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Anorthosis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
AEK Larnaca wins
0
Anorthosis wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23HKarhu Basket66-75
25/10/23AJonava87-80
22/10/23AApoel BC60-62
18/10/23HRostock78-76
14/10/23HAchilleas K.93-71
09/10/23AAEL96-94 OT
27/09/23ABenfica59-87
25/09/23ALevice74-66
22/05/23AKeravnos72-70
17/05/23HKeravnos64-69
Anorthosislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23HApoel BC73-74
20/10/23AAchilleas K.80-63
15/10/23HAEL91-78
11/10/23AParalimni89-61
04/10/23HBnei Herzliya63-87
03/10/23AKormend87-91
22/04/23AAEK Larnaca72-90
19/04/23HAEK Larnaca71-84
12/04/23AAEK Larnaca72-83
04/04/23HApoel BC103-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game83.093.078.0
Allowed / game75.771.078.0
Point differential+7.3+22.0+0.0
Avg total158.7164.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Anorthosis
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game83.282.084.5
Allowed / game69.076.062.0
Point differential+14.2+6.0+22.5
Avg total152.2158.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos330100%93.370.7+22.7
2 Apoel BC330100%74.369.7+4.7
3 Anorthosis43175%83.269.0+14.2
4 AEK Larnaca32167%83.075.7+7.3
5 AEL42250%86.885.0+1.8
6 ETHA Engomi42250%82.881.5+1.2
7 Apop Paphou42250%83.085.8-2.8
8 Apollon42250%86.290.8-4.5
9 PAEEK31233%73.377.7-4.3
10 Achilleas K.4040%71.587.8-16.2
11 Paralimni4040%72.589.0-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca2618171576
Anorthosis141720758
← all games of the day
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