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Paisas vs Real Esteli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:40
Final 101-100
30-29 31-28 24-28 16-15
Position#7
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game89.3
Paisas 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game69.0
EuropeChampions League Americas· Ivan de Bedout
Other2024-25
Meetings · Paisas v Real Esteli
06 Feb 2025
PAIS87
REAL92
02 Feb 2025
PAIS101
REAL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paisas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Esteli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaisasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaisas
Date
Competition
Toros del Valle
#5
L
79-94
79
94
-15
71avg 66
A16/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
85-55
85
55
+30
92avg 66
A20/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
109-96
109
96
+13
110avg 66
A21/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
74avg 66
H25/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
88avg 66
H25/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
67avg 66
H28/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
100-88
100
88
+12
100avg 66
H29/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#8
L
68-102
68
102
-34
48avg 66
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
70-79
70
79
-9
57avg 66
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
81avg 66
A01/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
21-17
25-29
11-24
19-17
32-14
13-14
21-10
23-24
29-28
30-19
27-25
24-23
32-16
17-26
14-21
33-17
13-27
24-17
24-26
18-22
17-21
13-22
29-23
30-20
26-20
27-21
17-27
18-28
17-23
16-28
17-23
17-20
12-22
20-19
21-18
29-24
15-18
27-21
28-24
173.0Avg total
86.8Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.089.3168.3-10.333%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)79.089.3168.3-10.333%
Last 10 (10)86.886.2173.0+0.660%
Last 5 (5)82.888.8171.6-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.980.8154.7-6.927%
vs Similar (12)76.382.6158.9-6.242%
vs Weaker (4)97.271.0168.2+26.2100%
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real EsteliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsteli
Date
Competition
Gladiadores
#11
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
no box
H19/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
63-71
63
71
-8
no box
A21/01
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
79-104
79
104
-25
no box
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
89-84
89
84
+5
84avg 72
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
75-100
75
100
-25
70avg 72
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
68-98
68
98
-30
60avg 72
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
95-94
95
94
+1
92avg 72
A10/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
69-99
69
99
-30
no box
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
87-68
87
68
+19
57avg 72
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
79-70
79
70
+9
71avg 72
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
29-26
20-27
18-17
18-21
16-16
22-14
7-20
22-33
21-25
16-14
20-32
25-14
19-27
22-19
23-24
20-26
25-23
21-25
9-26
20-20
19-22
20-34
9-22
25-24
26-26
22-20
22-24
21-28
25-23
11-21
12-27
29-9
26-27
18-16
14-16
20-17
22-12
19-20
18-21
168.1Avg total
80.1Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.069.0152.0+14.0100%
Season at home (2)83.069.0152.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.188.0168.1-7.950%
Last 5 (5)79.685.8165.4-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.990.7171.6-9.831%
vs Similar (6)88.781.2169.8+7.583%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.582.0172.5+8.575%
This opponent (Paisas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -7.7-7.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -7.7-7.7
PaisasReal Esteli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toros del Valle
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A16/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A20/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A21/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H25/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H25/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H28/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H29/11
LBP
Toros del Valle
#8
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A01/02
Champions League Americas
87.2Avg total
44.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)39.239.778.9-0.541%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.638.578.1+1.150%-
Last 30 away (15)38.940.779.5-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)44.742.587.2+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.683.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.339.573.7-5.218%-
vs Similar (12)41.040.781.7+0.350%-
vs Weaker (4)47.237.584.8+9.875%-
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real EsteliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gladiadores
#11
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H19/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A21/01
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A10/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H19/01
Champions League Americas
88.2Avg total
44.7Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.144.286.3-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.942.885.7+0.153%-
Last 30 away (13)41.146.087.1-4.938%-
Last 10 (10)44.743.588.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)46.641.688.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.246.887.1-6.631%-
vs Similar (6)47.241.388.5+5.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.041.183.1+0.950%-
This opponent (Paisas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paisas: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.2
50.8%
49.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.4
33.6%
33.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.613.8
74.2%
71.9%13.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Estelitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Esteli: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.121.3
51.8%
49.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.2
29.4%
33.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.014.9
71.0%
71.9%14.9
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paisas
WLLWLWWWWL
Real Esteli
WWLWLLWLLW
#7
League position
#5
+4.8
Net rating
-9.9
109.5
Offensive rating
99.3
104.7
Defensive rating
109.2
50.6%
Effective FG%
48.9%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.0%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.6%
3-point %
29.4%
61.9%
Assist %
61.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 99.3Defence104.7 · 109.2Shooting50.6% · 48.9%3-point %33.6% · 29.4%Ball care17.6% · 17.0%Off. rebounds36.0% · 24.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Paisas   ■ Real Esteli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Paisas wins
1
Real Esteli wins
DateGameScore
19/01/25Real Esteli v Paisas79-70
Paisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25AToros del Valle99-87
19/01/25AReal Esteli70-79
18/01/25AToros del Valle68-102
29/11/24HCaribbean Storm Islands100-88
28/11/24HCaribbean Storm Islands77-88
25/11/24HPiratas de Bogota94-87
25/11/24HPiratas de Bogota87-86
21/11/24ASabios de Manizales109-96
20/11/24ASabios de Manizales85-55
16/11/24AToros del Valle79-94
Real Estelilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25HPaisas79-70
17/01/25HToros del Valle87-68
12/03/24AQuimsa69-99
10/03/24AQuimsa95-94
07/03/24HQuimsa68-98
10/02/24AHalcones de Xalapa75-100
09/02/24AGladiadores89-84
22/01/24HHalcones de Xalapa79-104
21/01/24AGladiadores63-71
19/12/23HGladiadores97-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paisas
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
Home--
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %33%-33%
Points / game79.0-79.0
Allowed / game89.3-89.3
Point differential-10.3--10.3
Avg total168.3-168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Real Esteli
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.083.0-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total152.0152.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo440100%90.263.0+27.2
2 Real Esteli220100%83.069.0+14.0
3 Franca440100%85.873.5+12.2
4 Minas440100%80.569.8+10.8
5 Boca Juniors42250%76.275.0+1.2
6 Instituto de Cordoba42250%79.279.2+0.0
7 Toros del Valle31233%85.784.7+1.0
8 Paisas31233%79.089.3-10.3
9 Quimsa41325%72.875.5-2.8
10 Bigua41325%68.876.8-8.0
11 Leones Quilpue4040%70.082.2-12.2
12 Toros del Chiriqui4040%64.092.5-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paisas30312416101
Real Esteli29282815100
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