Panathinaikos will host Kolossos Rhodes on 15 November 2026 in the Greek Basket League, and the Pythia model names the Greek giants as the clear favourite, rating them 93% to win largely because of their 5-1 record, 89.0 points per game and 74.5 points allowed per game, with a 3-0 home record and 92.0 points scored at home; Kolossos Rhodes sits 6th with a 3-3 record, 80.7 points per game and 81.8 points allowed, and has gone 0-2 on the road. Panathinaikos' last five games include two wins over AEK Athens and Real Madrid and a loss to Aris, while Kolossos Rhodes' recent results feature a win over Peristeri, a win over Rilski Sportist and a loss to AS Karditsas. Historically, Panathinaikos has dominated the rivalry, winning 9 of 10 meetings, though Kolossos Rhodes last beat them 102-97 on 15 February 2026. Pythia projects a 92-73 score, 165.2 total points, a 93% chance for Panathinaikos to win, a 7% chance for Kolossos Rhodes, a home line of -21.5 with a 39% probability of covering, an over line of 167.5 with a 44% probability of the over, and a 1% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Panathinaikos can maintain its defensive edge against a Kolossos Rhodes that has struggled on the road.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Panathinaikos win
92.3%fair 1.08
Best odds1.03
Implied92.4%
Edge-0.2pp
Kolossos Rhodes win
7.7%fair 12.93
Best odds18.50
Implied7.6%
Edge+0.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 07:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Total points distribution
Pythia expects about 165 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 160-164 (12%). The market's main line is 165.75.
Over/Under 160.5
Over 160.5
60.0%
@ 1.71+4.2pp
Under 160.5
40.0%
@ 2.16-4.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.67
Marathon Be
1.63
Bet365
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.16
Bet365
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Betano
2.12
Marathon Be
2.03
Over/Under 165.75 · main line
Over 165.75
48.0%
@ 1.85-2.4pp
Under 165.75
52.0%
@ 1.88+2.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.85
Under
1xBet
1.88
Over/Under 170.5
Over 170.5
36.2%
@ 2.80+2.7pp
Under 170.5
63.8%
@ 1.40-2.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.80
Bet365
2.72
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
📊 3. Team Totals
Panathinaikos total 89.5
Over 89.5
56.0%
@ 1.55-4.9pp
Under 89.5
44.0%
@ 2.40+4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.52
1xBet
1.43
Under
Bet365
2.40
1xBet
2.22
Betano
2.18
Panathinaikos total 93.5 · main line
Over 93.5
40.4%
@ 2.05-6.7pp
Under 93.5
59.6%
@ 1.83+6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Panathinaikos total 97.5
Over 97.5
26.2%
@ 2.85-7.9pp
Under 97.5
73.8%
@ 1.44+7.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.85
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.59
Under
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.34
Betano
1.33
Kolossos Rhodes total 67.5
Over 67.5
72.7%
@ 1.45+10.2pp
Under 67.5
27.3%
@ 2.80-10.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.41
Bet365
1.38
Under
Bet365
2.80
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.29
Kolossos Rhodes total 71.5 · main line
Over 71.5
58.4%
@ 1.94+10.4pp
Under 71.5
41.6%
@ 1.83-10.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.94
Betano
1.93
BetVictor
1.88
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.75
Marathon Be
1.75
1xBet
1.66
Kolossos Rhodes total 75.5
Over 75.5
42.9%
@ 2.67+8.5pp
Under 75.5
57.1%
@ 1.50-8.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
1xBet
2.56
Bet365
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.34
⚖️ 4. Spread
Winning margin distribution
Margin from Panathinaikos's side (positive = Panathinaikos win). Pythia's expected margin is +17.2; Panathinaikos win by 1+ in 88% of simulations.
Spread Panathinaikos -24
PAO -24
27.6%
@ 2.35-12.0pp
KRH +24
72.4%
@ 1.57+12.0pp
Best 5 market prices
PAO
Bet365
2.35
KRH
Marathon Be
1.57
Bet365
1.54
Spread Panathinaikos -21 · main line
PAO -21
36.9%
@ 1.90-13.4pp
KRH +21
63.1%
@ 1.94+13.4pp
Best 5 market prices
PAO
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
1.90
1xBet
1.89
Marathon Be
1.82
SBO
1.81
KRH
1xBet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.92
SBO
1.89
Marathon Be
1.89
Bet365
1.80
Spread Panathinaikos -18
PAO -18
47.1%
@ 1.60-12.1pp
KRH +18
52.9%
@ 2.33+12.1pp
Best 5 market prices
PAO
Pinnacle
1.60
Bet365
1.60
Marathon Be
1.53
KRH
Pinnacle
2.33
Marathon Be
2.23
Bet365
2.20
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
PanathinaikosKolossos Rhodes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
26-13
26
13
+13
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
L
20-21
20
21
-1
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
W
19-15
19
15
+4
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
L
18-19
18
19
-1
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
18-21
18
21
-3
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#4
L
15-18
15
18
-3
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#5
W
24-18
24
18
+6
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#10
L
14-19
14
19
-5
A08/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#4
D
17-17
17
17
+0
H13/11
Euroleague
38.6Avg total
19.6Scored
19.0Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)
20.5
18.9
39.4
+1.6
43%
43%
Last 30 at home (17)
22.4
18.4
40.8
+4.1
53%
47%
Last 30 away (13)
17.9
19.6
37.5
-1.7
31%
38%
Last 10 (10)
19.6
19.0
38.6
+0.6
30%
30%
Last 5 (5)
17.6
18.6
36.2
-1.0
20%
20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)
16.8
21.0
37.8
-4.2
20%
40%
vs Similar (7)
19.0
21.0
40.0
-2.0
43%
71%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)
22.1
17.5
39.6
+4.6
50%
33%
This opponent (Kolossos Rhodes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winner
PAO win
81.9%
@ 1.16+0.5pp
KRH win
18.1%
@ 5.10-0.5pp
2nd half Spread Panathinaikos -9.5 · main line
PAO -9.5
45.6%
@ 1.90-4.4pp
KRH +9.5
54.4%
@ 1.85+4.4pp
2nd half Over/Under 81.5 · main line
Over
52.3%
@ 1.87+2.3pp
Under
47.7%
@ 1.88-2.3pp
Panathinaikos 2nd half total 45.5 · main line
Over
48.7%
@ 1.86-1.0pp
Under
51.3%
@ 1.85+1.0pp
Kolossos Rhodes 2nd half total 36 · main line
Over
54.2%
@ 1.87+5.5pp
Under
45.8%
@ 1.83-5.5pp
2nd half Spread Panathinaikos -10.5
PAO -10.5
41.7%
@ 1.86-5.8pp
KRH +10.5
58.3%
@ 1.68+5.8pp
2nd half Spread Panathinaikos -8.5
PAO -8.5
49.8%
@ 1.82-1.7pp
KRH +8.5
50.2%
@ 1.93+1.7pp
2nd half Over/Under 79.5
Over
59.3%
@ 1.58+3.9pp
Under
40.7%
@ 1.96-3.9pp
2nd half Over/Under 83.5
Over
44.9%
@ 2.03+1.8pp
Under
55.1%
@ 1.54-1.8pp
2nd half Spread Panathinaikos -11.5
PAO -11.5
37.6%
@ 2.00-6.5pp
KRH +11.5
62.4%
@ 1.58+6.5pp
2nd half Spread Panathinaikos -7.5
PAO -7.5
53.9%
@ 1.54-3.4pp
KRH +7.5
46.1%
@ 2.07+3.4pp
2nd half Spread Panathinaikos -12.5
PAO -12.5
33.9%
@ 2.16-7.1pp
KRH +12.5
66.1%
@ 1.50+7.1pp
2nd half Spread Panathinaikos -6.5
PAO -6.5
58.3%
@ 1.46-2.3pp
KRH +6.5
41.7%
@ 2.24+2.3pp
2nd half Spread Panathinaikos -13.5
PAO -13.5
30.0%
@ 2.34-7.8pp
KRH +13.5
70.0%
@ 1.42+7.8pp
2nd half Spread Panathinaikos -5.5
PAO -5.5
62.4%
@ 1.39-1.2pp
KRH +5.5
37.6%
@ 2.43+1.2pp
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)
PAO
79.6%
@ 1.18+2.3pp
Draw
2.9%
@ 23.00-1.4pp
KRH
17.5%
@ 5.00-0.9pp
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Panathinaikos: 75.6 points a game allowed
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
37.3
19.6
52.5%
50.6%
39.2
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
26.6
7.9
29.7%
34.4%
23.7
🏀Free throws
17.2
12.7
73.8%
71.8%
12.7
Their opponents take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of those shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Kolossos Rhodestheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Kolossos Rhodes: 76.4 points a game allowed
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
37.9
18.0
47.5%
50.6%
36.0
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
22.2
8.0
36.0%
34.4%
24.0
🏀Free throws
23.3
16.4
70.4%
71.8%
16.4
Their opponents take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of those shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Panathinaikos: 73.2 points a game allowed
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
30.1
18.0
59.8%
50.6%
36.0
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
28.2
8.6
30.6%
34.4%
25.9
🏀Free throws
14.8
11.3
76.1%
71.8%
11.3
Their opponents take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of those shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Kolossos Rhodestheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Kolossos Rhodes: 85.6 points a game allowed
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.3 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
37.3
20.6
55.3%
50.6%
41.3
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
25.5
8.8
34.4%
34.4%
26.3
🏀Free throws
23.8
18.0
75.7%
71.8%
18.0
Their opponents take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of those shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWWLLWWWWL
Kolossos Rhodes
WWWLLWLLWL
#3
League position
#6
+8.3
Net rating
+1.6
97.5
Offensive rating
95.3
89.3
Defensive rating
93.7
54.5%
Effective FG%
52.3%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.4%
3-point %
36.2%
65.1%
Assist %
60.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%
Profile
■ Panathinaikos■ Kolossos Rhodes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which
predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our
Cookie Policy.
Manage Cookies
Strictly Necessary
Always Active
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the
pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the
operation of our website.
Session and security cookies, your logged-in state, your
subscription status, and the record of this cookie choice itself. These cannot be switched
off because the site cannot be delivered without them.
Functionality Cookies
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site
behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to
build a profile of you.
Your preferred tours and filters, which notices you have dismissed, your
theme choice, and display preferences you have chosen. Kept for up to two years, and you
can clear them from your browser at any time.
These are what "Essential Only" keeps. Choosing "Allow Necessary Cookies
Only" inside this panel switches them off as well.
Performance Cookies
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to
produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics
internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them
our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Which pages and predictions are read, how long pages take to
load, and which features are used, including Google Analytics. Reported in
aggregate, never sold, and not used to identify you personally when you are not signed in.
These are off unless you switch them on here or choose "Accept All".
Third Party Marketing/Targeting
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include
limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the
effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they
will not be adjusted to your interests.
Set by our advertising partners. Switching these off does not
reduce the number of adverts you see; it only makes them less relevant to you.
🔒
A Pro feature
Filtering, slicing and choosing dates are part of Pro -
unlock every pick, all slicers, Challenger/ITF boards, set scores and games markets.
PythiaBasketballBETA
Panathinaikos
Olympiacos
PAOK
Aris
AS Karditsas
Peristeri
Iraklis
Lefkadas
AEK Athens
Maroussi
Mykonos
Vikos
Promitheas
