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Larisa vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Sep 2021
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 68-67
11-16 12-7 21-21 24-23
Position#9
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Larisa 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#12
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GreeceGreek Cup
Other2021-22
Meetings · Larisa v Aris
15 Jan 2022
LAR84
ARI81
18 Sep 2021
LAR68
ARI67
16 Dec 2020
LAR84
ARI88
13 Oct 2019
LAR92
ARI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Larisa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A06/02
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
H28/02
Basket League
Aris
#9
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A06/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H14/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A21/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
78-98
78
98
-20
H28/03
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A03/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H11/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A25/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A28/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
3-19
14-19
28-20
18-23
26-14
17-24
14-18
21-22
22-22
7-18
8-16
15-14
20-15
22-18
20-21
20-19
28-20
21-18
14-20
13-25
17-26
20-28
21-23
20-21
17-15
18-20
21-26
21-18
15-24
18-19
21-17
26-16
20-20
15-19
9-24
12-17
19-19
23-21
19-18
14-23
153.9Avg total
72.7Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.781.2153.9-8.520%
Last 5 (5)73.282.8156.0-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)74.985.8160.7-10.826%
vs Similar (10)75.278.6153.8-3.430%
vs Weakerno games
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
H06/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
72-94
72
94
-22
A28/02
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H06/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
76-54
76
54
+22
A10/03
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H20/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H27/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A31/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A03/04
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H10/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A28/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
25-28
17-22
29-27
19-19
15-24
14-27
24-24
22-22
18-7
16-8
14-15
20-13
18-16
21-5
17-20
18-26
19-11
24-14
10-26
15-18
12-16
22-23
19-16
26-19
14-30
20-16
9-25
17-22
23-20
11-20
21-21
20-18
14-14
27-21
13-9
18-20
17-19
15-22
15-21
148.7Avg total
72.6Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.676.1148.7-3.530%
Last 5 (5)69.678.0147.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.684.6161.3-8.027%
vs Similar (16)74.775.9150.6-1.238%
vs Weaker (2)73.560.5134.0+13.050%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -3.3-3.3
LarisaAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
17-38
17
38
-21
A06/02
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H28/02
Basket League
Aris
#9
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A06/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H14/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A21/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H28/03
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A03/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H11/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A25/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A28/04
Basket League
76.0Avg total
36.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.741.780.3-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.241.884.0+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)35.641.677.1-6.025%-
Last 10 (10)36.239.876.0-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.278.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.743.481.1-5.726%-
vs Similar (10)38.638.877.4-0.250%-
vs Weakerno games
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H06/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A28/02
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H06/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A10/03
Basket League
PAOK
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H20/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H27/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A31/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A03/04
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H10/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A28/04
Basket League
74.7Avg total
36.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.577.3-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.137.175.2+0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)37.641.979.5-4.327%-
Last 10 (10)36.837.974.7-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.274.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.541.477.9-4.818%-
vs Similar (16)38.439.177.5-0.838%-
vs Weaker (2)41.033.074.0+8.0100%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 22% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.413.8
46.9%
-27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.1
35.4%
-27.3
🏀 Free throws20.215.4
76.2%
-15.4
They take 55.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.1
48.5%
-36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.7
30.3%
-20.1
🏀 Free throws22.015.3
69.5%
-15.3
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Sep 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Larisa
LLWLLLWLLL
Aris
LWLLLLWWLL
#9
League position
#12
-12.0
Net rating
-4.8
98.9
Offensive rating
98.7
110.8
Defensive rating
103.6
49.8%
Effective FG%
47.4%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
22.6%
Turnover %
22.2%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.4%
3-point %
30.3%
65.1%
Assist %
58.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Larisa   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Larisa wins
3
Aris wins
DateGameScore
06/03/21Aris v Larisa70-52
16/12/20Larisa v Aris84-88
18/01/20Aris v Larisa90-72
13/10/19Larisa v Aris92-78
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/21ALavrio75-81
25/04/21APeristeri56-80
11/04/21HIraklis80-76
03/04/21AHarilaos Trikoupis77-79
28/03/21HPeristeri78-98
21/03/21AIonikos76-83
14/03/21HKolossos Rhodes82-73
06/03/21AAris52-70
28/02/21HPAOK88-91 OT
06/02/21APromitheas63-81
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/21APeristeri65-82
10/04/21HIonikos74-62
03/04/21AKolossos Rhodes72-83
31/03/21APromitheas69-90
27/03/21HAEK Athens68-73
20/03/21HPAOK71-77
10/03/21AIraklis76-54
06/03/21HLarisa70-52
28/02/21APanathinaikos72-94
06/02/21HLavrio89-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Larisa
Greek Cup 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Aris
Greek Cup 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maroussi330100%86.057.7+28.3
2 Amyntas32167%65.367.0-1.7
3 Koroivos21150%66.563.0+3.5
4 AS Karditsas21150%73.077.0-4.0
5 Panerythraikos1010%68.070.0-2.0
6 Kavala1010%71.076.0-5.0
7 Harilaos Trikoupis1010%60.075.0-15.0
8 Dafni Dafniou1010%43.0100.0-57.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Larisa1112212468
Aris167212367
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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