Palencia vs Oviedo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 90-78

23-15 16-18 24-18 27-27

Position#6

Record15-6

FormWWWLW

Points / game87.0

Allowed / game79.6

Palencia 🏆

Oviedo

Position#11

Record8-13

FormLWWWL

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game81.4

Primera FEBRound 22· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes

Other2024-25

Meetings · Palencia v Oviedo

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Oviedo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPalencia

Date

Competition

Ourense

#10

114-81

114

+33

113avg 77

H14/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

91-71

+20

90avg 77

A20/12

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

90-75

+15

90avg 77

H28/12

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

78-84

-6

63avg 77

A04/01

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

79-75

68avg 77

H10/01

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

83-59

+24

83avg 77

A18/01

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

89-88

79avg 77

H01/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

96-95

97avg 77

A07/02

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

85-87

-2

78avg 77

H12/02

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

87-85

79avg 77

A16/02

Primera FEB

31-14

30-21

26-21

27-25

25-17

19-24

27-10

20-20

24-10

14-25

30-19

22-21

24-18

20-26

18-22

16-18

24-27

18-19

24-18

13-11

24-19

13-14

25-13

21-13

19-20

26-20

22-19

22-29

22-28

20-20

23-21

31-26

24-21

20-18

18-22

23-26

21-21

27-21

22-23

17-20

169.2Avg total

89.2Scored

80.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	87.0	79.6	166.7	+7.4	71%
Season at home (10)	89.3	78.5	167.8	+10.8	80%
Season away (11)	85.0	80.6	165.6	+4.4	64%
Last 10 (10)	89.2	80.0	169.2	+9.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	88.0	82.8	170.8	+5.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	78.5	86.8	165.3	-8.3	10%
vs Similar (6)	80.7	86.0	166.7	-5.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	90.4	76.6	166.9	+13.8	93%

This opponent (Oviedo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Oviedo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormOviedo

Date

Competition

Hestia Menorca

#15

64-69 OT

-5

52avg 66

A15/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

71-91

-20

51avg 66

H20/12

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

81-100

100

-19

64avg 66

A29/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

87-73

+14

81avg 66

H04/01

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

65-76

-11

52avg 66

A11/01

Primera FEB

Cartagena

73-87

-14

60avg 66

H18/01

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

81-76

69avg 66

A02/02

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

98-84

+14

91avg 66

H08/02

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

94-78

+16

95avg 66

A12/02

Primera FEB

Real Betis

68-78

-10

55avg 66

H16/02

Primera FEB

6-11

20-20

13-14

17-11

17-25

24-19

10-27

20-20

10-28

27-22

20-23

24-27

24-19

25-20

23-13

15-21

19-17

15-25

17-14

14-20

20-18

16-21

18-23

19-25

9-26

26-16

18-19

28-15

23-26

29-18

21-19

25-21

26-22

19-22

25-18

24-16

15-23

16-18

25-20

12-17

159.4Avg total

78.2Scored

81.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	77.6	81.4	159.0	-3.8	38%
Season at home (10)	77.9	78.8	156.7	-0.9	40%
Season away (11)	77.4	83.8	161.2	-6.5	36%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	81.2	159.4	-3.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	80.6	163.4	+2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	70.2	79.7	149.8	-9.5	8%
vs Similar (11)	82.5	83.0	165.5	-0.5	55%
vs Weaker (7)	82.3	80.1	162.4	+2.1	57%

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PalenciaOviedo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	19.5	43.3	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.2	21.8	39.0	-4.7	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.8	18.6	42.4	+5.2	79%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	23.3	40.2	-6.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	21.5	38.4	-4.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	23.0	41.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.7	21.4	38.1	-4.8	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.8	21.2	39.0	-3.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.7	21.6	42.3	-0.9	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	21.3	41.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.0	70%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.8	22.8	44.7	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.6	19.6	40.3	+1.0	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	18.3	39.5	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.9	41.5	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.3	58%	-
vs Similar (11)	23.1	20.9	44.0	+2.2	55%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.9	19.0	39.9	+1.9	57%	-

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ourense

#10

61-35

+26

H14/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

44-41

A20/12

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

38-35

H28/12

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

44-44

A04/01

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

42-46

-4

H10/01

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

37-33

A18/01

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

45-40

H01/02

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

42-48

-6

A07/02

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

44-39

H12/02

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

48-42

A16/02

Primera FEB

84.8Avg total

44.5Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	40.0	81.4	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	39.1	81.3	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.6	40.9	81.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	40.3	84.8	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	40.4	83.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.5	39.7	78.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.0	44.7	83.7	-5.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	44.4	38.2	82.6	+6.2	71%	-

This opponent (Oviedo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OviedoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hestia Menorca

#15

26-31

-5

A15/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

41-44

-3

H20/12

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

37-50

-13

A29/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

49-39

+10

H04/01

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

34-42

-8

A11/01

Primera FEB

Cartagena

36-39

-3

H18/01

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

35-42

-7

A02/02

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

52-44

H08/02

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

45-44

A12/02

Primera FEB

Real Betis

31-41

-10

H16/02

Primera FEB

80.2Avg total

38.6Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	40.9	79.9	-2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	37.7	78.1	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.6	44.1	81.7	-6.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	41.6	80.2	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	42.0	81.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	35.7	40.1	75.8	-4.4	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.9	42.1	83.0	-1.2	64%	-
vs Weaker (7)	41.6	40.6	82.1	+1.0	57%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.2	42.1	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	20.5	43.3	+2.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	19.9	40.9	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	18.8	42.3	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.4	21.8	41.2	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	24.6	18.9	43.4	+5.7	79%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.1	36.5	+0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.5	20.8	38.2	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.9	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.7	42.9	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	22.6	43.7	-1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	22.8	45.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.6	25.3	45.9	-4.7	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.7	20.8	42.5	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+1.9	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	18.9	36.0	-1.7	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.7	18.1	34.8	-1.4	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.3	20.0	39.3	-0.7	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	41.9	85.0	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.9	43.1	87.0	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	40.7	82.9	+1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	39.7	84.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	42.4	87.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.0	47.1	87.1	-7.1	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.7	41.3	83.0	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	45.9	38.4	84.3	+7.6	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	38.8	76.3	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.6	40.3	77.9	-2.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	37.3	74.8	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	38.3	77.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	38.6	81.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	34.2	38.8	73.0	-4.7	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.3	38.2	77.5	+1.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.7	39.6	80.3	+1.1	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.1	52.2%	51.8%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	8.4	34.1%	33.7%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.8	75.4%	73.6%	13.8

They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Oviedotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.0	17.8	55.6%	51.8%	35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	11.0	36.4%	33.7%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	22.8	19.3	84.6%	73.6%	19.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.0	52.5%	51.8%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.7	34.3%	33.7%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.6	74.4%	73.6%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.7	53.7%	51.8%	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.2	37.5%	33.7%	30.7
🏀 Free throws	21.3	16.8	78.9%	73.6%	16.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Palencia wins

Oviedo wins

Date	Game	Score
20/12/24	Oviedo v Palencia	71-91
04/02/23	Oviedo v Palencia	56-67
16/10/22	Palencia v Oviedo	88-63
02/06/22	Oviedo v Palencia	67-75
28/05/22	Palencia v Oviedo	83-70
26/05/22	Palencia v Oviedo	76-71
17/04/22	Palencia v Oviedo	76-80
04/01/22	Oviedo v Palencia	79-74 OT
29/01/21	Palencia v Oviedo	78-81 OT
09/12/20	Oviedo v Palencia	78-79

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/25	A	Gipuzkoa	87-85
12/02/25	H	San Pablo Burgos	85-87
07/02/25	A	Alicante	96-95
01/02/25	H	Fuenlabrada	89-88
18/01/25	A	Estela	83-59
10/01/25	H	Zamora	79-75
04/01/25	A	Hestia Menorca	78-84
28/12/24	H	Real Valladolid	90-75
20/12/24	A	Oviedo	91-71
14/12/24	H	Ourense	114-81

Oviedolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/25	H	Real Betis	68-78
12/02/25	A	Ourense	94-78
08/02/25	H	Tizona Burgos	98-84
02/02/25	A	Estudiantes	81-76
18/01/25	H	Cartagena	73-87
11/01/25	A	Obradoiro CAB	65-76
04/01/25	H	Gipuzkoa	87-73
29/12/24	A	Zamora	81-100
20/12/24	H	Palencia	71-91
15/12/24	A	Hestia Menorca	64-69 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	71%
Home	WWWWL	80%
Away	WLWWW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	71%	80%	64%
Points / game	87.0	89.3	85.0
Allowed / game	79.6	78.5	80.6
Point differential	+7.4	+10.8	+4.4
Avg total	166.7	167.8	165.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	40%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	67% (3)	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Oviedo

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	38%
Home	LWLWL	40%
Away	LLLWW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	38%	40%	36%
Points / game	77.6	77.9	77.4
Allowed / game	81.4	78.8	83.8
Point differential	-3.8	-0.9	-6.5
Avg total	159.0	156.7	161.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	30%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	50% (2)	75% (4)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	21	20	1	95%	90.8	75.7	+15.0
2	Fuenlabrada	21	18	3	86%	85.0	73.7	+11.3
3	Estudiantes	21	18	3	86%	88.0	77.9	+10.1
4	Real Betis	21	16	5	76%	83.0	73.9	+9.1
5	Palencia	21	15	6	71%	87.0	79.6	+7.4
6	Tizona Burgos	21	12	9	57%	90.3	90.4	-0.1
7	Obradoiro CAB	20	11	9	55%	80.4	75.5	+4.8
8	Ourense	21	10	11	48%	84.2	83.3	+0.9
9	Cartagena	21	10	11	48%	78.2	85.0	-6.7
10	Hestia Menorca	21	9	12	43%	75.0	76.6	-1.5
11	Zamora	21	9	12	43%	79.1	81.4	-2.3
12	Oviedo	21	8	13	38%	77.6	81.4	-3.8
13	Gipuzkoa	21	7	14	33%	75.9	79.2	-3.3
14	Castello	21	7	14	33%	79.5	88.2	-8.7
15	Estela	20	6	14	30%	74.5	82.9	-8.4
16	Real Valladolid	21	6	15	29%	76.6	84.0	-7.5
17	Alicante	21	5	16	24%	74.7	79.0	-4.3
18	Moron	21	1	20	5%	72.0	84.2	-12.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Palencia	23	16	24	27	90
Oviedo	15	18	18	27	78

← all games of the day

Palencia vs Oviedo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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