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AEK Athens vs Larisa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-69
20-23 16-6 20-21 25-19
Position#5
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game103.0
vs
Position#6
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game77.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 2
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · AEK Athens v Larisa
09 Oct 2021
AAT81
LAR69
31 Oct 2020
AAT87
LAR68
11 Apr 2020
AAT v LAR
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Larisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A23/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H26/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A02/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
113-101
113
101
+12
H04/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A06/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H09/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#2
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A25/09
Super Cup
Lavrio
#4
W
86-67
86
67
+19
A26/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
78-103
78
103
-25
A03/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#21
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A06/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
27-30
23-19
23-25
15-19
25-19
15-11
16-29
18-19
14-21
23-21
18-16
27-22
29-29
18-13
39-37
16-19
26-21
22-20
17-20
24-12
29-26
16-21
26-13
17-20
22-22
18-31
14-15
27-17
23-11
19-20
17-19
21-23
22-21
21-28
14-31
21-19
14-19
19-19
24-26
167.2Avg total
82.9Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.0103.0181.0-25.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)78.0103.0181.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)82.984.3167.2-1.440%
Last 5 (5)81.682.6164.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.887.9166.6-9.125%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.181.7162.8-0.642%
vs Weaker (9)86.480.3166.8+6.178%
This opponent (Larisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H14/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A21/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
78-98
78
98
-20
H28/03
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A03/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H11/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A25/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A28/04
Basket League
Aris
#12
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H18/09
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A22/09
Greek Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
H02/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
22-18
20-21
20-19
28-20
21-18
14-20
13-25
17-26
20-28
21-23
20-21
17-15
18-20
21-26
21-18
15-24
18-19
21-17
26-16
20-20
15-19
9-24
12-17
19-19
23-21
19-18
14-23
11-16
12-7
21-21
24-23
22-18
8-12
25-26
11-18
24-18
19-19
16-14
10-18
152.7Avg total
73.9Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.077.0158.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)81.077.0158.0+4.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.978.8152.7-4.940%
Last 5 (5)69.275.8145.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)75.785.5161.2-9.832%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.877.6151.3-3.822%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
AEK AthensLarisa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A23/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H26/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A02/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H04/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A06/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H09/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A25/09
Super Cup
Lavrio
#4
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A26/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A03/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#21
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/10
Champions League
83.6Avg total
42.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.880.1+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.139.984.0+4.269%-
Last 30 away (17)37.439.877.1-2.435%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.983.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.082.0+6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.144.282.4-6.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.939.780.6+1.258%-
vs Weaker (9)41.736.778.3+5.067%-
This opponent (Larisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H14/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A21/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H28/03
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A03/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H11/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A25/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A28/04
Basket League
Aris
#12
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H18/09
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#5
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A22/09
Greek Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H02/10
Basket League
74.1Avg total
36.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.779.4-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.240.982.1+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)36.140.676.7-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)36.937.274.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.868.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.443.181.5-4.732%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.738.176.8+0.644%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.8
54.1%
51.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.8
35.0%
34.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.113.6
79.5%
72.2%13.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.413.8
46.9%
51.3%27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.1
35.4%
34.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.215.4
76.2%
72.2%15.4
They take 55.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LLWLWWWLLL
Larisa
WLWLLWLLLW
#5
League position
#6
-1.6
Net rating
-12.0
110.0
Offensive rating
98.9
111.6
Defensive rating
110.8
53.4%
Effective FG%
49.8%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
22.6%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.0%
3-point %
35.4%
60.1%
Assist %
65.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 98.9Defence111.6 · 110.8Shooting53.4% · 49.8%3-point %35.0% · 35.4%Ball care17.7% · 22.6%Off. rebounds28.9% · 27.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Larisa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AEK Athens wins
1
Larisa wins
DateGameScore
30/01/21Larisa v AEK Athens76-75
31/10/20AEK Athens v Larisa87-68
22/12/19Larisa v AEK Athens76-86
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/21ASzombathely78-83
03/10/21AOlympiacos78-103
26/09/21ALavrio86-67
25/09/21APromitheas71-88
09/06/21HPromitheas95-72
06/06/21APromitheas81-80
04/06/21HPromitheas113-101
02/06/21APromitheas73-77
26/05/21HPanathinaikos71-78
23/05/21APanathinaikos83-94
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/21HKolossos Rhodes81-77 OT
22/09/21AIonikos66-74
18/09/21HAris68-67
28/04/21ALavrio75-81
25/04/21APeristeri56-80
11/04/21HIraklis80-76
03/04/21AHarilaos Trikoupis77-79
28/03/21HPeristeri78-98
21/03/21AIonikos76-83
14/03/21HKolossos Rhodes82-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game78.0-78.0
Allowed / game103.0-103.0
Point differential-25.0--25.0
Avg total181.0-181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Larisa
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game77.077.0-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total158.0158.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %100%100%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos110100%103.078.0+25.0
2 Lavrio110100%89.073.0+16.0
3 Apollon Patras110100%80.072.0+8.0
4 Promitheas220100%86.079.0+7.0
5 Larisa110100%81.077.0+4.0
6 Ionikos21150%82.581.5+1.0
7 Aris21150%82.082.0+0.0
8 Kolossos Rhodes1010%77.081.0-4.0
9 Peristeri1010%81.088.0-7.0
10 Panathinaikos1010%71.081.0-10.0
11 PAOK2020%75.086.5-11.5
12 AEK Athens1010%78.0103.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2016202581
Larisa236211969
← all games of the day
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