Palencia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 May 2023

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 74-66

15-15 20-20 23-14 16-17

Position#2

Record25-6

FormWWLWL

Points / game82.5

Allowed / game72.7

Palencia 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#7

Record20-11

FormWLWLW

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game73.4

Primera FEBRound 32

Other2022-23

Meetings · Palencia v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

89-97

-8

A04/03

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

85-74

+11

H10/03

Primera FEB

Castello

80-85

-5

A17/03

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

94-72

+22

H24/03

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

88-80

A31/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

76-61

+15

H05/04

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

86-80

H09/04

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

65-89

-24

A15/04

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

103-63

103

+40

H21/04

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

81-88

-7

A28/04

Primera FEB

23-22

20-17

21-26

25-32

19-17

23-20

23-22

20-15

30-18

21-15

14-27

15-25

24-15

25-21

14-16

31-20

18-25

26-17

16-22

28-16

14-17

18-13

26-12

18-19

19-18

22-9

14-24

31-29

12-21

14-24

21-21

18-23

27-22

15-16

39-15

22-10

23-29

23-19

17-13

18-27

163.6Avg total

84.7Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	82.5	72.7	155.3	+9.8	81%
Season at home (15)	85.7	69.7	155.5	+16.0	100%
Season away (16)	79.6	75.6	155.1	+4.0	62%
Last 10 (10)	84.7	78.9	163.6	+5.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	76.2	158.4	+6.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	77.5	79.5	157.0	-2.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	83.6	72.0	155.6	+11.6	85%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

75-81

-6

A05/03

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

75-78

-3

H12/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

66-68

-2

A18/03

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

70-65

H26/03

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

51-85

-34

A01/04

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

79-56

+23

H05/04

Primera FEB

Castello

86-87

-1

A09/04

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

80-54

+26

H16/04

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

95-100 OT

100

-5

A22/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

90-78

+12

H30/04

Primera FEB

20-21

17-19

18-17

20-24

17-25

17-13

17-21

24-19

15-17

17-18

15-19

19-14

25-21

14-15

13-19

18-10

3-19

16-25

16-22

16-19

20-23

12-10

23-17

24-6

32-15

11-25

16-20

27-27

19-17

23-12

20-6

18-19

27-22

20-24

22-23

17-17

19-17

29-23

23-25

19-13

151.9Avg total

76.7Scored

75.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	78.6	73.4	152.1	+5.2	65%
Season at home (16)	80.2	68.2	148.4	+12.1	81%
Season away (15)	76.9	79.0	155.9	-2.1	47%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	75.2	151.9	+1.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	75.0	161.0	+11.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	65.3	82.3	147.7	-17.0	0%
vs Similar (8)	78.8	71.4	150.1	+7.4	75%
vs Weaker (19)	81.4	71.7	153.1	+9.7	74%

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PalenciaEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	17.5	38.3	+3.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	17.5	20.2	37.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.7	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	17.5	37.8	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	17.3	37.4	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+2.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.7	39.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.8	42.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	16.0	17.7	33.7	-1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.4	16.8	38.2	+4.6	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	17.3	37.6	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.4	39.4	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	16.2	36.1	+3.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	17.1	37.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.2	34.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.3	17.0	37.3	+3.3	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.7	37.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	17.1	36.6	+2.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	18.4	36.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	13.0	22.0	35.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.8	17.8	36.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	19.5	18.6	38.2	+0.9	58%	-

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

43-39

A04/03

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

42-37

H10/03

Primera FEB

Castello

51-33

+18

A17/03

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

49-36

+13

H24/03

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

44-42

A31/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

32-30

H05/04

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

41-27

+14

H09/04

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

26-45

-19

A15/04

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

42-38

H21/04

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

46-48

-2

A28/04

Primera FEB

79.1Avg total

41.6Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	36.3	76.7	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.7	35.9	77.6	+5.8	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.3	36.6	75.9	+2.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	37.5	79.1	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	37.6	75.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	38.0	39.2	77.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	40.8	35.8	76.7	+5.0	69%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

37-40

-3

A05/03

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

34-38

-4

H12/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

32-35

-3

A18/03

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

39-36

H26/03

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

19-44

-25

A01/04

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

32-33

-1

H05/04

Primera FEB

Castello

43-40

A09/04

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

42-29

+13

H16/04

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

47-46

A22/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

48-40

H30/04

Primera FEB

75.4Avg total

37.3Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	36.2	75.2	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.6	34.4	74.0	+5.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	38.2	76.6	+0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	38.1	75.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	37.6	80.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	29.0	39.7	68.7	-10.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.1	36.8	74.9	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	40.9	35.4	76.4	+5.5	74%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.4	38.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	17.3	39.6	+5.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	17.4	36.7	+1.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	17.0	40.4	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	20.5	19.2	39.8	+1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.7	17.1	37.8	+3.7	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.9	37.2	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	16.7	22.3	39.0	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (19)	19.5	17.4	36.9	+2.1	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	16.9	39.3	+5.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.1	19.1	41.2	+3.0	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	15.9	36.4	+4.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.4	37.4	+4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.5	15.5	36.0	+5.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (19)	20.4	18.1	38.5	+2.3	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	36.7	79.1	+5.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.8	34.1	78.9	+10.6	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.2	38.9	79.2	+1.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	41.4	84.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	38.6	83.4	+6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	39.5	40.2	79.8	-0.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	42.8	36.2	79.0	+6.7	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	36.0	75.8	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.7	33.8	74.4	+6.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.7	38.6	77.3	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	35.7	74.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	34.6	76.4	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	36.3	42.7	79.0	-6.3	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.6	34.6	75.2	+6.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (19)	39.9	35.5	75.5	+4.4	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Palencia wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
08/01/23	Estudiantes v Palencia	73-83
18/06/22	Estudiantes v Palencia	89-62
08/05/22	Estudiantes v Palencia	71-73
13/02/22	Palencia v Estudiantes	66-62

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/04/23	A	Forca Lleida	81-88
21/04/23	H	Iraurgi SB	103-63
15/04/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	65-89
09/04/23	H	Ourense	86-80
05/04/23	H	Caceres	76-61
31/03/23	A	Albacete	88-80
24/03/23	H	Estela	94-72
17/03/23	A	Castello	80-85
10/03/23	H	Gipuzkoa	85-74
04/03/23	A	MoraBanc Andorra	89-97

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/23	H	Caceres	90-78
22/04/23	A	Albacete	95-100 OT
16/04/23	H	Estela	80-54
09/04/23	A	Castello	86-87
05/04/23	H	Gipuzkoa	79-56
01/04/23	A	MoraBanc Andorra	51-85
26/03/23	H	Alicante	70-65
18/03/23	A	Oviedo	66-68
12/03/23	H	Almansa	75-78
05/03/23	A	Real Valladolid	75-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	81%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LLWLL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	81%	100%	62%
Points / game	82.5	85.7	79.6
Allowed / game	72.7	69.7	75.6
Point differential	+9.8	+16.0	+4.0
Avg total	155.3	155.5	155.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	61%	73%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	65%
Home	LWWWW	81%
Away	LLLLL	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	65%	81%	47%
Points / game	78.6	80.2	76.9
Allowed / game	73.4	68.2	79.0
Point differential	+5.2	+12.1	-2.1
Avg total	152.1	148.4	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	62%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	67% (3)	33% (6)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	31	27	4	87%	82.8	70.0	+12.8
2	Palencia	31	25	6	81%	82.5	72.7	+9.8
3	Leyma Coruna	32	22	10	69%	84.7	76.8	+7.8
4	San Pablo Burgos	32	21	11	66%	83.3	74.2	+9.2
5	Estudiantes	31	20	11	65%	78.6	73.4	+5.2
6	Real Valladolid	31	20	11	65%	76.6	73.5	+3.1
7	Forca Lleida	32	20	12	62%	79.8	77.3	+2.5
8	Alicante	31	18	13	58%	76.1	75.3	+0.8
9	Gipuzkoa	31	17	14	55%	78.1	74.9	+3.2
10	Castello	32	16	16	50%	76.1	78.0	-2.0
11	Estela	31	14	17	45%	73.8	78.6	-4.9
12	Ourense	31	11	20	35%	73.3	79.2	-5.9
13	Almansa	32	11	21	34%	74.4	79.7	-5.3
14	Caceres	32	10	22	31%	75.6	80.9	-5.3
15	Oviedo	31	9	22	29%	69.3	77.7	-8.5
16	Iraurgi SB	31	8	23	26%	73.3	82.3	-9.0
17	Albacete	31	7	24	23%	72.9	79.1	-6.2
18	Melilla	31	6	25	19%	75.5	83.1	-7.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Palencia	15	20	23	16	74
Estudiantes	15	20	14	17	66

← all games of the day

Palencia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature