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Fenerbahce vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 83-69
27-9 16-19 24-17 16-24
Position#7
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#2
Record1-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game79.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Panathinaikos
29 Dec 2026
FEN v PAO
upcoming
16 Dec 2025
FEN77
PAO81
23 May 2025
FEN82
PAO76
25 Oct 2024
FEN76
PAO81
17 Oct 2023
FEN83
PAO69
18 Nov 2022
FEN107
PAO77
08 Apr 2022
FEN59
PAO62
15 Jan 2021
FEN100
PAO74
08 Feb 2019
FEN85
PAO66
17 Jan 2018
FEN67
PAO62
25 Apr 2017
FEN79
PAO61
19 Jan 2017
FEN84
PAO63
30 Dec 2015
FEN82
PAO75
04 Dec 2014
FEN84
PAO62
23 Jan 2014
FEN77
PAO72
01 Nov 2012
FEN73
PAO64
02 Feb 2012
FEN56
PAO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
91-97
91
97
-6
no box
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
A09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
MBA Moscow
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
A21/09
VTB Super Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
L
89-105
89
105
-16
no box
H23/09
VTB Super Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H24/09
VTB Super Cup
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
95-58
95
58
+37
98avg 77
H01/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
73avg 77
H06/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
L
79-84
79
84
-5
73avg 77
A09/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#14
L
74-77
74
77
-3
58avg 77
A13/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
113-98
113
98
+15
113avg 77
H15/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
27-30
27-19
13-26
20-16
21-29
20-20
17-22
16-21
27-22
27-14
24-22
36-24
22-27
17-29
14-25
24-17
17-21
20-23
21-19
30-17
21-13
33-16
11-12
19-23
19-12
24-19
14-22
22-20
16-25
15-22
26-17
9-22
24-17
20-19
21-19
34-28
24-16
27-33
28-21
172.7Avg total
88.0Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.579.5159.0+0.050%
Season at home (1)85.082.0167.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)74.077.0151.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)88.084.7172.7+3.350%
Last 5 (5)89.279.8169.0+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.881.2157.0-5.333%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.687.2174.8+0.430%
vs Weaker (14)89.877.0166.8+12.886%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
70-73
70
73
-3
no box
A04/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
W
67-65
67
65
+2
58avg 73
H08/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
52-75
52
75
-23
45avg 73
A11/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-63
35
63
-28
27avg 73
H15/06
Basket League
PAOK
#4
W
77-64
77
64
+13
72avg 73
A29/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
51-75
51
75
-24
36avg 73
A30/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#4
L
78-88 OT
78
88
-10
74avg 73
H06/10
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
82-71
82
71
+11
66avg 73
H09/10
Basket League
Bayern
#15
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 73
H12/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
66-64
66
64
+2
61avg 73
A14/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
19-15
15-20
22-12
25-13
8-22
18-15
16-15
19-18
9-18
13-21
11-18
15-24
11-24
9-15
–
22-18
16-15
27-12
12-19
4-16
7-21
23-19
17-19
22-23
21-13
16-16
15-22
16-16
31-13
22-16
13-26
23-11
14-19
17-18
24-23
11-13
13-23
22-19
20-9
136.5Avg total
65.6Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.079.5157.5-1.550%
Season at home (2)78.079.5157.5-1.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)65.670.9136.5-5.350%
Last 5 (5)71.073.8144.8-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.175.4139.6-11.311%
vs Similar ◀ (4)80.879.5160.2+1.250%
vs Weaker (17)82.571.6154.1+10.871%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
FenerbahcePanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
MBA Moscow
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A21/09
VTB Super Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H23/09
VTB Super Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H24/09
VTB Super Cup
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H01/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H06/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A09/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#14
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A13/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H15/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
87.4Avg total
45.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.583.3+4.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.337.483.8+8.981%-
Last 30 away (14)40.941.982.7-1.029%-
Last 10 (10)45.242.287.4+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.682.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.840.077.8-2.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.642.086.6+2.660%-
vs Weaker (14)45.737.583.2+8.271%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A04/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H08/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A11/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H15/06
Basket League
PAOK
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A29/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
11-37
11
37
-26
A30/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H06/10
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H09/10
Basket League
Bayern
#15
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H12/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A14/10
Basket League
68.1Avg total
32.0Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.237.775.9+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.539.080.5+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)34.936.371.2-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)32.036.168.1-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.433.666.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.039.871.8-7.822%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.542.583.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (17)40.935.476.4+5.565%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.9
51.6%
53.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.5
37.0%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.714.3
80.8%
77.4%14.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 64.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.115.0
48.2%
53.4%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.4
31.5%
36.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.612.4
74.7%
77.4%12.4
They take 54.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WLLWWWLWLL
Panathinaikos
WWWLLWLLWL
#7
League position
#2
+4.5
Net rating
-7.7
112.8
Offensive rating
94.0
108.3
Defensive rating
101.7
53.2%
Effective FG%
47.8%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
15.4%
Turnover %
20.5%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.0%
3-point %
31.5%
63.7%
Assist %
58.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 94.0Defence108.3 · 101.7Shooting53.2% · 47.8%3-point %37.0% · 31.5%Ball care15.4% · 20.5%Off. rebounds29.3% · 22.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
4
Panathinaikos wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HBahcesehir Kol.113-98
13/10/23AValencia74-77
09/10/23AKarsiyaka79-84
06/10/23HOlimpia Milano85-82 OT
01/10/23HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor95-58
24/09/23HNizhny Novgorod82-80
23/09/23HLokomotiv Kuban89-105
21/09/23AMBA Moscow94-79
09/06/23AAnadolu Efes78-87
07/06/23AAnadolu Efes91-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23APeristeri66-64
12/10/23HBayern78-71
09/10/23HMaroussi82-71
06/10/23HOlympiacos78-88 OT
30/09/23AOlympiacos51-75
29/09/23APAOK77-64
15/06/23HOlympiacos35-63
11/06/23AOlympiacos52-75
08/06/23HOlympiacos67-65
04/06/23AOlympiacos70-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game79.585.074.0
Allowed / game79.582.077.0
Point differential+0.0+3.0-3.0
Avg total159.0167.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %50%100%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game78.078.0-
Allowed / game79.579.5-
Point differential-1.5-1.5-
Avg total157.5157.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%50%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv110100%96.081.0+15.0
2 Real Madrid220100%91.078.5+12.5
3 Barcelona330100%86.775.0+11.7
4 Valencia220100%73.569.5+4.0
5 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%80.576.5+4.0
6 Virtus Bologna21150%81.070.5+10.5
7 Crvena zvezda21150%84.076.0+8.0
8 Bayern21150%75.573.0+2.5
9 Baskonia21150%84.082.5+1.5
10 Olympiacos21150%78.077.5+0.5
11 Fenerbahce21150%79.579.5+0.0
12 Panathinaikos21150%78.079.5-1.5
13 Partizan31233%84.083.3+0.7
14 Olimpia Milano1010%82.085.0-3.0
15 Alba Berlin2020%77.085.5-8.5
16 Monaco2020%62.076.5-14.5
17 Anadolu Efes2020%77.097.0-20.0
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne2020%67.591.0-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2716241683
Panathinaikos919172469
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