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Panathinaikos vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 78-71
23-11 14-19 17-18 24-23
Position#2
Record0-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#15
Record1-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game68.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 2· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
European cup2023
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Bayern
14 Jan 2027
PAO v BAY
upcoming
30 Sep 2025
PAO87
BAY79
10 Oct 2024
PAO94
BAY79
12 Oct 2023
PAO78
BAY71
28 Mar 2023
PAO86
BAY76
22 Mar 2022
PAO80
BAY67
27 Nov 2020
PAO83
BAY76
09 Jan 2019
PAO77
BAY67
28 Nov 2014
PAO87
BAY72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
L
71-76
71
76
-5
64avg 74
A27/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 74
H30/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
70-73
70
73
-3
no box
A04/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
W
67-65
67
65
+2
58avg 74
H08/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
52-75
52
75
-23
45avg 74
A11/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-63
35
63
-28
27avg 74
H15/06
Basket League
PAOK
#4
W
77-64
77
64
+13
72avg 74
A29/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
51-75
51
75
-24
36avg 74
A30/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#4
L
78-88 OT
78
88
-10
74avg 74
H06/10
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
82-71
82
71
+11
66avg 74
H09/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
13-20
27-18
16-17
23-17
18-22
23-9
17-19
14-26
19-15
15-20
22-12
25-13
8-22
18-15
16-15
19-18
9-18
13-21
11-18
15-24
11-24
9-15
–
22-18
16-15
27-12
12-19
4-16
7-21
23-19
17-19
22-23
21-13
16-16
15-22
16-16
31-13
22-16
13-26
138.1Avg total
66.4Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.088.0166.0-10.00%
Season at home (1)78.088.0166.0-10.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)66.471.7138.1-5.340%
Last 5 (5)64.672.2136.8-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)64.776.3141.0-11.610%
vs Similar (4)80.879.5160.2+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.372.4156.7+11.969%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
W
87-67
87
67
+20
92avg 72
H16/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 72
H18/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
65-54
65
54
+11
56avg 72
A21/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
69-87
69
87
-18
61avg 72
H28/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 72
H30/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
102-104 OT
102
104
-2
no box
A02/06
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
96-87
96
87
+9
97avg 72
H29/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
67-77
67
77
-10
62avg 72
A02/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 72
H05/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 72
H08/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
23-22
22-14
21-17
24-23
31-20
14-23
18-19
17-14
19-23
17-7
12-10
20-18
21-24
17-23
11-22
20-27
19-17
17-27
32-22
22-29
21-17
19-28
30-18
22-22
28-18
23-23
23-24
26-21
13-24
15-13
13-19
19-17
17-27
25-7
19-17
28-31
26-10
15-17
21-21
163.2Avg total
83.1Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.068.0148.0+12.0100%
Season at home (1)80.068.0148.0+12.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.180.1163.2+3.060%
Last 5 (5)87.083.0170.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.088.3162.3-14.30%
vs Similar (9)79.786.1165.8-6.411%
vs Weaker (18)82.073.6155.6+8.483%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
PanathinaikosBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A27/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H30/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A04/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H08/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A11/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H15/06
Basket League
PAOK
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A29/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
11-37
11
37
-26
A30/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H06/10
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H09/10
Basket League
70.3Avg total
32.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.976.7+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.939.180.9+2.853%-
Last 30 away (15)35.736.772.4-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)32.837.570.3-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.669.6-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.440.072.4-7.620%-
vs Similar (4)40.542.583.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.335.477.8+6.969%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H16/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H18/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A21/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H30/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A02/06
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H29/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A02/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H08/10
BBL
85.5Avg total
43.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.080.6+0.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.439.082.4+4.450%-
Last 30 away (14)37.541.178.6-3.614%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.885.5+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.287.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.046.783.7-9.70%-
vs Similar (9)38.341.479.8-3.122%-
vs Weaker (18)42.438.280.6+4.244%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 65.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.415.6
48.1%
53.4%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.3
31.1%
36.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.212.3
71.5%
77.4%12.3
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.8
53.3%
53.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.2
35.2%
36.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.516.7
81.5%
77.4%16.7
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLLWLLWLWL
Bayern
WWLWLLLWWW
#2
League position
#15
-7.6
Net rating
+3.6
94.0
Offensive rating
111.9
101.7
Defensive rating
108.3
47.5%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
20.4%
Turnover %
19.7%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.1%
3-point %
35.2%
62.4%
Assist %
58.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 111.9Defence101.7 · 108.3Shooting47.5% · 53.1%3-point %31.1% · 35.2%Ball care20.4% · 19.7%Off. rebounds23.9% · 33.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Panathinaikos wins
5
Bayern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/23HMaroussi82-71
06/10/23HOlympiacos78-88 OT
30/09/23AOlympiacos51-75
29/09/23APAOK77-64
15/06/23HOlympiacos35-63
11/06/23AOlympiacos52-75
08/06/23HOlympiacos67-65
04/06/23AOlympiacos70-73
30/05/23HPeristeri81-67
27/05/23APeristeri71-76
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23HHamburg90-79
05/10/23HAlba Berlin80-68
02/10/23AOldenburg67-77
29/09/23HSyntainics MBC96-87
02/06/23AUlm102-104 OT
30/05/23HUlm88-93
28/05/23HUlm69-87
21/05/23AGottingen65-54
18/05/23HGottingen87-85
16/05/23HGottingen87-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game78.078.0-
Allowed / game88.088.0-
Point differential-10.0-10.0-
Avg total166.0166.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %100%100%-
Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+12.0+12.0-
Avg total148.0148.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda110100%94.073.0+21.0
2 Barcelona110100%91.074.0+17.0
3 Maccabi Tel Aviv110100%96.081.0+15.0
4 Real Madrid220100%91.078.5+12.5
5 Bayern110100%80.068.0+12.0
6 Olympiacos110100%88.078.0+10.0
7 Valencia110100%70.065.0+5.0
8 Fenerbahce110100%85.082.0+3.0
9 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%82.079.0+3.0
10 Partizan21150%84.579.0+5.5
11 Baskonia21150%84.082.5+1.5
12 Olimpia Milano1010%82.085.0-3.0
13 Virtus Bologna1010%79.082.0-3.0
14 Monaco1010%65.070.0-5.0
15 Alba Berlin2020%77.085.5-8.5
16 Panathinaikos1010%78.088.0-10.0
17 Anadolu Efes2020%77.097.0-20.0
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne2020%67.591.0-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2314172478
Bayern1119182371
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