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PAEEK vs AEL Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 81-86
23-28 22-20 15-21 21-17
Position#6
Record4-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game87.4
PAEEK
Cyprus
vs
AEL 🏆
Cyprus
Position#5
Record8-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game74.6
CyprusDivision ARound 15· Lefkotheo
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAEEK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAEEKCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAEEK
Date
Competition
AEL
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
62avg 69
A05/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
92-82
92
82
+10
91avg 69
H10/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
67-71
67
71
-4
57avg 69
A18/11
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
74-83
74
83
-9
68avg 69
H27/11
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
79-96
79
96
-17
72avg 69
A03/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
94-108
94
108
-14
82avg 69
H10/12
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
82-89
82
89
-7
65avg 69
A14/12
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
70-101
70
101
-31
58avg 69
A21/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
103-101 OT
103
101
+2
no box
H06/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
86-80
86
80
+6
84avg 69
A14/01
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
14-24
19-19
13-25
24-21
24-16
24-20
20-25
14-14
10-21
19-9
24-27
25-25
16-22
17-17
16-19
15-25
22-27
23-21
19-23
23-26
26-27
14-32
31-23
21-28
21-25
20-12
20-24
14-32
16-19
23-26
17-24
16-16
14-23
32-13
15-25
14-21
19-18
28-25
25-16
172.1Avg total
81.8Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.887.4167.2-7.531%
Season at home (6)86.088.8174.8-2.850%
Season away (7)74.686.1160.7-11.614%
Last 10 (10)81.890.3172.1-8.530%
Last 5 (5)87.095.8182.8-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.387.2158.5-15.80%
vs Similar (4)89.091.2180.2-2.250%
vs Weaker (3)84.782.7167.3+2.067%
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Apollon
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
88avg 76
A27/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
92-71
92
71
+21
88avg 76
H05/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
80-74
80
74
+6
75avg 76
A12/11
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
82-53
82
53
+29
74avg 76
H17/11
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
78-70
78
70
+8
78avg 76
A24/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
82-41
82
41
+41
87avg 76
H08/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
57-67
57
67
-10
43avg 76
A13/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
74-90
74
90
-16
69avg 76
H22/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
no box
A05/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 76
H15/01
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
19-23
25-19
29-26
24-25
24-14
19-19
25-13
19-22
19-22
27-14
15-16
17-13
19-10
25-11
21-19
18-18
13-19
22-23
25-10
18-4
20-17
24-12
20-8
16-11
10-17
17-18
14-21
21-21
22-28
14-24
17-17
28-13
28-26
11-23
19-24
26-14
27-16
27-19
18-15
155.1Avg total
83.1Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.474.6158.0+8.862%
Season at home (7)86.168.3154.4+17.971%
Season away (6)80.282.0162.2-1.850%
Last 10 (10)83.172.0155.1+11.170%
Last 5 (5)81.072.4153.4+8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.093.9176.9-10.911%
vs Similar (6)72.783.7156.3-11.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.974.8160.7+11.173%
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
PAEEKAEL
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAEEKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A05/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H10/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A18/11
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H27/11
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A03/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H10/12
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A14/12
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A21/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H06/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/01
Division A
82.7Avg total
37.3Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)37.144.581.6-7.58%-
Last 30 at home (6)40.242.782.8-2.517%-
Last 30 away (7)34.446.180.6-11.70%-
Last 10 (10)37.345.482.7-8.110%-
Last 5 (5)36.847.083.8-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.745.880.5-11.20%-
vs Similar (4)40.843.584.2-2.825%-
vs Weaker (3)37.043.380.3-6.30%-
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A27/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H05/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A12/11
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H17/11
Division A
Paralimni
#11
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A24/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H08/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A13/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H22/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A05/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H15/01
Division A
76.4Avg total
40.9Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.480.1-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.236.979.1+5.364%-
Last 30 away (16)37.643.481.0-5.819%-
Last 10 (10)40.935.576.4+5.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.233.476.6+9.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.745.687.2-3.922%-
vs Similar (6)33.541.374.8-7.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.136.978.0+4.360%-
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAEEKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAEEK: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.9
49.0%
51.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
32.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.815.3
73.6%
71.2%15.3
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.9
51.0%
51.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.610.1
41.1%
32.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.811.1
62.4%
71.2%11.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAEEK
WWLLLLLLWL
AEL
WLLLWWWWWW
#6
League position
#5
-11.5
Net rating
+18.9
101.9
Offensive rating
110.5
113.4
Defensive rating
91.5
49.3%
Effective FG%
55.1%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
43.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.2%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.2%
3-point %
41.1%
55.3%
Assist %
62.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 110.5Defence113.4 · 91.5Shooting49.3% · 55.1%3-point %33.2% · 41.1%Ball care17.4% · 16.2%Off. rebounds24.4% · 27.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ PAEEK   ■ AEL
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
PAEEK wins
1
AEL wins
DateGameScore
05/11/23AEL v PAEEK92-71
PAEEKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24AParalimni86-80
06/01/24HApop Paphou103-101 OT
21/12/23AKeravnos70-101
14/12/23AApollon82-89
10/12/23HETHA Engomi94-108
03/12/23AAnorthosis79-96
27/11/23HAEK Larnaca74-83
18/11/23AApoel BC67-71
10/11/23HAchilleas K.92-82
05/11/23AAEL71-92
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/24HApollon98-64
05/01/24AETHA Engomi94-100 OT
22/12/23HAnorthosis74-90
13/12/23AApoel BC57-67
08/12/23HAchilleas K.82-41
24/11/23AParalimni78-70
17/11/23HApop Paphou82-53
12/11/23AKeravnos80-74
05/11/23HPAEEK92-71
27/10/23AApollon94-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAEEK
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW31%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%50%14%
Points / game79.886.074.6
Allowed / game87.488.886.1
Point differential-7.5-2.8-11.6
Avg total167.2174.8160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
AEL
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW62%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game83.486.180.2
Allowed / game74.668.382.0
Point differential+8.8+17.9-1.8
Avg total158.0154.4162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %15%14%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos1311285%87.870.2+17.5
2 AEK Larnaca1311285%83.869.8+14.1
3 Anorthosis1411379%83.868.1+15.7
4 Apoel BC129375%72.971.0+1.9
5 AEL138562%83.474.6+8.8
6 ETHA Engomi135838%78.082.0-4.0
7 Apollon135838%78.285.2-7.0
8 PAEEK134931%79.887.4-7.5
9 Apop Paphou1331023%76.985.4-8.5
10 Achilleas K.1331023%66.678.4-11.8
11 Paralimni1421214%69.988.7-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAEEK2322152181
AEL2820211786
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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