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AEK Larnaca vs Karhu Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 66-75
16-16 17-15 20-21 13-23
Position#22
Record2-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#42
Record0-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game98.5
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· Kition Athletic Center
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karhu Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
87-96
87
96
-9
no box
A14/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
H17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A22/05
Division A
Levice
#47
W
74-66
74
66
+8
70avg 68
A25/09
Champions League
Benfica
#28
L
59-87
59
87
-28
48avg 68
A27/09
Champions League
AEL
#5
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
no box
A09/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
93-71
93
71
+22
100avg 68
H14/10
Division A
Rostock
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
69avg 68
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
L
60-62
60
62
-2
47avg 68
A22/10
Division A
Jonava
#33
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 68
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
26-26
18-24
23-26
12-26
20-7
11-17
21-19
14-15
20-16
21-17
17-22
20-0
25-22
8-21
21-23
15-24
16-23
18-15
10-25
12-13
21-21
21-23
22-19
26-20
29-13
18-17
20-21
24-27
22-18
15-20
17-11
12-14
17-14
17-18
14-16
21-13
22-22
18-22
26-23
154.1Avg total
77.0Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.578.0160.5+4.5100%
Season at home (1)78.076.0154.0+2.0100%
Season away (1)87.080.0167.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.077.1154.1-0.160%
Last 5 (5)82.876.6159.4+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.581.5150.0-13.050%
vs Similar (6)78.377.7156.0+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.464.9150.3+20.595%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
66-91
66
91
-25
no box
A16/05
Korisliiga
Nes Ziona
#16
L
56-92
56
92
-36
47avg 66
H26/09
Champions League
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
66avg 66
A03/10
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
67-80
67
80
-13
52avg 66
H07/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
72-69
72
69
+3
66avg 66
A11/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
83avg 66
H14/10
Korisliiga
Jonava
#33
L
88-104
88
104
-16
76avg 66
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
88-79
88
79
+9
87avg 66
A21/10
Korisliiga
Rostock
#5
L
65-93
65
93
-28
52avg 66
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
75-76
75
76
-1
65avg 66
H28/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-28
14-20
21-17
19-26
20-19
13-20
11-27
12-26
21-16
22-25
20-19
18-26
12-17
15-25
12-20
28-18
28-13
21-24
8-19
15-13
26-15
18-20
20-27
24-18
14-18
27-24
16-31
31-31
24-20
29-26
23-18
12-15
26-12
12-30
16-22
11-29
21-12
15-18
21-20
18-26
159.6Avg total
74.6Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.598.5175.0-22.00%
Season at home (1)88.0104.0192.0-16.00%
Season away (1)65.093.0158.0-28.00%
Last 10 (10)74.685.0159.6-10.430%
Last 5 (5)80.886.4167.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)70.084.5154.5-14.50%
vs Similar (14)75.381.2156.5-5.936%
vs Weaker (13)91.880.5172.3+11.285%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -4.0-4.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -4.0-4.0
AEK LarnacaKarhu Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A14/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A22/05
Division A
Levice
#47
W
45-22
45
22
+23
A25/09
Champions League
Benfica
#28
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A27/09
Champions League
AEL
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A09/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H14/10
Division A
Rostock
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A22/10
Division A
Jonava
#33
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
74.8Avg total
39.4Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.033.975.9+8.177%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.132.677.6+12.593%-
Last 30 away (16)39.335.174.4+4.262%-
Last 10 (10)39.435.474.8+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.235.076.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.546.084.5-7.550%-
vs Similar (6)37.539.076.5-1.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.531.975.4+11.690%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A16/05
Korisliiga
Nes Ziona
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H26/09
Champions League
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A03/10
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H07/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A11/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H14/10
Korisliiga
Jonava
#33
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A21/10
Korisliiga
Rostock
#5
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H28/10
Korisliiga
79.2Avg total
39.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.080.2+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.937.077.9+3.953%-
Last 30 away (13)41.641.683.2+0.054%-
Last 10 (10)39.040.279.2-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.081.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.036.073.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (14)37.739.977.6-2.243%-
vs Weaker (13)46.238.584.7+7.869%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.1 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.918.6
46.6%
52.2%37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.46.9
32.0%
33.8%20.6
🏀 Free throws16.612.7
76.7%
73.0%12.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.017.3
45.5%
52.2%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.1
29.6%
33.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws15.111.0
72.8%
73.0%11.0
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WLWWWLWWLL
Karhu Basket
LLWLWWLLLL
#22
League position
#42
-1.6
Net rating
-12.9
97.1
Offensive rating
94.9
98.6
Defensive rating
107.8
47.1%
Effective FG%
45.1%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
18.3%
Turnover %
20.6%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.0%
3-point %
29.6%
53.4%
Assist %
56.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 94.9Defence98.6 · 107.8Shooting47.1% · 45.1%3-point %32.0% · 29.6%Ball care18.3% · 20.6%Off. rebounds25.9% · 33.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Karhu Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Larnaca wins
0
Karhu Basket wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23AJonava87-80
22/10/23AApoel BC60-62
18/10/23HRostock78-76
14/10/23HAchilleas K.93-71
09/10/23AAEL96-94 OT
27/09/23ABenfica59-87
25/09/23ALevice74-66
22/05/23AKeravnos72-70
17/05/23HKeravnos64-69
14/05/23AKeravnos87-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HHelsinki Seagulls75-76
25/10/23ARostock65-93
21/10/23AKouvot Kouvola88-79
18/10/23HJonava88-104
14/10/23HKataja88-80
11/10/23ASalon Vilpas72-69
07/10/23HBC Nokia67-80
03/10/23AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki81-86
26/09/23HNes Ziona56-92
16/05/23AHelsinki Seagulls66-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.578.087.0
Allowed / game78.076.080.0
Point differential+4.5+2.0+7.0
Avg total160.5154.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karhu Basket
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.588.065.0
Allowed / game98.5104.093.0
Point differential-22.0-16.0-28.0
Avg total175.0192.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz220100%91.069.0+22.0
2 Leiden330100%60.341.0+19.3
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Legia220100%85.569.5+16.0
5 Bilbao220100%86.071.5+14.5
6 Balkan110100%88.078.0+10.0
7 Basket Zaragoza330100%88.780.0+8.7
8 Gottingen220100%88.580.0+8.5
9 Nymburk220100%83.575.0+8.5
10 Caledonia Gladiators220100%73.065.5+7.5
11 BC Kalev/Cramo110100%76.070.0+6.0
12 AEK Larnaca220100%82.578.0+4.5
13 Sporting CP110100%83.079.0+4.0
14 FC Porto54180%84.476.0+8.4
15 Manisa54180%81.274.0+7.2
16 Jonava32167%89.380.0+9.3
17 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
18 Levice32167%79.377.3+2.0
19 Trepca32167%69.373.3-4.0
20 Rostock53260%85.674.6+11.0
21 Sabah Baku53260%77.677.4+0.2
22 Bahcesehir Kol.21150%85.577.0+8.5
23 CSM Oradea21150%89.083.0+6.0
24 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
25 Varese21150%87.085.5+1.5
26 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
27 TSU21150%72.073.0-1.0
28 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
29 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
30 Mornar Bar21150%71.076.5-5.5
31 Peja21150%85.591.0-5.5
32 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
33 Spojnia Stargard21150%79.086.5-7.5
34 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
35 Keravnos41325%80.277.8+2.5
36 Kataja51420%71.480.6-9.2
37 Anwil Wloclawek2020%71.074.5-3.5
38 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
39 Brindisi2020%78.583.5-5.0
40 Alba Fehervar2020%78.585.5-7.0
41 Gravelines-Dunkerque1010%69.077.0-8.0
42 Bakken Bears2020%77.085.5-8.5
43 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
44 Den Bosch2020%86.595.5-9.0
45 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
46 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
47 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
48 Norrkoping2020%61.579.0-17.5
49 CSU Sibiu2020%66.084.5-18.5
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 Karhu Basket2020%76.598.5-22.0
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca1617201366
Karhu Basket1615212375
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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