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Paisas vs Cimarrones del Choco Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 69-67
28-14 15-18 15-21 11-14
Position#6
Record5-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game75.5
Paisas 🏆
Colombia
vs
Position#7
Record12-30
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game82.7
ColombiaLBP· Ivan de Bedout
Other2024-25
Meetings · Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco
09 May 2026
PAIS86
CIMA79
08 May 2026
PAIS116
CIMA89
05 Dec 2025
PAIS93
CIMA85
04 Dec 2025
PAIS85
CIMA61
18 May 2025
PAIS97
CIMA77
17 May 2025
PAIS99
CIMA88
11 Nov 2024
PAIS69
CIMA72
10 Nov 2024
PAIS69
CIMA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paisas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaisasColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaisas
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
103-63
103
63
+40
no box
H16/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
92-70
92
70
+22
no box
H17/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
L
60-81
60
81
-21
42avg 50
H18/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
61avg 50
H20/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
61-75
61
75
-14
50avg 50
A23/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
72-65
72
65
+7
73avg 50
A24/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
78-90
78
90
-12
46avg 50
H30/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
66-72 OT
66
72
-6
45avg 50
H31/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
57-64
57
64
-7
32avg 50
A03/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
63-75
63
75
-12
52avg 50
A03/11
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
13-20
30-17
36-12
20-18
29-15
25-16
18-21
13-27
16-15
14-25
17-14
12-14
22-29
13-19
25-18
9-25
21-17
19-17
12-16
25-11
29-20
11-14
7-20
23-25
13-15
22-24
20-26
9-18
12-12
20-13
18-16
16-18
8-15
19-15
14-16
13-20
23-17
12-22
15-16
145.9Avg total
72.4Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.175.5149.6-1.436%
Season at home (6)78.576.0154.5+2.533%
Season away (8)70.875.1145.9-4.438%
Last 10 (10)72.473.5145.9-1.130%
Last 5 (5)67.273.2140.4-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.574.2140.7-7.717%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.879.8153.7-6.033%
vs Weaker (2)97.566.5164.0+31.0100%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Toros del Valle
#5
L
55-65
55
65
-10
54avg 66
H14/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
L
61-74
61
74
-13
50avg 66
H15/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
84-70
84
70
+14
80avg 66
H19/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
L
109-118 OT
109
118
-9
98avg 66
H20/10
LBP
Paisas
#6
W
75-61
75
61
+14
70avg 66
H23/10
LBP
Paisas
#6
L
65-72
65
72
-7
55avg 66
H24/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
117-119 OT
117
119
-2
102avg 66
H26/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
63-86
63
86
-23
55avg 66
H27/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
86-79
86
79
+7
74avg 66
A07/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
67-63
67
63
+4
65avg 66
A08/11
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
18-22
16-8
9-11
11-20
13-23
17-11
20-20
17-19
16-15
20-15
31-21
29-24
22-21
22-29
27-26
25-9
17-21
17-19
16-12
11-25
20-29
14-11
20-7
23-26
16-19
16-16
23-17
20-19
20-17
11-30
12-20
29-21
15-22
20-19
22-17
13-14
26-20
15-14
13-15
158.9Avg total
78.2Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)77.382.7160.0-5.429%
Season at home (22)80.282.2162.4-2.041%
Season away (20)74.283.2157.4-9.115%
Last 10 (10)78.280.7158.9-2.540%
Last 5 (5)79.683.8163.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.984.8159.7-9.911%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.283.9169.1+1.360%
vs Weaker (2)96.594.0190.5+2.550%
This opponent (Paisas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
PaisasCimarrones del Choco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H16/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H17/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H18/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H20/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A23/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A24/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H30/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
21-30
21
30
-9
H31/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A03/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A03/11
LBP
71.5Avg total
35.0Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)35.237.472.6-2.229%-
Last 30 at home (6)34.337.071.3-2.733%-
Last 30 away (8)35.937.873.6-1.925%-
Last 10 (10)35.036.571.5-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.234.268.4+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.736.065.7-6.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.240.278.3-2.033%-
vs Weaker (2)43.033.576.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toros del Valle
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H14/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
L
24-43
24
43
-19
H15/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H19/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H20/10
LBP
Paisas
#6
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H23/10
LBP
Paisas
#6
L
31-54
31
54
-23
H24/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H26/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H27/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A07/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/11
LBP
78.3Avg total
37.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.981.2-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.141.679.7-3.439%-
Last 30 away (12)41.042.583.5-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)37.341.078.3-3.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.481.0-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.740.977.7-4.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.344.287.5-0.960%-
vs Weaker (2)42.039.581.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Paisas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paisas: 65.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.4
45.8%
50.3%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.27.4
26.1%
32.0%22.1
🏀 Free throws18.910.5
55.6%
68.5%10.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.6
52.2%
50.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.7
37.5%
32.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.410.6
60.9%
68.5%10.6
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paisas
LLLLWLLLWW
Cimarrones del Choco
WWLLLWLWLL
#6
League position
#7
-12.5
Net rating
-1.8
86.9
Offensive rating
95.7
99.3
Defensive rating
97.5
42.9%
Effective FG%
53.7%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
19.0%
Turnover %
23.1%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
19.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
26.1%
3-point %
37.5%
60.5%
Assist %
57.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence86.9 · 95.7Defence99.3 · 97.5Shooting42.9% · 53.7%3-point %26.1% · 37.5%Ball care19.0% · 23.1%Off. rebounds26.4% · 19.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Paisas   ■ Cimarrones del Choco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Paisas wins
1
Cimarrones del Choco wins
DateGameScore
24/10/24Cimarrones del Choco v Paisas65-72
23/10/24Cimarrones del Choco v Paisas75-61
Paisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24AMotilones del Norte63-75
03/11/24AMotilones del Norte57-64
31/10/24HMotilones del Norte66-72 OT
30/10/24HMotilones del Norte78-90
24/10/24ACimarrones del Choco72-65
23/10/24ACimarrones del Choco61-75
20/10/24HToros del Valle72-80
18/10/24HToros del Valle60-81
17/10/24HSabios de Manizales92-70
16/10/24HSabios de Manizales103-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/24AMotilones del Norte67-63
07/11/24AMotilones del Norte86-79
27/10/24HMotilones del Norte63-86
26/10/24HMotilones del Norte117-119 OT
24/10/24HPaisas65-72
23/10/24HPaisas75-61
20/10/24HSabios de Manizales109-118 OT
19/10/24HSabios de Manizales84-70
15/10/24HToros del Valle61-74
14/10/24HToros del Valle55-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paisas
LBP 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %36%33%38%
Points / game74.178.570.8
Allowed / game75.576.075.1
Point differential-1.4+2.5-4.4
Avg total149.6154.5145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %7%17%0%
Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW29%
HomeLWLLL41%
AwayWLLWW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422220
Win %29%41%15%
Points / game77.380.274.2
Allowed / game82.782.283.2
Point differential-5.4-2.0-9.1
Avg total160.0162.4157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)57% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %10%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Motilones del Norte51371473%83.076.4+6.6
2 Titanes de Barranquilla37261170%80.375.0+5.3
3 Caribbean Storm Islands49331667%84.978.1+6.7
4 Bucaros31181358%82.882.4+0.4
5 Toros del Valle56272948%85.184.4+0.7
6 Piratas de Bogota46182839%82.886.0-3.2
7 Paisas145936%74.175.5-1.4
8 Cimarrones del Choco42123029%77.382.7-5.4
9 Corsarios Cartagena2872125%75.882.4-6.6
10 Sabios de Manizales1621412%74.695.4-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paisas2815151169
Cimarrones del Choco1418211467
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