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Panathinaikos vs Apollon Patras Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 112-60
33-12 29-15 27-15 23-18
Position#2
Record4-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#17
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game83.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 5· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Apollon Patras
06 Nov 2023
PAO112
APA60
02 Apr 2023
PAO108
APA77
07 May 2022
PAO78
APA68
28 Nov 2016
PAO96
APA59
10 May 2015
PAO80
APA52
06 May 2014
PAO88
APA61
13 Jan 2014
PAO81
APA73
06 Jan 2013
PAO91
APA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Apollon Patras winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
L
78-88 OT
78
88
-10
74avg 73
H06/10
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
82-71
82
71
+11
66avg 73
H09/10
Basket League
Bayern
#15
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 73
H12/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
66-64
66
64
+2
61avg 73
A14/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
57avg 73
A17/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
73avg 73
H20/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
111-75
111
75
+36
113avg 73
H23/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#9
W
95-81
95
81
+14
88avg 73
H27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
W
66-54
66
54
+12
57avg 73
A30/10
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 73
A03/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
21-13
16-16
15-22
16-16
31-13
22-16
13-26
23-11
14-19
17-18
24-23
11-13
13-23
22-19
20-9
9-27
19-16
17-24
24-16
15-20
9-19
25-18
23-15
31-20
25-25
30-9
25-21
24-22
24-21
22-23
25-15
11-12
17-19
17-12
21-11
20-21
13-24
14-26
25-9
155.1Avg total
79.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.266.0147.2+15.2100%
Season at home (2)96.573.0169.5+23.5100%
Season away (2)66.059.0125.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.875.3155.1+4.560%
Last 5 (5)85.075.2160.2+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)61.373.6134.9-12.314%
vs Similar (6)75.878.2154.0-2.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.771.8157.5+13.976%
This opponent (Apollon Patras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apollon PatrasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPatras
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#9
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 61
A04/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
93-66
93
66
+27
89avg 61
H11/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
68-88
68
88
-20
62avg 61
A19/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
68-57
68
57
+11
no box
H25/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
77-108
77
108
-31
60avg 61
A02/04
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
65-88
65
88
-23
58avg 61
H09/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
72-71
72
71
+1
60avg 61
H09/10
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
70-77
70
77
-7
60avg 61
H14/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
L
70-100
70
100
-30
53avg 61
A21/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
69-87
69
87
-18
59avg 61
H28/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
16-21
21-26
16-14
17-13
18-18
31-16
27-19
15-24
25-16
17-26
11-22
23-14
14-17
18-15
13-11
24-29
9-29
23-28
21-22
13-25
21-20
22-27
9-16
26-21
14-21
18-16
14-13
13-23
22-20
15-20
20-14
16-31
25-17
18-26
11-26
16-27
26-12
8-27
19-21
153.6Avg total
72.0Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.283.8154.0-13.525%
Season at home (3)70.378.3148.7-8.033%
Season away (1)70.0100.0170.0-30.00%
Last 10 (10)72.081.6153.6-9.630%
Last 5 (5)69.284.6153.8-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)68.382.6150.9-14.317%
vs Similar (5)71.272.6143.8-1.440%
vs Weaker (2)84.072.5156.5+11.550%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
PanathinaikosApollon Patras
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H06/10
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H09/10
Basket League
Bayern
#15
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H12/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A14/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A17/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H20/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H23/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A30/10
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A03/11
Euroleague
74.5Avg total
36.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.675.4+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.238.781.9+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)32.436.468.8-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)36.837.774.5-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.678.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.638.469.0-7.929%-
vs Similar (6)37.041.278.2-4.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.135.977.0+5.165%-
This opponent (Apollon Patras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apollon PatrasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A04/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H11/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H25/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A02/04
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H09/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H09/10
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H14/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A21/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H28/10
Basket League
77.9Avg total
36.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.340.475.7-5.127%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.138.474.5-2.444%-
Last 30 away (14)34.442.677.0-8.17%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.177.9-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.481.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)34.941.576.4-6.622%-
vs Similar (5)34.635.670.2-1.040%-
vs Weaker (2)41.539.581.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.5
52.6%
52.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.8
34.4%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.215.8
74.5%
71.5%15.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apollon Patrastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apollon Patras: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.5
51.5%
52.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.3
28.7%
33.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.711.5
65.0%
71.5%11.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWWWLLWWWL
Apollon Patras
LLLWLLWLWL
#2
League position
#17
+6.1
Net rating
-12.3
107.7
Offensive rating
97.9
101.6
Defensive rating
110.2
52.1%
Effective FG%
47.6%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
18.1%
Turnover %
15.8%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.4%
3-point %
28.7%
54.6%
Assist %
69.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 97.9Defence101.6 · 110.2Shooting52.1% · 47.6%3-point %34.4% · 28.7%Ball care18.1% · 15.8%Off. rebounds28.6% · 23.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Apollon Patras
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Panathinaikos wins
0
Apollon Patras wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/23ABarcelona72-80
30/10/23AOlympiacos66-54
27/10/23HBaskonia95-81
23/10/23HLavrio111-75
20/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv81-86 OT
17/10/23AFenerbahce69-83
14/10/23APeristeri66-64
12/10/23HBayern78-71
09/10/23HMaroussi82-71
06/10/23HOlympiacos78-88 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HKolossos Rhodes69-87
21/10/23AAEK Athens70-100
14/10/23HAris70-77
09/10/23HAS Karditsas72-71
09/04/23HPAOK65-88
02/04/23APanathinaikos77-108
25/03/23HPromitheas68-57
19/03/23AKolossos Rhodes68-88
11/03/23HIonikos93-66
04/03/23ALavrio68-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.296.566.0
Allowed / game66.073.059.0
Point differential+15.2+23.5+7.0
Avg total147.2169.5125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Apollon Patras
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game70.270.370.0
Allowed / game83.878.3100.0
Point differential-13.5-8.0-30.0
Avg total154.0148.7170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W550100%86.866.4+20.4
2 Panathinaikos440100%81.266.0+15.2
3 Promitheas54180%92.879.2+13.6
4 Olympiacos54180%78.666.2+12.4
5 Aris54180%76.270.8+5.4
6 Kibirkstis Vilnius W43175%96.574.0+22.5
7 Lavrio53260%82.291.2-9.0
8 Klaipedos Neptunas W42250%77.265.8+11.5
9 Aistes LSU Kaunas W42250%59.071.2-12.2
10 AEK Athens52340%86.282.0+4.2
11 Peristeri52340%80.076.8+3.2
12 Kolossos Rhodes52340%80.886.2-5.4
13 PAOK52340%73.679.4-5.8
14 Apollon Patras41325%70.283.8-13.5
15 Maroussi51420%81.292.8-11.6
16 AS Karditsas5050%76.685.0-8.4
17 Siauliai W3030%67.084.3-17.3
18 Panevezys W4040%56.290.5-34.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos33292723112
Apollon Patras1215151860
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