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Panathinaikos vs Olympiacos Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record8-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game80.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16· Telekom Center Athens
European cup2026
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Olympiacos
03 Jan 2027
PAO v OLY
upcoming
11 Dec 2026
PAO v OLY
upcoming
10 Jun 2026
PAO93
OLY86
05 Jun 2026
PAO68
OLY58
30 Mar 2026
PAO94
OLY101
02 Jan 2026
PAO82
OLY87
06 Jun 2025
PAO88
OLY99
30 May 2025
PAO80
OLY68
16 Feb 2025
PAO79
OLY75
20 Jan 2025
PAO78
OLY72
08 Nov 2024
PAO89
OLY94
29 Sep 2024
PAO85
OLY86
14 Jun 2024
PAO87
OLY82
10 Jun 2024
PAO83
OLY76
05 Jun 2024
PAO84
OLY89
15 Apr 2024
PAO77
OLY71
18 Feb 2024
PAO58
OLY69
22 Jan 2024
PAO85
OLY80
06 Oct 2023
PAO78
OLY88
15 Jun 2023
PAO35
OLY63
08 Jun 2023
PAO67
OLY65
19 Mar 2023
PAO74
OLY76
30 Dec 2022
PAO71
OLY95
02 Oct 2022
PAO52
OLY67
14 Jun 2022
PAO72
OLY78
11 Apr 2022
PAO62
OLY68
20 Feb 2022
PAO73
OLY81
23 Dec 2021
PAO65
OLY84
09 Oct 2020
PAO71
OLY78
20 May 2019
PAO20
OLY0
13 Feb 2019
PAO20
OLY0
18 Nov 2018
PAO79
OLY70
09 Nov 2018
PAO93
OLY80
17 Jun 2018
PAO84
OLY70
10 Jun 2018
PAO73
OLY58
03 Jun 2018
PAO65
OLY75
02 Mar 2018
PAO85
OLY87
29 Jan 2018
PAO68
OLY61
08 Jun 2017
PAO71
OLY58
01 Jun 2017
PAO84
OLY80
30 Jan 2017
PAO72
OLY59
18 Nov 2016
PAO77
OLY79
10 Jun 2015
PAO69
OLY76
02 May 2015
PAO66
OLY77
09 Oct 2014
PAO77
OLY76
04 Jun 2014
PAO82
OLY71
29 May 2014
PAO64
OLY69
22 May 2014
PAO59
OLY56
20 Feb 2014
PAO66
OLY62
20 Jan 2014
PAO58
OLY48
23 Dec 2013
PAO67
OLY59
09 Jun 2013
PAO63
OLY52
10 Feb 2013
PAO81
OLY78
22 Oct 2012
PAO60
OLY64
30 May 2012
PAO84
OLY74
24 May 2012
PAO81
OLY79
20 Nov 2011
PAO74
OLY70
05 Jun 2011
PAO101
OLY94
29 May 2011
PAO78
OLY66
12 Jan 2011
PAO61
OLY65
02 Jun 2010
PAO79
OLY70
26 May 2010
PAO73
OLY54
28 Feb 2010
PAO98
OLY90
01 Jun 2009
PAO94
OLY81
25 May 2009
PAO91
OLY64
23 Nov 2008
PAO86
OLY69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
81-91
81
91
-10
71avg 83
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
95-75
95
75
+20
97avg 83
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
W
78-64
78
64
+14
71avg 83
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
68-83
68
83
-15
59avg 83
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#4
L
91-101
91
101
-10
84avg 83
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#5
W
115-112 OT
115
112
+3
no box
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
A08/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
no box
H13/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
21-19
15-20
20-23
26-13
26-16
23-17
20-29
20-21
23-19
20-14
22-25
19-15
12-24
19-17
28-8
18-19
22-18
20-24
20-14
18-21
19-24
14-16
17-22
15-18
29-28
24-33
23-22
24-18
27-30
23-25
27-28
14-19
23-21
21-15
25-19
17-17
16-15
24-11
17-33
168.0Avg total
85.0Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.478.5164.8+7.973%
Season at home (8)86.976.6163.5+10.275%
Season away (3)85.083.3168.3+1.767%
Last 10 (10)85.083.0168.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)86.289.2175.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.883.4166.2-0.640%
vs Similar ◀ (7)91.793.3185.0-1.643%
vs Weaker (18)88.476.1164.5+12.383%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#4
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
101avg 92
A16/10
Euroleague
Vikos
#13
W
79-68
79
68
+11
76avg 92
A18/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
61-64
61
64
-3
58avg 92
H23/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#14
W
85-45
85
45
+40
86avg 92
A25/10
Basket League
Besiktas
#13
W
81-73
81
73
+8
83avg 92
A28/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 92
H30/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
91-62
91
62
+29
89avg 92
H01/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
57-62
57
62
-5
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A08/11
Basket League
Dubai
#9
W
101-72
101
72
+29
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
31-17
20-19
15-26
21-23
18-13
25-15
15-17
20-8
14-16
15-21
12-19
16-12
25-17
21-8
23-8
25-23
17-13
19-22
20-15
25-19
19-25
25-17
15-17
25-18
23-12
28-12
15-20
11-19
11-21
19-11
16-11
24-20
17-21
22-24
20-16
25-18
32-25
31-13
13-16
153.2Avg total
82.7Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.580.7169.2+7.773%
Season at home (5)78.468.4146.8+10.060%
Season away (6)96.891.0187.8+5.883%
Last 10 (10)82.770.5153.2+12.280%
Last 5 (5)83.271.0154.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)78.077.0155.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (26)91.075.8166.8+15.288%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
PanathinaikosOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A08/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H13/11
Euroleague
81.8Avg total
41.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.080.7+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.137.280.4+5.965%-
Last 30 away (13)39.841.481.2-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.481.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.282.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.840.075.8-4.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.344.986.1-3.643%-
vs Weaker (18)43.436.579.9+6.967%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#4
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A16/10
Euroleague
Vikos
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A18/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H23/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#14
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A25/10
Basket League
Besiktas
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H30/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H01/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H06/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A08/11
Basket League
Dubai
#9
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H12/11
Euroleague
79.5Avg total
42.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.337.582.7+7.880%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.635.781.3+9.987%-
Last 30 away (15)44.939.384.2+5.773%-
Last 10 (10)42.537.079.5+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.682.0+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)34.041.875.8-7.850%-
vs Weaker (26)47.036.883.8+10.285%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.6
56.6%
55.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.8
34.4%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
77.1%17.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.822.3
59.0%
55.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.8
34.0%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
77.1%16.4
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWWLLWWWWL
Olympiacos
WWLWWWWLWW
#1
League position
#2
+8.3
Net rating
+16.1
97.5
Offensive rating
101.9
89.3
Defensive rating
85.8
54.5%
Effective FG%
55.7%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.4%
3-point %
34.0%
65.1%
Assist %
66.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 101.9Defence89.3 · 85.8Shooting54.5% · 55.7%3-point %34.4% · 34.0%Ball care16.5% · 15.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Panathinaikos wins
8
Olympiacos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HBarcelona74-76
08/11/26AAEK Athens83-74
04/11/26AReal Madrid115-112 OT
01/11/26AAris91-101
30/10/26AAnadolu Efes68-83
27/10/26HOlimpia Milano80-75
24/10/26HAS Karditsas78-64
22/10/26HBaskonia85-79
18/10/26HPeristeri95-75
16/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv81-91
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HDubai101-72
08/11/26AMaroussi83-81
06/11/26HCrvena zvezda57-62
01/11/26HPeristeri91-62
30/10/26HOlimpia Milano84-78
28/10/26ABesiktas81-73
25/10/26APromitheas85-45
23/10/26HFenerbahce61-64
18/10/26AVikos79-68
16/10/26ABarcelona105-100 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL73%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %73%75%67%
Points / game86.486.985.0
Allowed / game78.576.683.3
Point differential+7.9+10.2+1.7
Avg total164.8163.5168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%33%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW73%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%60%83%
Points / game88.578.496.8
Allowed / game80.768.491.0
Point differential+7.7+10.0+5.8
Avg total169.2146.8187.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %18%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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