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Panathinaikos vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 95-81
24-22 24-21 22-23 25-15
Position#2
Record1-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#9
Record1-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 5· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
European cup2023
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Baskonia
22 Oct 2026
PAO85
BAS79
20 Jan 2026
PAO93
BAS74
19 Dec 2024
PAO104
BAS69
27 Oct 2023
PAO95
BAS81
11 Nov 2022
PAO98
BAS83
28 Jan 2022
PAO75
BAS63
30 Mar 2021
PAO82
BAS97
20 Mar 2019
PAO72
BAS70
08 Feb 2018
PAO80
BAS76
23 Dec 2016
PAO69
BAS68
19 Apr 2016
PAO75
BAS84
07 Mar 2014
PAO61
BAS68
25 Oct 2013
PAO95
BAS74
17 Feb 2011
PAO76
BAS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-63
35
63
-28
27avg 73
H15/06
Basket League
PAOK
#4
W
77-64
77
64
+13
72avg 73
A29/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
51-75
51
75
-24
36avg 73
A30/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#4
L
78-88 OT
78
88
-10
74avg 73
H06/10
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
82-71
82
71
+11
66avg 73
H09/10
Basket League
Bayern
#15
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 73
H12/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
66-64
66
64
+2
61avg 73
A14/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
57avg 73
A17/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
73avg 73
H20/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
111-75
111
75
+36
113avg 73
H23/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
11-24
9-15
–
22-18
16-15
27-12
12-19
4-16
7-21
23-19
17-19
22-23
21-13
16-16
15-22
16-16
31-13
22-16
13-26
23-11
14-19
17-18
24-23
11-13
13-23
22-19
20-9
9-27
19-16
17-24
24-16
15-20
9-19
25-18
23-15
31-20
25-25
30-9
25-21
146.8Avg total
72.8Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.582.0158.5-5.525%
Season at home (3)79.081.7160.7-2.733%
Season away (1)69.083.0152.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)72.874.0146.8-1.250%
Last 5 (5)81.075.8156.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.175.4139.6-11.311%
vs Similar (4)79.283.8163.0-4.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.471.5155.9+12.971%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Breogan
#16
W
88-79
88
79
+9
89avg 67
A24/09
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
76-88
76
88
-12
65avg 67
A27/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
92-72
92
72
+20
85avg 67
H30/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
77-79
77
79
-2
71avg 67
H06/10
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
90-81
90
81
+9
68avg 67
A08/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
91-86
91
86
+5
85avg 67
A12/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
85-80
85
80
+5
71avg 67
A15/10
ACB
Bayern
#15
L
68-76
68
76
-8
53avg 67
H17/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
82-99
82
99
-17
67avg 67
H19/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
84-93
84
93
-9
75avg 67
H22/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
26-18
18-20
21-22
13-18
11-20
24-23
28-27
18-20
22-11
27-16
25-25
23-19
24-24
20-19
10-17
20-13
25-20
17-23
28-25
25-21
26-26
25-14
15-25
24-23
21-11
20-24
20-22
22-20
20-21
20-16
6-19
14-22
25-24
22-28
21-25
19-25
25-19
16-29
24-20
166.6Avg total
83.3Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.585.0164.5-5.525%
Season at home (3)75.784.7160.3-9.00%
Season away (1)91.086.0177.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.383.3166.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)82.086.8168.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)79.786.0165.7-6.30%
vs Similar (11)81.583.0164.5-1.536%
vs Weaker (16)95.185.8180.9+9.388%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
PanathinaikosBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H15/06
Basket League
PAOK
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A29/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
11-37
11
37
-26
A30/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H06/10
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H09/10
Basket League
Bayern
#15
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H12/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A14/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A17/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H20/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H23/10
Basket League
71.0Avg total
33.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.875.6-0.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.139.281.3+2.956%-
Last 30 away (14)32.836.269.0-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)33.437.671.0-4.250%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.672.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.039.871.8-7.822%-
vs Similar (4)40.242.883.0-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.235.675.8+4.659%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A24/09
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A27/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H06/10
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A08/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A12/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A15/10
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H19/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H22/10
ACB
82.0Avg total
42.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.585.0+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.742.387.9+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)41.340.882.1+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.482.0+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.486.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.344.085.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (11)39.541.581.0-1.927%-
vs Weaker (16)46.641.187.8+5.575%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.716.2
51.1%
53.4%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.4
34.6%
36.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.414.6
71.6%
77.4%14.6
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.7
50.8%
53.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.5
33.5%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.114.4
75.4%
77.4%14.4
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLLWWWLLWL
Baskonia
LLLWWWLWLW
#2
League position
#9
-1.7
Net rating
+0.0
102.9
Offensive rating
107.7
104.6
Defensive rating
107.7
51.4%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
19.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.6%
3-point %
33.5%
56.9%
Assist %
56.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 107.7Defence104.6 · 107.7Shooting51.4% · 50.5%3-point %34.6% · 33.5%Ball care19.9% · 17.4%Off. rebounds27.0% · 31.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Panathinaikos wins
6
Baskonia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/23HLavrio111-75
20/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv81-86 OT
17/10/23AFenerbahce69-83
14/10/23APeristeri66-64
12/10/23HBayern78-71
09/10/23HMaroussi82-71
06/10/23HOlympiacos78-88 OT
30/09/23AOlympiacos51-75
29/09/23APAOK77-64
15/06/23HOlympiacos35-63
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HUnicaja84-93
19/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas82-99
17/10/23HBayern68-76
15/10/23ABasket Zaragoza85-80
12/10/23AAlba Berlin91-86
08/10/23AGranada90-81
06/10/23HReal Madrid77-79
30/09/23HBilbao92-72
27/09/23AMurcia76-88
24/09/23ABreogan88-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLWL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game76.579.069.0
Allowed / game82.081.783.0
Point differential-5.5-2.7-14.0
Avg total158.5160.7152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %50%67%0%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%0%100%
Points / game79.575.791.0
Allowed / game85.084.786.0
Point differential-5.5-9.0+5.0
Avg total164.5160.3177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%85.674.2+11.4
2 Barcelona54180%84.469.8+14.6
3 Virtus Bologna54180%84.276.0+8.2
4 Valencia54180%76.470.8+5.6
5 Fenerbahce43175%85.878.5+7.2
6 Monaco53260%79.876.6+3.2
7 Olympiacos53260%76.474.2+2.2
8 Zalgiris Kaunas53260%82.283.0-0.8
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv42250%81.886.0-4.2
10 Bayern42250%71.578.0-6.5
11 Partizan52340%86.886.8+0.0
12 Anadolu Efes52340%75.485.2-9.8
13 Olimpia Milano41325%75.077.8-2.8
14 Baskonia41325%79.585.0-5.5
15 Panathinaikos41325%76.582.0-5.5
16 Crvena zvezda51420%81.881.4+0.4
17 Alba Berlin51420%78.085.2-7.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne5050%77.891.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2424222595
Baskonia2221231581
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