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PAOK vs Larisa Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-71
22-9 20-17 21-20 19-25
Position#8
Record1-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game82.7
PAOK 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#6
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game78.7
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 8
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · PAOK v Larisa
21 Nov 2021
PAK82
LAR71
09 Dec 2020
PAK91
LAR93
07 Oct 2020
PAK93
LAR71
05 Oct 2019
PAK87
LAR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Larisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#10
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H02/10
Basket League
Igokea
#25
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A05/10
Champions League
Promitheas
#4
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A09/10
Basket League
Nymburk
#30
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H12/10
Champions League
Iraklis
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H16/10
Basket League
Galatasaray
#17
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H25/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H31/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
64-81
64
81
-17
H07/11
Basket League
Nymburk
#30
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A09/11
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
16-17
17-20
20-22
12-19
20-7
17-17
15-25
20-15
21-28
18-22
18-19
11-21
24-19
23-25
25-19
10-20
23-17
23-11
16-21
12-24
21-12
22-17
26-21
20-23
29-16
16-24
21-24
11-25
17-17
22-24
14-15
21-21
16-19
12-21
26-10
21-20
17-21
14-25
16-20
153.6Avg total
74.3Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.382.7156.0-9.317%
Season at home (4)73.881.5155.2-7.825%
Season away (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)74.379.3153.6-5.030%
Last 5 (5)74.879.8154.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.780.8154.5-7.120%
vs Similar (9)78.276.4154.7+1.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)82.080.4162.4+1.670%
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A25/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A28/04
Basket League
Aris
#12
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H18/09
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A22/09
Greek Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
H02/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A09/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H17/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A23/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
55-70
55
70
-15
H31/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
15-19
9-24
12-17
19-19
23-21
19-18
14-23
11-16
12-7
21-21
24-23
22-18
8-12
25-26
11-18
24-18
19-19
16-14
10-18
23-20
6-16
21-20
19-25
20-13
18-22
19-15
9-25
19-20
18-22
20-27
20-22
19-7
9-23
14-12
13-28
16-22
14-16
18-16
15-24
145.0Avg total
67.6Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)68.578.7147.2-10.217%
Season at home (4)66.275.0141.2-8.825%
Season away (2)73.086.0159.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)67.677.4145.0-9.820%
Last 5 (5)66.079.0145.0-13.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)75.683.4159.0-7.833%
vs Similar (14)71.078.1149.1-7.114%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -7.6-7.6
PAOKLarisa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#10
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H02/10
Basket League
Igokea
#25
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A05/10
Champions League
Promitheas
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A09/10
Basket League
Nymburk
#30
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H12/10
Champions League
Iraklis
#12
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H16/10
Basket League
Galatasaray
#17
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H25/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H31/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H07/11
Basket League
Nymburk
#30
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A09/11
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A14/11
Basket League
75.3Avg total
36.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.739.776.5-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.439.476.8-1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)35.940.176.1-4.214%-
Last 10 (10)36.239.175.3-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.676.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.840.874.6-7.020%-
vs Similar (9)37.237.274.4+0.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.341.982.2-1.640%-
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A25/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A28/04
Basket League
Aris
#12
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H18/09
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#5
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A22/09
Greek Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H02/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A09/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H17/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A23/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H31/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H14/11
Basket League
68.5Avg total
33.5Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.239.376.5-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.339.878.1-1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)35.938.974.8-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)33.535.068.5-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)32.436.268.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.942.281.1-3.340%-
vs Similar (14)36.437.473.9-1.036%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.716.6
46.5%
51.3%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.2
34.2%
34.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.116.2
73.3%
72.2%16.2
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.314.6
43.8%
51.3%29.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.1
31.6%
34.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.315.1
74.4%
72.2%15.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LWLLWWLLLL
Larisa
LLLLLWLWLL
#8
League position
#6
-6.1
Net rating
-15.7
101.8
Offensive rating
95.4
107.9
Defensive rating
111.1
48.4%
Effective FG%
45.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
21.1%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.2%
3-point %
31.6%
57.3%
Assist %
68.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 95.4Defence107.9 · 111.1Shooting48.4% · 45.4%3-point %34.2% · 31.6%Ball care16.8% · 21.1%Off. rebounds24.3% · 28.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ PAOK   ■ Larisa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
PAOK wins
2
Larisa wins
DateGameScore
28/02/21Larisa v PAOK88-91 OT
09/12/20PAOK v Larisa91-93
07/10/20PAOK v Larisa93-71
11/01/20Larisa v PAOK95-85
05/10/19PAOK v Larisa87-61
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/21AOlympiacos68-86
09/11/21ANymburk75-71
07/11/21HPanathinaikos64-81
31/10/21HPeristeri86-87
25/10/21HGalatasaray81-74
16/10/21HIraklis72-69
12/10/21HNymburk83-84
09/10/21APromitheas77-84
05/10/21AIgokea64-68
02/10/21HLavrio73-89
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/21HPeristeri63-78
31/10/21HIraklis55-70
23/10/21APromitheas77-91
17/10/21HLavrio66-75
09/10/21AAEK Athens69-81
02/10/21HKolossos Rhodes81-77 OT
22/09/21AIonikos66-74
18/09/21HAris68-67
28/04/21ALavrio75-81
25/04/21APeristeri56-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game73.373.872.5
Allowed / game82.781.585.0
Point differential-9.3-7.8-12.5
Avg total156.0155.2157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Larisa
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game68.566.273.0
Allowed / game78.775.086.0
Point differential-10.2-8.8-13.0
Avg total147.2141.2159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos660100%99.075.0+24.0
2 Panathinaikos65183%83.069.0+14.0
3 Promitheas86275%79.476.2+3.1
4 Kolossos Rhodes85362%75.674.1+1.5
5 Peristeri74357%76.078.7-2.7
6 Lavrio84450%73.875.9-2.1
7 AEK Athens84450%74.480.5-6.1
8 Aris73443%77.475.1+2.3
9 Apollon Patras73443%70.775.0-4.3
10 Ionikos72529%72.779.3-6.6
11 Iraklis61517%77.377.8-0.5
12 PAOK61517%73.382.7-9.3
13 Larisa61517%68.578.7-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2220211982
Larisa917202571
← all games of the day
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