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Rostock vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 86-73
25-25 22-13 27-19 12-16
Position#5
Record3-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game74.6
Rostock 🏆
vs
Position#22
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4· Stadthalle Rostock
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
81-85
81
85
-4
68avg 75
A29/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
122-113 OT
122
113
+9
no box
H01/10
BBL
Feniks 2010
#52
W
101-72
101
72
+29
103avg 75
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#38
W
93-74
93
74
+19
96avg 75
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 75
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
L
89-94
89
94
-5
83avg 75
A20/10
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
93-65
93
65
+28
90avg 75
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
108-103 OT
108
103
+5
no box
H29/10
BBL
Jonava
#33
L
65-84
65
84
-19
52avg 75
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 75
A05/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
12-20
23-25
23-21
19-25
26-22
27-34
21-12
22-16
25-15
26-21
28-20
22-15
26-19
17-24
28-16
27-24
18-22
20-15
11-17
17-28
25-20
29-23
18-23
12-26
30-12
22-16
29-11
22-17
17-16
21-26
33-34
14-28
21-14
16-21
14-21
22-31
25-24
14-25
16-16
176.9Avg total
90.5Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.674.6160.2+11.060%
Season at home (2)93.069.5162.5+23.5100%
Season away (3)80.778.0158.7+2.733%
Last 10 (10)90.586.4176.9+4.150%
Last 5 (5)86.488.4174.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.991.9171.8-12.030%
vs Similar (9)82.183.1165.2-1.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)93.082.7175.7+10.370%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A22/05
Division A
Levice
#47
W
74-66
74
66
+8
70avg 67
A25/09
Champions League
Benfica
#28
L
59-87
59
87
-28
48avg 67
A27/09
Champions League
AEL
#5
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
no box
A09/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
93-71
93
71
+22
100avg 67
H14/10
Division A
Rostock
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
69avg 67
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
L
60-62
60
62
-2
47avg 67
A22/10
Division A
Jonava
#33
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 67
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Karhu Basket
#42
L
66-75
66
75
-9
56avg 67
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#3
W
76-58
76
58
+18
71avg 67
H04/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
20-16
21-17
17-22
20-0
25-22
8-21
21-23
15-24
16-23
18-15
10-25
12-13
21-21
21-23
22-19
26-20
29-13
18-17
20-21
24-27
22-18
15-20
17-11
12-14
17-14
17-18
14-16
21-13
22-22
18-22
26-23
16-16
17-15
20-21
13-23
26-14
18-17
17-20
15-7
150.0Avg total
76.1Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.077.0154.0+0.067%
Season at home (2)72.075.5147.5-3.550%
Season away (1)87.080.0167.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.173.9150.0+2.270%
Last 5 (5)73.470.2143.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)68.581.5150.0-13.050%
vs Similar (7)78.074.9152.9+3.157%
vs Weaker (20)85.866.0151.9+19.890%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
RostockAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A29/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H01/10
BBL
Feniks 2010
#52
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#38
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A20/10
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H29/10
BBL
Jonava
#33
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A05/11
BBL
83.8Avg total
42.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.082.5+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.638.179.7+3.577%-
Last 30 away (17)41.343.384.6-2.029%-
Last 10 (10)42.541.383.8+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.284.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.645.586.1-4.930%-
vs Similar (9)42.039.781.7+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.037.779.7+4.360%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A22/05
Division A
Levice
#47
W
45-22
45
22
+23
A25/09
Champions League
Benfica
#28
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A27/09
Champions League
AEL
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A09/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H14/10
Division A
Rostock
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A22/10
Division A
Jonava
#33
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Karhu Basket
#42
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#3
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H04/11
Division A
73.0Avg total
39.3Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.334.276.4+8.177%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.932.176.0+11.993%-
Last 30 away (15)40.636.376.9+4.360%-
Last 10 (10)39.333.773.0+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.073.0+5.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)38.546.084.5-7.550%-
vs Similar (7)38.437.976.3+0.643%-
vs Weaker (20)43.932.376.2+11.690%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.3
53.2%
52.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.9
34.8%
33.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.113.2
72.9%
73.0%13.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.8
47.2%
52.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.4
30.2%
33.8%19.3
🏀 Free throws18.113.9
76.7%
73.0%13.9
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LLWWLLWWWL
AEK Larnaca
WLWLWWWLWW
#5
League position
#22
-2.5
Net rating
+1.1
108.2
Offensive rating
97.4
110.7
Defensive rating
96.3
52.8%
Effective FG%
46.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
44.9%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.9%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.8%
3-point %
30.2%
62.6%
Assist %
56.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 97.4Defence110.7 · 96.3Shooting52.8% · 46.5%3-point %34.8% · 30.2%Ball care18.2% · 17.9%Off. rebounds30.9% · 25.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Rostock   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rostock wins
1
AEK Larnaca wins
DateGameScore
18/10/23AEK Larnaca v Rostock78-76
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23ALudwigsburg77-96
01/11/23AJonava65-84
29/10/23HTubingen108-103 OT
25/10/23HKarhu Basket93-65
20/10/23AOldenburg89-94
18/10/23AAEK Larnaca76-78
05/10/23HKeravnos93-74
04/10/23AFeniks 2010101-72
01/10/23HHeidelberg122-113 OT
29/09/23ACrailsheim Merlins81-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HAnorthosis76-58
01/11/23HKarhu Basket66-75
25/10/23AJonava87-80
22/10/23AApoel BC60-62
18/10/23HRostock78-76
14/10/23HAchilleas K.93-71
09/10/23AAEL96-94 OT
27/09/23ABenfica59-87
25/09/23ALevice74-66
22/05/23AKeravnos72-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game85.693.080.7
Allowed / game74.669.578.0
Point differential+11.0+23.5+2.7
Avg total160.2162.5158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game77.072.087.0
Allowed / game77.075.580.0
Point differential+0.0-3.5+7.0
Avg total154.0147.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao330100%92.767.0+25.7
2 Leiden330100%60.341.0+19.3
3 Chemnitz330100%86.368.0+18.3
4 Nymburk330100%87.370.3+17.0
5 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
6 Legia440100%87.575.8+11.8
7 Balkan220100%84.574.0+10.5
8 Gottingen440100%88.279.0+9.2
9 Basket Zaragoza440100%86.078.0+8.0
10 Manisa65183%81.875.0+6.8
11 FC Porto54180%84.476.0+8.4
12 Jonava43175%91.583.5+8.0
13 Varese32167%94.384.7+9.7
14 Bahcesehir Kol.32167%83.075.0+8.0
15 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
16 Levice32167%79.377.3+2.0
17 AEK Larnaca32167%77.077.0+0.0
18 Peja32167%84.787.0-2.3
19 Caledonia Gladiators32167%68.079.0-11.0
20 Rostock53260%85.674.6+11.0
21 Sabah Baku74357%75.779.4-3.7
22 Gravelines-Dunkerque21150%76.063.0+13.0
23 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
24 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%74.074.0+0.0
25 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
26 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
27 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
28 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
29 Trepca42250%64.275.8-11.5
30 Anwil Wloclawek31233%73.763.3+10.3
31 CSM Oradea31233%85.785.3+0.3
32 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
33 Alba Fehervar31233%87.791.0-3.3
34 Sporting CP31233%85.088.7-3.7
35 Spojnia Stargard31233%79.085.3-6.3
36 Norrkoping31233%66.075.7-9.7
37 Mornar Bar41325%71.878.0-6.2
38 TSU41325%78.085.2-7.2
39 Karhu Basket41325%80.590.2-9.8
40 Keravnos51420%78.480.2-1.8
41 Kataja61517%73.782.0-8.3
42 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
43 Brindisi2020%78.583.5-5.0
44 Bakken Bears4040%75.882.8-7.0
45 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
46 Den Bosch3030%79.789.3-9.7
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu3030%57.782.7-25.0
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock2522271286
AEK Larnaca2513191673
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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