PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Projected 76-88
Projected total 163.4
Final 74-83
19-14 21-23 15-21 19-25
Position#10
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.4
AEK Athens
Greece
Vs
16%
84%
■ AAT 16%■ PAO 84%
Pythia win probability
Panathinaikos 🏆
Greece
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game74.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 6· SUNEL Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · AEK Athens v Panathinaikos
08 Nov 2026
AAT74
PAO83
13 Dec 2025
AAT63
PAO101
12 Jan 2025
AAT80
PAO103
12 Feb 2024
AAT69
PAO89
25 Mar 2023
AAT77
PAO73
03 Apr 2022
AAT69
PAO83
26 May 2021
AAT71
PAO78
21 May 2021
AAT92
PAO80
28 Apr 2021
AAT95
PAO104
24 Sep 2020
AAT73
PAO79
05 Jan 2020
AAT100
PAO97
10 Apr 2019
AAT72
PAO104
14 Jan 2018
AAT74
PAO94
05 Nov 2017
AAT73
PAO69
22 May 2017
AAT67
PAO105
14 May 2017
AAT71
PAO70
26 Mar 2017
AAT87
PAO106
16 Feb 2015
AAT62
PAO70
18 Dec 2010
AAT78
PAO95
17 Jan 2010
AAT47
PAO85
22 Apr 2009
AAT70
PAO79
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

AEK Athens will host Panathinaikos on 8 November 2026 in the Greek Basket League, and the Pythia model names the away club as the clear favourite with an 85% chance of victory, reflecting their 4-1 record, 90.2 points per game and 74.6 allowed, the best in the league and a league position of 3. AEK, meanwhile, sits ninth with a 2-3 record, 75.8 points per game and 79.4 allowed, and they have yet to lose at home, going 2-0 in their two home games with 87.5 points scored and 74.5 allowed. Their last five games include only one win and four losses, including defeats to Vikos, PAOK and Antwerp Giants. Panathinaikos' recent five games feature three wins and two losses, with a loss to Aris, a loss to Anadolu Efes and a win over Olimpia Milano. Historically, the teams have met ten times, with Panathinaikos winning nine and the last encounter ending 103-78 in favour of the away side. Pythia projects a 75-87 score, a total of 162.5 points, and a 57% chance that Panathinaikos will cover the 14.5-point spread while the over on the 163.5 line has a 47% probability; the game carries a 3% chance of overtime. The next meeting will be decided by the teams' current form and the model's clear preference for the away club.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
16.0%fair 6.25
Best odds6.50
Implied17.0%
Edge-1.1pp
Panathinaikos winWon
84.0%fair 1.19
Best odds1.18
Implied83.0%
Edge+1.1pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 14:23 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
71avg 80
A28/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
54avg 80
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
91-70
91
70
+21
88avg 80
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
95-93
95
93
+2
95avg 80
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
58-88
58
88
-30
47avg 80
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 80
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#12
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 80
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
L
62-65
62
65
-3
59avg 80
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#13
L
84-95
84
95
-11
69avg 80
A31/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#33
W
72-66
72
66
+6
no box
A04/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
19-20
19-25
20-23
10-20
20-24
16-22
22-29
18-12
28-22
18-16
27-20
24-24
25-20
17-27
29-22
10-23
11-19
14-22
23-24
22-17
25-21
18-21
19-20
25-25
25-23
12-28
14-27
15-20
14-5
15-22
18-18
16-20
27-26
17-25
24-24
18-17
20-10
16-21
18-18
161.5Avg total
76.7Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.879.4155.2-3.640%
Season at home (2)87.574.5162.0+13.0100%
Season away (3)68.082.7150.7-14.70%
Last 10 (10)76.784.8161.5-8.140%
Last 5 (5)75.681.6157.2-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.886.6161.4-11.830%
vs Similar (12)82.982.2165.1+0.858%
vs Weaker (8)88.878.4167.1+10.488%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#14
W
84-59
84
59
+25
84avg 84
A10/10
Basket League
Partizan
#11
W
72-55
72
55
+17
67avg 84
A13/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
81-91
81
91
-10
71avg 84
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
95-75
95
75
+20
97avg 84
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 84
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
W
78-64
78
64
+14
71avg 84
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 84
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
68-83
68
83
-15
59avg 84
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#4
L
91-101
91
101
-10
84avg 84
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#5
W
115-112 OT
115
112
+3
no box
A04/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-7
22-19
27-14
14-19
16-16
19-12
20-9
17-18
25-29
21-19
15-20
20-23
26-13
26-16
23-17
20-29
20-21
23-19
20-14
22-25
19-15
12-24
19-17
28-8
18-19
22-18
20-24
20-14
18-21
19-24
14-16
17-22
15-18
29-28
24-33
23-22
24-18
27-30
23-25
27-28
164.3Avg total
84.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.274.6164.8+15.680%
Season at home (3)92.071.0163.0+21.0100%
Season away (2)87.580.0167.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)84.979.4164.3+5.570%
Last 5 (5)86.487.0173.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.883.4166.2-0.640%
vs Similar (7)88.392.3180.6-4.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.276.1166.3+14.189%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1201%1252%1303%1355%1407%1459%15011%15512%16012%16510%1708%1756%1805%1853%1902%1951%2001%2050%210
1%1253%1357%14511%15512%1658%1755%1852%1951%205
Pythia expects about 163 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%). The market's main line is 160.5.
Over/Under 155.5Actual: Over 155.5
Over 155.5
67.8%
@ 1.46+0.2pp
Under 155.5
32.2%
@ 2.85-0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.46
Bet365
1.37
Betano
1.36
Under
Bet365
2.85
Betano
2.85
Over/Under 160.5 · main lineActual: Under 160.5
Over 160.5
56.3%
@ 1.91+6.3pp
Under 160.5
43.7%
@ 2.15-6.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
SBO
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Marathon Be
1.80
Under
Bet365
2.15
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.00
Marathon Be
1.93
Pinnacle
1.91
Over/Under 165.5Actual: Under 165.5
Over 165.5
44.4%
@ 2.10-0.7pp
Under 165.5
55.6%
@ 1.72+0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
2.10
Bet365
2.05
Betano
2.05
Under
Betano
1.72
Bet365
1.68
Marathon Be
1.55

📊 3. Team Totals

AEK Athens total 71.5Actual: AEK Athens over 71.5
Over 71.5
65.3%
@ 1.41+1.5pp
Under 71.5
34.7%
@ 2.65-1.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.41
Betano
1.38
Under
Betano
2.65
1xBet
2.28
AEK Athens total 75.5 · main lineActual: AEK Athens under 75.5
Over 75.5
50.3%
@ 1.92+1.1pp
Under 75.5
49.7%
@ 1.91-1.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.92
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.79
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Be
1.77
1xBet
1.66
AEK Athens total 79.5Actual: AEK Athens under 79.5
Over 79.5
35.5%
@ 2.53-0.7pp
Under 79.5
64.5%
@ 1.45+0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.53
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.35
Panathinaikos total 82.5Actual: Panathinaikos over 82.5
Over 82.5
69.2%
@ 1.38+3.8pp
Under 82.5
30.8%
@ 2.80-3.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.34
Under
Betano
2.80
1xBet
2.38
Panathinaikos total 86.5 · main lineActual: Panathinaikos under 86.5
Over 86.5
54.3%
@ 1.85+4.0pp
Under 86.5
45.7%
@ 2.00-4.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.70
Under
Betano
2.00
BetVictor
1.88
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.71
Panathinaikos total 90.5Actual: Panathinaikos under 90.5
Over 90.5
38.8%
@ 2.40+0.8pp
Under 90.5
61.2%
@ 1.50-0.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.40
Betano
2.30
Under
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-451%-421%-392%-363%-334%-305%-276%-247%-219%-189%-1510%-1210%-99%-67%-34%+05%+34%+62%+92%+121%+151%+18
1%-422%-364%-306%-249%-1810%-129%-64%+04%+62%+121%+18
Margin from AEK Athens's side (positive = AEK Athens win). Pythia's expected margin is -11.8; AEK Athens win by 1+ in 14% of simulations.
Spread AEK Athens +8Actual: Panathinaikos -8
AAT +8
36.5%
@ 2.55-0.1pp
PAO -8
63.5%
@ 1.50+0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
AAT
Bet365
2.55
PAO
Marathon Be
1.50
Bet365
1.47
Spread AEK Athens +11 · main lineActual: AEK Athens +11
AAT +11
47.1%
@ 2.00-2.2pp
PAO -11
52.9%
@ 1.88+2.2pp
Best 5 market prices
AAT
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.88
SBO
1.86
PAO
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.82
Marathon Be
1.79
Bet365
1.71
Spread AEK Athens +14Actual: AEK Athens +14
AAT +14
57.7%
@ 1.64-1.3pp
PAO -14
42.3%
@ 2.31+1.3pp
Best 5 market prices
AAT
Bet365
1.64
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathon Be
1.58
PAO
Pinnacle
2.31
Marathon Be
2.18
Bet365
2.12

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
AEK AthensPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A28/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#12
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#13
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A31/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#33
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A04/11
Champions League
78.5Avg total
39.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80
Last 30 (30)41.640.782.3+0.950%60%
Last 30 at home (16)43.142.085.1+1.150%62%
Last 30 away (14)39.839.279.0+0.650%57%
Last 10 (10)39.139.478.5-0.360%50%
Last 5 (5)41.436.878.2+4.680%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.439.878.2-1.450%50%
vs Similar (12)40.841.482.2-0.650%58%
vs Weaker (8)46.640.887.4+5.950%75%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#14
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A10/10
Basket League
Partizan
#11
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A04/11
Euroleague
80.8Avg total
42.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80
Last 30 (30)42.338.981.2+3.457%63%
Last 30 at home (17)44.137.481.5+6.765%65%
Last 30 away (13)39.940.880.7-0.846%62%
Last 10 (10)42.238.680.8+3.660%60%
Last 5 (5)40.643.083.6-2.440%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.840.075.8-4.220%40%
vs Similar (7)40.343.683.9-3.343%71%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.936.781.6+8.272%67%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: AEK Athens win
AAT win
27.2%
@ 4.21+4.9pp
PAO win
72.8%
@ 1.29-4.9pp
1st half Spread AEK Athens +6.5 · main lineActual: AEK Athens +6.5
AAT +6.5
53.4%
@ 1.90+2.7pp
PAO -6.5
46.6%
@ 1.95-2.7pp
1st half Over/Under 80 · main lineActual: Under 80
Over
56.1%
@ 1.91+6.1pp
Under
43.9%
@ 1.91-6.1pp
AEK Athens 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: AEK Athens over 37.5
Over
52.2%
@ 1.95+3.6pp
Under
47.8%
@ 1.83-3.6pp
Panathinaikos 1st half total 43 · main lineActual: Panathinaikos under 43
Over
53.9%
@ 1.80+2.8pp
Under
46.1%
@ 1.90-2.8pp
1st half: AAT + total 81.5
AAT & over
13.4%
@ 7.50+1.9pp
AAT & under
12.8%
@ 7.50+1.3pp
1st half: Draw + total 81.5
Draw & over
1.9%
@ 31.00-0.9pp
Draw & under
1.6%
@ 31.00-1.2pp
1st half: PAO + total 81.5
PAO & over
35.0%
@ 2.40-1.0pp
PAO & under
35.2%
@ 2.45-0.1pp
1st half Over/Under 81.25Actual: Under 81.25
Over
50.3%
@ 1.88+2.1pp
Under
49.7%
@ 1.75-2.1pp
1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Under 78.5
Over
61.6%
@ 1.53+2.1pp
Under
38.4%
@ 2.25-2.1pp
1st half Spread AEK Athens +5.5Actual: AEK Athens +5.5
AAT +5.5
49.4%
@ 2.06+3.2pp
PAO -5.5
50.6%
@ 1.80-3.2pp
1st half Spread AEK Athens +7.5Actual: AEK Athens +7.5
AAT +7.5
57.6%
@ 1.85+2.4pp
PAO -7.5
42.4%
@ 2.12-2.4pp
1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Under 82.5
Over
46.5%
@ 2.00+0.3pp
Under
53.5%
@ 1.72-0.3pp
1st half Spread AEK Athens +4.5Actual: AEK Athens +4.5
AAT +4.5
45.4%
@ 2.30+3.5pp
PAO -4.5
54.6%
@ 1.57-3.5pp
1st half Spread AEK Athens +8.5Actual: AEK Athens +8.5
AAT +8.5
61.7%
@ 1.64+4.4pp
PAO -8.5
38.3%
@ 2.15-4.4pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Panathinaikos (regulation)
AAT
26.2%
@ 4.10+2.3pp
Draw
3.5%
@ 18.50-1.6pp
PAO
70.2%
@ 1.28-0.6pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
AAT win + total 160.5
🔒 Pro
PAO win + total 160.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: AAT leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: PAO leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (AAT:PAO): AAT wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Q4: Panathinaikos over 17.580.4%1.28
1xBet
1.28		----+10.8ppWon
Q4: Panathinaikos over 18.574.7%1.37
1xBet
1.37		----+10.8ppWon
2nd half: Panathinaikos over 37.580.1%1.27
1xBet
1.27		----+10.1ppWon
Q2: Panathinaikos over 17.579.8%1.27
1xBet
1.27		----+9.7ppWon
Q2: Panathinaikos over 18.573.9%1.36
1xBet
1.36		----+9.6ppWon
1st half: AEK Athens over 32.578.2%1.29
1xBet
1.29		----+9.3ppWon
Q1: AEK Athens over 15.575.5%1.35
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.31		---+9.2ppWon
2nd half: Panathinaikos over 38.576.0%1.32
1xBet
1.32		----+9.1ppWon
2nd half: Panathinaikos +1.578.2%1.29
1xBet
1.29		----+9.0ppWon
2nd half: Panathinaikos over 39.571.6%1.39
1xBet
1.39		----+8.7ppWon
Q4: Panathinaikos +2.578.3%1.27
1xBet
1.27		----+8.3ppWon
Q2: AEK Athens over 15.575.4%1.31
1xBet
1.31		----+8.0ppWon
Q4: Panathinaikos +1.574.0%1.34
1xBet
1.34		----+7.8ppWon
Panathinaikos under 99.587.9%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+7.4ppWon
2nd half: Panathinaikos (regulation)71.6%1.41
Betano
1.42
Marathon Bet
1.41
1xBet
1.41		--+7.1ppWon
Q1: Over 36.573.0%1.41
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.31		---+7.0ppLost
Panathinaikos under 98.585.8%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+6.9ppWon
Over 151.576.0%1.33
Betano
1.33		----+6.7ppWon
1st half: Panathinaikos under 52.589.8%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+6.7ppWon
Panathinaikos under 107.597.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.6ppWon
Panathinaikos under 105.596.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+6.6ppWon
1st half: AEK Athens over 33.573.9%1.35
1xBet
1.36
Bet365
1.33		---+6.6ppWon
Q1: Panathinaikos under 26.582.7%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+6.6ppWon
Over 150.577.8%1.29
Betano
1.29		----+6.5ppWon
Panathinaikos under 108.597.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.4ppWon
Q1: Panathinaikos under 30.596.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+6.4ppWon
Over 152.574.0%1.36
Betano
1.36		----+6.3ppWon
Q1: Panathinaikos under 25.576.9%1.24
1xBet
1.24		----+6.3ppWon
Panathinaikos under 95.578.2%1.29
Bet365
1.29		----+6.3ppWon
Q1: AEK Athens +7.574.4%1.33
Bet365
1.35
1xBet
1.32		---+6.2ppWon
1st half: Panathinaikos under 54.594.1%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+6.1ppWon
Panathinaikos under 109.598.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+6.1ppWon
Panathinaikos under 103.594.0%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+6.1ppWon
1st half: Panathinaikos over 39.572.3%1.33
1xBet
1.33		----+6.0ppLost
1st half: AEK Athens +12.576.5%1.29
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.28		---+5.9ppWon
AEK Athens +2076.3%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+5.9ppWon
Panathinaikos under 101.591.4%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+5.8ppWon
Q3: Panathinaikos over 18.573.3%1.31
1xBet
1.31		----+5.8ppWon
Panathinaikos under 97.583.5%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+5.7ppWon
Q3: AEK Athens over 15.574.5%1.29
1xBet
1.29		----+5.7ppLost
1st half: Panathinaikos under 50.583.5%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+5.7ppWon
Q1: Panathinaikos under 32.598.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.7ppWon
Panathinaikos over 66.597.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.7ppWon
1st half: AEK Athens +11.572.9%1.32
1xBet
1.32		----+5.5ppWon
Panathinaikos over 70.595.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.5ppWon
1st half: Panathinaikos under 48.575.5%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+5.5ppWon
AEK Athens +2178.8%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+5.5ppWon
Q1: Panathinaikos under 28.591.0%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+5.5ppWon
2nd half: Panathinaikos win74.1%1.37
Betano
1.37		----+5.4ppWon
Q1: Panathinaikos under 24.570.1%1.40
Bet365
1.43
1xBet
1.36		---+5.3ppWon
Panathinaikos over 69.596.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.3ppWon
Panathinaikos over 68.596.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.3ppWon
AEK Athens over 67.578.2%1.24
Betano
1.24		----+5.2ppWon
1st half: AEK Athens +16.587.5%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+5.2ppWon
Panathinaikos over 67.597.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.2ppWon
Panathinaikos over 78.581.4%1.21
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.18		---+5.1ppWon
Q1: AEK Athens +9.582.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+5.0ppWon
Panathinaikos over 72.592.9%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+5.0ppWon
Q1: Panathinaikos over 12.597.2%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.9ppWon
Q4: AEK Athens under 22.574.9%1.27
1xBet
1.27		----+4.9ppWon
1st half: AEK Athens +14.582.6%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+4.9ppWon
AEK Athens +23.583.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+4.8ppWon
Overtime: no97.0%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+4.8ppWon
Q1: AEK Athens over 10.595.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.8ppWon
Panathinaikos over 71.594.1%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+4.8ppWon
AEK Athens +33.595.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.7ppWon
Panathinaikos over 79.578.7%1.24
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22		---+4.7ppWon
Panathinaikos over 76.586.1%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+4.7ppWon
2nd half: AEK Athens over 33.572.0%1.31
1xBet
1.31		----+4.6ppWon
AEK Athens over 58.595.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+4.5ppWon
AEK Athens over 55.597.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.5ppWon
1st half: AEK Athens over 27.593.2%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+4.4ppWon
AEK Athens over 56.596.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.4ppWon
Panathinaikos over 74.590.0%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+4.4ppWon
1st half: AEK Athens over 31.582.1%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+4.4ppWon
Panathinaikos (regulation)82.1%1.17
1xBet
1.18
Betano
1.16
Marathon Bet
1.16		--+4.3ppWon
Panathinaikos over 80.575.7%1.25
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.23		---+4.2ppWon
AEK Athens over 54.597.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.2ppWon
Panathinaikos over 73.591.5%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+4.0ppWon
1st half: AEK Athens over 29.588.4%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+4.0ppWon
AEK Athens over 60.592.7%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+4.0ppWon
AEK Athens over 65.583.5%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+3.9ppWon
Q1: Panathinaikos over 14.593.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+3.9ppLost
Panathinaikos under 93.571.9%1.34
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.29		---+3.8ppWon
AEK Athens over 68.575.2%1.28
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.27		---+3.7ppWon
Q1: AEK Athens over 12.590.3%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+3.7ppWon
1st half: Panathinaikos over 38.576.7%1.23
1xBet
1.24
Bet365
1.23		---+3.7ppLost
Q1: AEK Athens over 14.581.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+3.6ppWon
AEK Athens under 95.596.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+3.6ppWon
Under 188.593.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+3.6ppWon
AEK Athens +28.591.5%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+3.5ppWon
AEK Athens over 64.585.7%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+3.5ppWon
AEK Athens under 94.595.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+3.4ppWon
Panathinaikos over 77.583.9%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+3.4ppWon
AEK Athens under 96.597.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+3.3ppWon
Q3: Panathinaikos under 24.571.3%1.30
1xBet
1.30		----+3.2ppWon
1st half: Under 91.582.7%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+3.2ppWon
AEK Athens under 92.593.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+3.1ppWon
Panathinaikos over 75.588.2%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+3.1ppWon
AEK Athens +20.576.9%1.25
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.20		---+3.1ppWon
Over 138.593.3%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+3.1ppWon
AEK Athens under 83.577.2%1.22
Betano
1.22		----+3.0ppWon
AEK Athens over 62.589.6%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+3.0ppWon
AEK Athens +22.581.6%1.17
Betano
1.17		----+3.0ppWon
1st half: Over 71.583.5%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+3.0ppWon
Q1: Over 34.581.8%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+2.9ppLost
AEK Athens +21.579.4%1.21
Bet365
1.26
Betano
1.17		---+2.9ppWon
1st half: Panathinaikos over 36.584.2%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+2.7ppWon
Q1: AEK Athens under 26.593.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+2.7ppWon
AEK Athens under 81.571.2%1.32
Betano
1.32		----+2.7ppWon
1st half: Panathinaikos over 34.589.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+2.7ppWon
Q1: Under 46.578.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+2.6ppWon
1st half: Panathinaikos under 47.570.7%1.30
1xBet
1.30		----+2.6ppWon
Under 178.582.0%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+2.5ppWon
Under 172.571.3%1.34
Betano
1.34		----+2.5ppWon
AEK Athens under 90.591.5%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+2.5ppWon
Panathinaikos -1.582.3%1.15
Betano
1.15		----+2.5ppWon
Q3: AEK Athens under 21.570.3%1.30
1xBet
1.30		----+2.2ppWon
1st half: Under 89.577.5%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+2.2ppWon
Panathinaikos under 94.574.8%1.24
Betano
1.24		----+2.1ppWon
2nd half: AEK Athens +11.572.2%1.27
1xBet
1.27		----+2.0ppLost
1st half: Over 73.578.2%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+2.0ppWon
Under 183.588.6%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+2.0ppWon
Under 173.573.3%1.29
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.29		---+1.9ppWon
AEK Athens over 69.572.1%1.28
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.26		---+1.9ppWon
Panathinaikos -2.579.4%1.19
Betano
1.19		----+1.9ppWon
Panathinaikos over 81.572.6%1.30
1xBet
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.28		--+1.8ppWon
AEK Athens +1973.6%1.29
Bet365
1.29		----+1.7ppWon
1st half: Over 75.572.1%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+1.7ppWon
1st half: AEK Athens under 47.590.6%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+1.6ppWon
Panathinaikos -3.577.1%1.23
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22		---+1.5ppWon
AEK Athens over 66.580.9%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+1.4ppWon
Q1: Panathinaikos over 16.585.8%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+1.4ppLost
AEK Athens under 82.574.3%1.26
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25		---+1.4ppWon
Q2: AEK Athens or Panathinaikos94.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+1.4ppWon
Panathinaikos +6.592.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+1.3ppWon
AEK Athens under 88.588.4%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+1.3ppWon
1st half: Under 87.571.2%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+1.3ppWon
AEK Athens +1870.7%1.33
Bet365
1.34
Marathon Bet
1.31		---+1.3ppWon
Over 143.588.4%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+1.2ppWon
Panathinaikos win84.0%1.13
1xBet
1.18
WilliamHill
1.16
Marathon Bet
1.16
Betfair
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13		+1.1ppWon
AEK Athens under 84.579.8%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+1.0ppWon
AEK Athens +19.574.3%1.26
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.24		---+1.0ppWon
Panathinaikos -4.574.2%1.27
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.26		---+0.9ppWon
AEK Athens under 85.582.3%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+0.9ppWon
Panathinaikos -5.571.1%1.31
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.31		---+0.8ppWon
Over 148.581.3%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+0.8ppWon
AEK Athens under 86.584.6%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+0.7ppWon
AEK Athens +18.571.6%1.30
Bet365
1.33
Marathon Bet
1.29
Betano
1.28		--+0.7ppWon
Panathinaikos -476.4%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+0.5ppWon
Q1: Panathinaikos over 18.575.2%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+0.5ppLost
Over 153.572.0%1.29
Bet365
1.29
Betano
1.29		---+0.3ppWon
Panathinaikos -573.4%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+0.3ppWon
Panathinaikos -670.2%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+0.2ppWon
Q1: AEK Athens under 24.586.6%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----0.1ppWon
1st half: AEK Athens under 45.585.3%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----0.2ppWon
1st half: Panathinaikos (regulation)70.2%1.27
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Marathon Bet
1.28
WilliamHill
1.25
Bet365
1.25		-0.6ppWon
1st half: AEK Athens under 43.577.9%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----1.0ppWon
Q1: Panathinaikos +3.581.8%1.12
Bet365
1.12		-----1.3ppLost
Q1: AEK Athens under 22.575.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20		-----2.1ppWon
1st half: Panathinaikos +3.582.9%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----2.1ppWon
1st half: Panathinaikos +1.577.2%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----2.3ppLost
Panathinaikos +1.585.5%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----3.2ppWon
1st half: Panathinaikos -0.570.2%1.25
Bet365
1.25		-----4.2ppLost
1st half: Panathinaikos win72.8%1.24
WilliamHill
1.29
BetVictor
1.24
Bet365
1.23
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.21		-4.9ppLost
Draw or Panathinaikos83.9%1.10
Marathon Bet
1.10		-----Won
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.0
53.0%
50.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.3
33.2%
34.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.216.1
72.5%
71.8%16.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.6
56.6%
50.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.8
34.4%
34.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
71.8%17.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLLLWLWWLL
Panathinaikos
WLLWWWWLWW
#10
League position
#3
-9.2
Net rating
+8.3
93.6
Offensive rating
97.5
102.8
Defensive rating
89.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
54.5%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.2%
3-point %
34.4%
67.5%
Assist %
65.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 97.5Defence102.8 · 89.3Shooting51.9% · 54.5%3-point %33.2% · 34.4%Ball care14.8% · 16.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Athens wins
9
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26Panathinaikos v AEK Athens103-78
13/12/25AEK Athens v Panathinaikos63-101
12/01/25AEK Athens v Panathinaikos80-103
21/10/24Panathinaikos v AEK Athens94-74
15/02/24Panathinaikos v AEK Athens79-72
12/02/24AEK Athens v Panathinaikos69-89
20/11/23Panathinaikos v AEK Athens86-85
25/03/23AEK Athens v Panathinaikos77-73
11/12/22Panathinaikos v AEK Athens71-57
03/04/22AEK Athens v Panathinaikos69-83
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/26ASzombathely72-66
31/10/26AVikos84-95
24/10/26APAOK62-65
21/10/26HAntwerp Giants76-103
17/10/26HMykonos84-79
10/10/26AAris58-88
07/10/26HSalon Vilpas95-93
03/10/26HMaroussi91-70
30/05/26HOlympiacos68-95
28/05/26AOlympiacos77-94
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/26AReal Madrid115-112 OT
01/11/26AAris91-101
30/10/26AAnadolu Efes68-83
27/10/26HOlimpia Milano80-75
24/10/26HAS Karditsas78-64
22/10/26HBaskonia85-79
18/10/26HPeristeri95-75
16/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv81-91
13/10/26APartizan72-55
10/10/26APromitheas84-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game75.887.568.0
Allowed / game79.474.582.7
Point differential-3.6+13.0-14.7
Avg total155.2162.0150.7
Over 160.560%100%33%
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game90.292.087.5
Allowed / game74.671.080.0
Point differential+15.6+21.0+7.5
Avg total164.8163.0167.5
Over 160.560%67%50%
Win by 10+80%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos550100%86.465.2+21.2
2 PAOK660100%80.570.7+9.8
3 Aris65183%84.571.5+13.0
4 Panathinaikos54180%90.274.6+15.6
5 AS Karditsas64267%74.571.5+3.0
6 Kolossos Rhodes63350%80.781.8-1.2
7 Peristeri63350%80.587.5-7.0
8 AEK Athens52340%75.879.4-3.6
9 Iraklis62433%77.073.8+3.2
10 Lefkadas62433%78.581.7-3.2
11 Maroussi51420%74.881.2-6.4
12 Mykonos61517%73.584.5-11.0
13 Vikos61517%74.787.3-12.7
14 Promitheas61517%70.286.5-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1921151974
Panathinaikos1423212583
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.