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Palencia vs Oviedo Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 08 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#9
Record4-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game84.4
SpainPrimera FEBRound 15
Other2026-27
Meetings · Palencia v Oviedo
08 Jan 2027
PAL v OVIE
upcoming
14 Nov 2025
PAL88
OVIE80
01 Mar 2025
PAL90
OVIE78
16 Oct 2022
PAL88
OVIE63
28 May 2022
PAL83
OVIE70
26 May 2022
PAL76
OVIE71
17 Apr 2022
PAL76
OVIE80
29 Jan 2021
PAL78
OVIE81
13 Mar 2020
PAL v OVIE
upcoming
27 Jan 2019
PAL66
OVIE84
13 May 2018
PAL91
OVIE81
11 May 2018
PAL64
OVIE60
03 Dec 2017
PAL73
OVIE62
28 May 2017
PAL86
OVIE71
26 May 2017
PAL81
OVIE70
21 Oct 2016
PAL72
OVIE70
04 Mar 2016
PAL97
OVIE74
07 Nov 2014
PAL65
OVIE73
27 Apr 2014
PAL69
OVIE65
25 Apr 2014
PAL87
OVIE47
18 Oct 2013
PAL69
OVIE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oviedo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
59avg 77
A24/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
76-51
76
51
+25
68avg 77
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
70avg 77
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
95-69
95
69
+26
105avg 77
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#13
W
70-67
70
67
+3
63avg 77
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#17
W
91-76
91
76
+15
85avg 77
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
62avg 77
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
78avg 77
H24/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A31/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
72-56
72
56
+16
no box
H06/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
22-21
22-22
12-22
26-9
15-12
22-12
13-18
16-20
24-18
21-28
20-26
25-20
27-14
23-23
20-12
14-12
19-19
16-15
21-21
17-19
27-18
14-17
33-22
22-21
26-14
12-27
17-24
13-25
22-20
25-16
24-19
19-17
19-14
24-21
23-21
13-7
16-18
22-12
21-19
153.1Avg total
80.3Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.072.4154.4+9.686%
Season at home (4)79.269.8149.0+9.5100%
Season away (3)85.776.0161.7+9.767%
Last 10 (10)80.372.8153.1+7.570%
Last 5 (5)81.874.2156.0+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.081.0134.0-28.00%
vs Similar (3)85.788.3174.0-2.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)83.769.7153.4+14.092%
This opponent (Oviedo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OviedoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOviedo
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
83-75
83
75
+8
70avg 70
A17/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 70
H22/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
54avg 70
A06/06
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
69-108
69
108
-39
53avg 70
A26/09
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
L
67-77
67
77
-10
57avg 70
H03/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
99-86
99
86
+13
no box
H10/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#14
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
88avg 70
A16/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
69avg 70
H24/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
A01/11
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#13
W
70-63
70
63
+7
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
27-24
17-22
14-16
26-20
22-18
19-12
15-25
23-18
16-28
18-20
14-13
27-23
16-32
16-30
10-23
10-17
29-19
12-22
16-19
19-21
28-17
21-28
31-20
25-19
24-27
23-25
16-17
19-15
24-23
20-17
18-22
18-25
17-16
23-20
21-19
12-13
21-14
19-15
18-21
162.2Avg total
80.2Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.984.4165.3-3.657%
Season at home (4)79.275.8155.0+3.575%
Season away (3)83.096.0179.0-13.033%
Last 10 (10)80.282.0162.2-1.860%
Last 5 (5)86.081.2167.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)72.287.8160.0-15.60%
vs Similar (12)79.075.8154.8+3.267%
vs Weaker (13)86.775.4162.1+11.392%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
PalenciaOviedo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#13
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#17
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H24/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A31/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H06/11
Primera FEB
72.9Avg total
39.8Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.834.575.2+6.383%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.934.476.3+7.580%-
Last 30 away (15)39.634.574.1+5.187%-
Last 10 (10)39.833.172.9+6.790%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.673.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.037.060.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (3)45.036.381.3+8.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.034.275.1+6.885%-
This opponent (Oviedo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OviedoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A17/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H22/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A06/06
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A26/09
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H10/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#14
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H24/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A01/11
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#13
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H07/11
Primera FEB
83.0Avg total
42.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.281.1+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.977.8+1.967%-
Last 30 away (15)42.042.484.4-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.283.0+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.079.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.642.479.0-5.820%-
vs Similar (12)41.840.282.0+1.767%-
vs Weaker (13)41.839.381.1+2.562%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.6
47.9%
53.0%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws25.319.2
75.9%
74.2%19.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oviedotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oviedo: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.717.9
56.5%
53.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.010.8
31.8%
32.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.212.9
70.9%
74.2%12.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
WWWLWWWLWL
Oviedo
WLWWWLLLWW
#3
League position
#9
+6.0
Net rating
-1.2
110.8
Offensive rating
108.8
104.8
Defensive rating
110.0
50.3%
Effective FG%
51.9%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.4%
3-point %
31.8%
58.9%
Assist %
46.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 108.8Defence104.8 · 110.0Shooting50.3% · 51.9%3-point %35.4% · 31.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Palencia   ■ Oviedo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Palencia wins
1
Oviedo wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26Oviedo v Palencia61-76
14/11/25Palencia v Oviedo88-80
01/03/25Palencia v Oviedo90-78
20/12/24Oviedo v Palencia71-91
04/02/23Oviedo v Palencia56-67
16/10/22Palencia v Oviedo88-63
02/06/22Oviedo v Palencia67-75
28/05/22Palencia v Oviedo83-70
26/05/22Palencia v Oviedo76-71
17/04/22Palencia v Oviedo76-80
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HGranada72-56
31/10/26AEstela85-73
24/10/26HOurense84-80
18/10/26AEstudiantes77-86
09/10/26HHestia Menorca91-76
02/10/26HCordoba70-67
26/09/26AAlbacete95-69
06/06/26ALeyma Coruna81-92
29/05/26HFuenlabrada76-51
24/05/26AFuenlabrada72-78
Oviedolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HCordoba70-63
01/11/26APalmer Basket79-80
24/10/26HZamora81-77
16/10/26ATizona Burgos101-100 OT
10/10/26HFibwi Palma99-86
03/10/26HGranada67-77
26/09/26AGran Canaria69-108
06/06/26AEstudiantes71-79
22/05/26HGipuzkoa82-75
17/05/26AGipuzkoa83-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game82.079.285.7
Allowed / game72.469.876.0
Point differential+9.6+9.5+9.7
Avg total154.4149.0161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oviedo
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game80.979.283.0
Allowed / game84.475.896.0
Point differential-3.6+3.5-13.0
Avg total165.3155.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante770100%90.976.7+14.1
2 Estudiantes76186%88.174.6+13.6
3 Palencia76186%82.072.4+9.6
4 Gran Canaria75271%89.175.6+13.6
5 Estela75271%81.378.1+3.1
6 Ourense74357%85.083.1+1.9
7 Palmer Basket74357%87.486.4+1.0
8 Granada74357%76.677.9-1.3
9 Oviedo74357%80.984.4-3.6
10 Caja 8773443%75.976.4-0.6
11 Zamora73443%78.180.9-2.7
12 Albacete73443%79.484.0-4.6
13 Cordoba72529%70.676.1-5.6
14 Tizona Burgos72529%85.791.9-6.1
15 Gipuzkoa72529%77.390.3-13.0
16 Fuenlabrada71614%77.681.3-3.7
17 Hestia Menorca71614%68.976.0-7.1
18 Fibwi Palma71614%79.788.3-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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