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Paisas vs Cimarrones del Choco Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 99-88
19-27 27-28 29-18 24-15
Position#1
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game66.2
Paisas 🏆
Colombia
vs
Position#7
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game93.0
ColombiaLBP· Ivan de Bedout
Other2025-26
Meetings · Paisas v Cimarrones del Choco
09 May 2026
PAIS86
CIMA79
08 May 2026
PAIS116
CIMA89
05 Dec 2025
PAIS93
CIMA85
04 Dec 2025
PAIS85
CIMA61
18 May 2025
PAIS97
CIMA77
17 May 2025
PAIS99
CIMA88
11 Nov 2024
PAIS69
CIMA72
10 Nov 2024
PAIS69
CIMA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paisas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaisasColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaisas
Date
Competition
Toros del Valle
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
81avg 68
A01/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
101-100
101
100
+1
103avg 68
H02/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 68
H06/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
101-87
101
87
+14
93avg 68
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
40avg 68
H09/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
65-102
65
102
-37
52avg 68
A14/03
Champions League Americas
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
82-51
82
51
+31
79avg 68
H10/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 68
H11/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
77-64
77
64
+13
78avg 68
H14/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
79-70
79
70
+9
79avg 68
H14/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
15-18
27-21
28-24
30-29
31-28
24-28
16-15
12-20
23-23
23-27
29-22
21-23
31-21
24-24
25-19
19-23
24-25
17-20
12-21
12-29
21-37
17-23
15-13
16-10
17-16
31-17
18-8
14-18
22-23
23-19
13-20
21-13
22-9
20-18
14-24
29-18
14-16
24-18
12-18
165.7Avg total
83.5Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.566.2143.8+11.275%
Season at home (4)77.566.2143.8+11.275%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.582.2165.7+1.360%
Last 5 (5)75.073.4148.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.986.8165.6-7.929%
vs Similar (10)73.881.3155.1-7.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.069.3153.3+14.783%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
98-85
98
85
+13
92avg 72
H28/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
92-86
92
86
+6
87avg 72
H04/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
84-77 OT
84
77
+7
80avg 72
H05/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 72
A07/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
67-74
67
74
-7
54avg 72
A08/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 72
A10/12
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
95-91
95
91
+4
89avg 72
A09/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
68avg 72
A10/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
82-103
82
103
-21
75avg 72
A13/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
80avg 72
A15/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
29-28
25-22
30-15
21-22
24-22
17-23
30-19
16-27
11-20
25-15
22-12
18-22
12-23
20-21
18-19
27-16
8-24
28-20
4-14
17-28
13-15
15-24
28-14
20-28
20-27
24-19
31-17
29-15
11-21
14-22
17-22
26-21
16-15
20-31
20-36
31-30
26-21
14-23
19-24
168.0Avg total
82.0Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.593.0177.5-8.525%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)84.593.0177.5-8.525%
Last 10 (10)82.086.0168.0-4.040%
Last 5 (5)82.290.6172.8-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.884.3163.1-5.535%
vs Similar (6)76.772.0148.7+4.767%
vs Weaker (4)106.890.5197.2+16.275%
This opponent (Paisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
PaisasCimarrones del Choco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toros del Valle
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A01/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H02/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H06/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H09/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
33-66
33
66
-33
A14/03
Champions League Americas
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H10/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H11/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H14/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H14/05
LBP
84.6Avg total
42.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.981.2-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.839.480.3+1.450%-
Last 30 away (12)39.443.182.5-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)42.342.384.6+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.875.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.644.082.6-5.429%-
vs Similar (10)41.040.581.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)43.034.377.3+8.767%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H28/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H04/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H05/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A07/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A08/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A10/12
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A09/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A13/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A15/05
LBP
83.4Avg total
38.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.242.281.4-3.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.141.477.5-5.436%-
Last 30 away (16)41.942.984.9-1.056%-
Last 10 (10)38.944.583.4-5.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.286.0-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.943.080.8-5.145%-
vs Similar (6)37.740.878.5-3.233%-
vs Weaker (4)48.040.888.8+7.275%-
This opponent (Paisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paisas: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.0
52.2%
49.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.7
34.4%
30.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.115.4
73.0%
67.7%15.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.515.7
48.3%
49.3%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.8
38.4%
30.7%38.4
🏀 Free throws16.211.0
67.9%
67.7%11.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paisas
WWLWLLWLWW
Cimarrones del Choco
LLLWLLLWWW
#1
League position
#7
+3.7
Net rating
-5.8
106.8
Offensive rating
101.3
103.1
Defensive rating
107.1
52.0%
Effective FG%
53.0%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
21.8%
Turnover %
19.7%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.4%
3-point %
38.4%
51.9%
Assist %
53.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 101.3Defence103.1 · 107.1Shooting52.0% · 53.0%3-point %34.4% · 38.4%Ball care21.8% · 19.7%Off. rebounds36.7% · 22.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Paisas   ■ Cimarrones del Choco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Paisas wins
2
Cimarrones del Choco wins
Paisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/25HToros del Valle79-70
14/05/25HToros del Valle77-64
11/05/25HSabios de Manizales72-80
10/05/25HSabios de Manizales82-51
14/03/25AFlamengo65-102
09/03/25HFlamengo72-89
08/02/25HToros del Valle101-87
06/02/25HReal Esteli87-92
02/02/25HReal Esteli101-100
01/02/25AToros del Valle99-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/25ASabios de Manizales90-98
13/05/25ASabios de Manizales82-103
10/05/25AToros del Valle71-80
09/05/25AToros del Valle95-91
10/12/24AMotilones del Norte73-81
08/12/24AMotilones del Norte67-74
07/12/24AMotilones del Norte68-85
05/12/24HMotilones del Norte84-77 OT
04/12/24HMotilones del Norte92-86
28/11/24HPiratas de Bogota98-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paisas
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game77.577.5-
Allowed / game66.266.2-
Point differential+11.2+11.2-
Avg total143.8143.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
Home--
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %25%-25%
Points / game84.5-84.5
Allowed / game93.0-93.0
Point differential-8.5--8.5
Avg total177.5-177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Caimanes del Llano220100%78.574.5+4.0
2 Paisas43175%77.566.2+11.2
3 Sabios de Manizales43175%83.081.5+1.5
4 Piratas de Bogota21150%83.074.5+8.5
5 Motilones del Norte42250%74.577.2-2.8
6 Caribbean Storm Islands41325%73.076.5-3.5
7 Toros del Valle41325%76.280.5-4.2
8 Cimarrones del Choco41325%84.593.0-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paisas1927292499
Cimarrones del Choco2728181588
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