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Palmer Basket vs Estela Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game79.3
SpainPrimera FEBRound 14
Other2026-27
Meetings · Palmer Basket v Estela
03 Jan 2027
PALM v ESTE
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
PALM86
ESTE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palmer Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Estela win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Palmer BasketSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
65-82
65
82
-17
44avg 67
A17/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
74-89
74
89
-15
66avg 67
A22/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
77-68
77
68
+9
67avg 67
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
70-73
70
73
-3
59avg 67
A03/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
59-85
59
85
-26
40avg 67
H08/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#17
W
95-94
95
94
+1
91avg 67
H25/09
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#10
L
72-81
72
81
-9
67avg 67
A02/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
84-69
84
69
+15
79avg 67
H11/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#14
W
94-90
94
90
+4
83avg 67
A16/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
L
94-95
94
95
-1
88avg 67
H25/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
14-28
19-16
17-19
22-32
15-12
18-23
19-22
22-20
25-15
11-21
19-12
17-12
12-21
28-15
13-25
5-19
16-22
23-21
15-23
29-22
22-21
25-23
19-28
22-17
22-16
10-23
18-25
18-15
21-18
23-17
22-19
18-22
24-23
23-25
29-20
26-26
19-20
25-28
24-21
161.0Avg total
78.4Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.885.8173.6+2.060%
Season at home (3)91.086.0177.0+5.067%
Season away (2)83.085.5168.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)78.482.6161.0-4.240%
Last 5 (5)87.885.8173.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)70.682.8153.5-12.216%
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.777.6155.3+0.157%
vs Weaker (4)91.887.0178.8+4.875%
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
76avg 72
H22/04
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
89-86
89
86
+3
84avg 72
A26/04
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
65-95
65
95
-30
58avg 72
H02/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
70-100
70
100
-30
53avg 72
A08/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#18
W
69-68
69
68
+1
54avg 72
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#17
W
88-76
88
76
+12
89avg 72
A04/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#9
W
101-86
101
86
+15
99avg 72
A10/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 72
H17/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#11
L
81-82
81
82
-1
73avg 72
A25/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
23-28
16-21
18-24
17-22
37-22
19-17
16-25
21-28
13-25
22-19
9-23
14-26
16-28
23-25
17-21
18-20
20-17
14-17
17-14
17-24
24-15
24-15
23-22
21-28
31-13
27-20
22-25
22-15
22-23
23-24
17-17
23-20
19-23
19-19
20-20
17-19
14-19
21-24
21-23
164.6Avg total
80.0Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.779.3162.0+3.367%
Season at home (3)75.377.3152.7-2.067%
Season away (3)90.081.3171.3+8.767%
Last 10 (10)80.084.6164.6-4.650%
Last 5 (5)85.481.6167.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)77.287.3164.5-10.129%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.276.7155.9+2.656%
vs Weaker (4)80.576.2156.8+4.275%
This opponent (Palmer Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -3.4-3.4
Palmer BasketEstela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Palmer BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A17/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A22/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A03/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H08/05
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#17
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H25/09
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A02/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H11/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A16/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H25/10
Primera FEB
78.4Avg total
38.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.078.9-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.840.678.4-2.844%-
Last 30 away (14)38.041.479.4-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.078.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.084.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)35.842.778.6-6.921%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.935.775.6+4.171%-
vs Weaker (4)44.241.886.0+2.550%-
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H22/04
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A26/04
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H02/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A08/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#17
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#9
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A10/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A25/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H31/10
Primera FEB
84.3Avg total
41.2Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.082.0-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.740.780.4-1.043%-
Last 30 away (16)40.343.183.4-2.844%-
Last 10 (10)41.243.184.3-1.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.881.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.844.683.4-5.829%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.938.380.2+3.656%-
vs Weaker (4)41.239.280.5+2.075%-
This opponent (Palmer Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palmer Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palmer Basket: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.3
52.0%
53.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.0
29.9%
32.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.014.8
70.5%
74.2%14.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.5
55.7%
53.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.3
33.8%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
74.2%14.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palmer Basket
LWWLWLLWLL
Estela
LLWWWWLLWL
#7
League position
#5
-5.6
Net rating
-5.8
105.4
Offensive rating
111.4
111.1
Defensive rating
117.2
49.4%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.9%
3-point %
33.8%
48.1%
Assist %
57.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 111.4Defence111.1 · 117.2Shooting49.4% · 53.2%3-point %29.9% · 33.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Palmer Basket   ■ Estela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Palmer Basket wins
0
Estela wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26Palmer Basket v Estela86-83
10/01/26Estela v Palmer Basket73-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HTizona Burgos94-95
16/10/26AGipuzkoa94-90
11/10/26HZamora84-69
02/10/26ACaja 8772-81
25/09/26HFibwi Palma95-94
08/05/26HFibwi Palma59-85
03/05/26AEstudiantes70-73
26/04/26HAlicante77-68
22/04/26AOviedo74-89
17/04/26AGipuzkoa65-82
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HPalencia73-85
25/10/26AAlbacete81-82
17/10/26HFuenlabrada84-79
10/10/26AOurense101-86
04/10/26AFibwi Palma88-76
26/09/26HHestia Menorca69-68
08/05/26APalencia70-100
02/05/26HObradoiro CAB65-95
26/04/26AZamora89-86
22/04/26HFuenlabrada80-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palmer Basket
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game87.891.083.0
Allowed / game85.886.085.5
Point differential+2.0+5.0-2.5
Avg total173.6177.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estela
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game82.775.390.0
Allowed / game79.377.381.3
Point differential+3.3-2.0+8.7
Avg total162.0152.7171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante660100%89.874.0+15.8
2 Estudiantes550100%88.873.8+15.0
3 Palencia65183%83.775.2+8.5
4 Gran Canaria54180%91.472.2+19.2
5 Estela64267%82.779.3+3.3
6 Granada64267%80.078.8+1.2
7 Palmer Basket53260%87.885.8+2.0
8 Oviedo53260%83.489.6-6.2
9 Ourense63350%84.883.0+1.8
10 Caja 8763350%76.376.7-0.3
11 Albacete63350%83.387.7-4.3
12 Cordoba52340%71.677.6-6.0
13 Zamora62433%75.881.2-5.3
14 Gipuzkoa51420%80.094.4-14.4
15 Fuenlabrada61517%76.580.5-4.0
16 Tizona Burgos61517%87.595.0-7.5
17 Fibwi Palma61517%79.887.7-7.8
18 Hestia Menorca6060%70.079.3-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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