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Bilbao vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-74
19-23 24-18 27-16 19-17
Position#1
Record15-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game70.6
Bilbao 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record12-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game80.1
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Final· Bilbao Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Bilbao v PAOK
29 Apr 2026
BIL89
PAK74
13 Jan 2026
BIL95
PAK73
16 Apr 2025
BIL72
PAK65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#11
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H14/03
ACB
Petkim Spor
#11
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H18/03
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
A21/03
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
81-100
81
100
-19
A28/03
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
98-81
98
81
+17
A01/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H04/04
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
95-88
95
88
+7
H08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
L
61-90
61
90
-29
A12/04
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H18/04
ACB
PAOK
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A22/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
26-17
22-27
29-21
31-16
21-12
21-15
12-17
25-15
20-27
18-19
24-26
25-22
22-27
16-21
18-30
29-28
27-16
22-16
20-21
26-23
23-19
27-21
14-11
23-17
25-20
21-30
26-21
7-21
16-20
20-24
18-25
17-19
19-20
21-22
23-23
13-16
22-27
18-17
20-19
170.9Avg total
86.5Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)93.470.6164.0+22.888%
Season at home (8)96.973.6170.5+23.288%
Season away (9)90.367.9158.2+22.489%
Last 10 (10)86.584.4170.9+2.160%
Last 5 (5)79.883.0162.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.087.3162.3-12.329%
vs Similar (8)92.988.5181.4+4.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.274.9164.1+14.393%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A21/03
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
W
100-87
100
87
+13
H25/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
W
100-70
100
70
+30
H28/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H01/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#11
W
93-90
93
90
+3
H04/04
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#5
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H15/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A18/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H22/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#12
W
101-85
101
85
+16
H25/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
27-12
13-26
18-17
26-18
25-26
23-24
26-19
30-15
30-17
20-15
20-23
19-17
15-26
21-12
24-18
18-26
22-20
24-24
29-20
19-20
21-27
20-16
25-26
29-19
20-25
21-15
18-18
19-16
18-23
22-8
17-25
16-13
27-22
17-18
19-20
28-20
26-26
26-24
21-15
166.2Avg total
87.1Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.580.1166.6+6.471%
Season at home (9)91.778.3170.0+13.389%
Season away (8)80.682.1162.8-1.550%
Last 10 (10)87.179.1166.2+8.080%
Last 5 (5)85.879.2165.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.285.5163.8-7.225%
vs Similar (6)83.082.0165.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (16)90.076.8166.8+13.294%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
BilbaoPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#11
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H14/03
ACB
Petkim Spor
#11
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H18/03
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A21/03
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A28/03
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A01/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H04/04
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A12/04
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H18/04
ACB
PAOK
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A22/04
FIBA Europe Cup
84.7Avg total
44.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.380.7+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.635.278.8+8.480%-
Last 30 away (15)41.141.482.5-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)44.040.784.7+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.478.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.938.675.4-1.743%-
vs Similar (8)44.442.286.6+2.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.936.179.9+7.873%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A21/03
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H25/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
W
60-32
60
32
+28
H28/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H01/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#11
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H04/04
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H15/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A18/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H22/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#12
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H25/04
Basket League
85.5Avg total
44.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.083.0+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.140.386.4+5.871%-
Last 30 away (13)38.839.778.5-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)44.740.885.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.286.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.443.581.9-5.125%-
vs Similar (6)42.539.381.8+3.267%-
vs Weaker (16)45.438.683.9+6.862%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.1
57.3%
52.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.9
36.3%
34.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.616.2
75.0%
73.4%16.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.721.1
59.1%
52.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.4
35.5%
34.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.113.4
70.2%
73.4%13.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LLLWWWLWWW
PAOK
WWWWLWWWWL
#1
League position
#5
+3.0
Net rating
+9.1
100.7
Offensive rating
99.8
97.7
Defensive rating
90.7
56.0%
Effective FG%
56.5%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.3%
3-point %
35.5%
59.7%
Assist %
57.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 99.8Defence97.7 · 90.7Shooting56.0% · 56.5%3-point %36.3% · 35.5%Ball care15.3% · 15.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Bilbao   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bilbao wins
2
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
22/04/26PAOK v Bilbao79-73
11/02/26PAOK v Bilbao87-88
13/01/26Bilbao v PAOK95-73
23/04/25PAOK v Bilbao84-82
16/04/25Bilbao v PAOK72-65
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/26APAOK73-79
18/04/26HManresa80-84
12/04/26ABarcelona61-90
08/04/26HSzombathely95-88
04/04/26HUnicaja90-74
01/04/26ASzombathely98-81
28/03/26AMurcia81-100
21/03/26AMoraBanc Andorra102-98 OT
18/03/26HPetkim Spor85-60
14/03/26HBreogan100-90
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26HMaroussi101-85
22/04/26HBilbao79-73
18/04/26AIraklis76-72
15/04/26HAris88-77
08/04/26AMurcia85-89
04/04/26HAS Karditsas93-90
01/04/26HMurcia79-73
28/03/26HPromitheas100-70
25/03/26HMykonos100-87
21/03/26APeristeri70-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWL89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %88%88%89%
Points / game93.496.990.3
Allowed / game70.673.667.9
Point differential+22.8+23.2+22.4
Avg total164.0170.5158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW71%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%89%50%
Points / game86.591.780.6
Allowed / game80.178.382.1
Point differential+6.4+13.3-1.5
Avg total166.6170.0162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao1715288%93.470.6+22.8
2 Murcia1614288%85.473.7+11.8
3 Peristeri1411379%85.478.1+7.3
4 PAOK1712571%86.580.1+6.4
5 KK Bosna1611569%78.574.8+3.8
6 Basketball Braunschweig64267%83.781.3+2.3
7 CSM Oradea128467%83.181.0+2.1
8 Vechta85362%86.080.2+5.8
9 Basket Zaragoza127558%86.278.3+7.8
10 Rostock127558%85.378.4+6.9
11 Petkim Spor148657%81.474.4+6.9
12 Reggiana147750%82.175.2+6.9
13 Anwil Wloclawek84450%91.484.6+6.8
14 Antwerp Giants63350%84.079.3+4.7
15 Dijon63350%83.583.3+0.2
16 Szombathely168850%81.281.4-0.2
17 Neftchi IK63350%87.088.7-1.7
18 Cibona84450%81.083.1-2.1
19 AEK Larnaca63350%81.084.7-3.7
20 Bashkimi84450%78.584.1-5.6
21 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%82.589.8-7.3
22 BC Prievidza146843%80.383.9-3.6
23 Sassari125742%81.880.0+1.8
24 Sporting CP125742%82.482.4+0.0
25 Cedevita Junior125742%85.185.5-0.4
26 Trefl Sopot125742%83.684.4-0.8
27 Absheron Lions83538%86.287.6-1.4
28 Brno83538%77.585.5-8.0
29 Bakken Bears62433%85.786.5-0.8
30 Lublin62433%79.784.8-5.2
31 Tartu Ulikool62433%82.890.7-7.8
32 FC Porto62433%76.085.8-9.8
33 Keravnos62433%78.090.2-12.2
34 Corona Brasov82625%78.284.4-6.1
35 Anorthosis82625%72.091.1-19.1
36 Pelister61517%80.393.3-13.0
37 Rilski Sportist61517%68.781.7-13.0
38 Valcea61517%71.398.8-27.5
39 Kutaisi61517%63.798.3-34.7
40 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
41 Trepca6060%75.786.5-10.8
42 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
43 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
44 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao1924271989
PAOK2318161774
← all games of the day
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