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Panathinaikos vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 May 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 114-102 (OT)
23-24 22-26 32-25 19-21 18-6
Position#2
Record21-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#3
Record19-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game80.4
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Semi-finals· Telekom Center Athens
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Panathinaikos v PAOK
11 Apr 2027
PAO v PAK
upcoming
28 May 2026
PAO114
PAK102
05 Oct 2025
PAO93
PAK83
05 Jan 2025
PAO100
PAK81
16 May 2024
PAO84
PAK66
10 Dec 2023
PAO97
PAK85
27 Nov 2022
PAO87
PAK63
26 Mar 2022
PAO77
PAK67
08 Nov 2020
PAO96
PAK67
27 Jan 2020
PAO117
PAK79
07 Apr 2019
PAO89
PAK51
26 May 2018
PAO84
PAK67
24 May 2018
PAO92
PAK79
15 Oct 2017
PAO89
PAK74
13 Apr 2017
PAO102
PAK58
05 Oct 2016
PAO88
PAK69
28 May 2015
PAO75
PAK61
26 May 2015
PAO83
PAK58
08 Mar 2015
PAO83
PAK69
15 May 2014
PAO83
PAK77
13 May 2014
PAO89
PAK83
29 Dec 2013
PAO81
PAK61
20 Jan 2013
PAO71
PAK61
03 Mar 2012
PAO85
PAK65
23 May 2011
PAO105
PAK65
19 May 2011
PAO95
PAK52
23 Oct 2010
PAO108
PAK61
06 Dec 2009
PAO83
PAK78
25 Apr 2009
PAO97
PAK54
20 Dec 2008
PAO107
PAK97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
97-62
97
62
+35
102avg 83
H17/04
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
87-79
87
79
+8
79avg 83
H21/04
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
97-76
97
76
+21
92avg 83
H25/04
Basket League
Valencia
#3
W
68-67
68
67
+1
60avg 83
A28/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
107-105 OT
107
105
+2
100avg 83
A30/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
87-91
87
91
-4
84avg 83
H06/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
76avg 83
H08/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
64-81
64
81
-17
53avg 83
A13/05
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
99-75
99
75
+24
98avg 83
H15/05
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
W
90-76
90
76
+14
88avg 83
A17/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
25-22
26-5
26-19
23-14
26-20
17-23
21-22
25-18
25-17
19-18
28-23
23-15
16-17
15-17
14-18
24-23
25-25
25-23
21-24
18-24
21-28
27-23
21-16
15-26
22-18
19-16
30-29
10-14
13-21
27-21
14-25
31-9
25-22
26-22
17-22
19-18
25-21
26-22
20-15
168.3Avg total
88.2Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)91.377.5168.8+13.881%
Season at home (13)95.581.7177.2+13.885%
Season away (13)87.273.3160.5+13.977%
Last 10 (10)88.280.1168.3+8.170%
Last 5 (5)85.282.4167.6+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.093.5180.5-6.50%
vs Similar (16)88.588.6177.1-0.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.375.8165.1+13.667%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Murcia
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
74avg 79
H01/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#11
W
93-90
93
90
+3
84avg 79
H04/04
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
75avg 79
A08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#5
W
88-77
88
77
+11
83avg 79
H15/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
71avg 79
A18/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
W
79-73
79
73
+6
77avg 79
H22/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#12
W
101-85
101
85
+16
99avg 79
H25/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
58avg 79
A29/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
W
91-79
91
79
+12
86avg 79
H03/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
77-72
77
72
+5
76avg 79
A06/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
15-26
21-12
24-18
18-26
22-20
24-24
29-20
19-20
21-27
20-16
25-26
29-19
20-25
21-15
18-18
19-16
18-23
22-8
17-25
16-13
27-22
17-18
19-20
28-20
26-26
26-24
21-15
23-19
18-24
16-27
17-19
23-19
25-22
16-19
27-19
23-15
13-20
18-16
23-21
164.2Avg total
84.3Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.180.4164.5+3.773%
Season at home (13)88.781.2169.8+7.577%
Season away (13)79.579.6159.1-0.269%
Last 10 (10)84.379.9164.2+4.480%
Last 5 (5)84.479.6164.0+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.485.1162.5-7.825%
vs Similar (7)82.679.4162.0+3.157%
vs Weaker (15)90.577.3167.8+13.393%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
PanathinaikosPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H17/04
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H21/04
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H25/04
Basket League
Valencia
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A28/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A30/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H06/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H08/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A13/05
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H15/05
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A17/05
Basket League
81.9Avg total
43.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.184.9+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.644.590.1+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)42.037.779.7+4.360%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.881.9+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.280.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.550.086.5-13.50%-
vs Similar (16)43.343.787.0-0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.736.281.9+9.475%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H01/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#11
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H04/04
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H15/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A18/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H22/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#12
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H25/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A29/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H03/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/05
Basket League
84.1Avg total
42.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.982.5+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.540.286.7+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)38.839.678.4-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)42.241.984.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.084.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.442.981.2-4.525%-
vs Similar (7)41.338.780.0+2.671%-
vs Weaker (15)45.538.984.4+6.760%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 67.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.7 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers22.916.6
72.5%
54.1%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.5
36.0%
34.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws7.15.7
80.3%
74.4%5.7
They take 49.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.419.3
57.8%
54.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.4
36.5%
34.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.514.2
72.8%
74.4%14.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWLLLWWWWW
PAOK
WWLWWWWLWW
#2
League position
#3
+9.6
Net rating
+5.1
46.6
Offensive rating
99.2
36.9
Defensive rating
94.1
62.6%
Effective FG%
56.4%
62.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.14
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.0%
3-point %
36.5%
77.8%
Assist %
52.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence46.6 · 99.2Defence36.9 · 94.1Shooting62.6% · 56.4%3-point %36.0% · 36.5%Ball care16.3% · 16.0%Free throws0.14 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Panathinaikos wins
1
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
18/01/26PAOK v Panathinaikos69-74
05/10/25Panathinaikos v PAOK93-83
05/01/25Panathinaikos v PAOK100-81
12/10/24PAOK v Panathinaikos93-96
18/05/24PAOK v Panathinaikos96-99 OT
16/05/24Panathinaikos v PAOK84-66
17/03/24PAOK v Panathinaikos73-89
10/12/23Panathinaikos v PAOK97-85
29/09/23PAOK v Panathinaikos64-77
13/03/23PAOK v Panathinaikos81-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/26AMykonos90-76
15/05/26HMykonos99-75
13/05/26AValencia64-81
08/05/26HValencia86-89
06/05/26HValencia87-91
30/04/26AValencia107-105 OT
28/04/26AValencia68-67
25/04/26HMykonos97-76
21/04/26HMonaco87-79
17/04/26HAnadolu Efes97-62
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/26APeristeri77-72
03/05/26HPeristeri91-79
29/04/26ABilbao74-89
25/04/26HMaroussi101-85
22/04/26HBilbao79-73
18/04/26AIraklis76-72
15/04/26HAris88-77
08/04/26AMurcia85-89
04/04/26HAS Karditsas93-90
01/04/26HMurcia79-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW81%
HomeLWLWW85%
AwayWLWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %81%85%77%
Points / game91.395.587.2
Allowed / game77.581.773.3
Point differential+13.8+13.8+13.9
Avg total168.8177.2160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%62%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
PAOK
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayWLLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %73%77%69%
Points / game84.188.779.5
Allowed / game80.481.279.6
Point differential+3.7+7.5-0.2
Avg total164.5169.8159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%62%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)67% (3)88% (8)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos26260100%98.078.4+19.6
2 Panathinaikos2621581%91.377.5+13.8
3 PAOK2619773%84.180.4+3.7
4 AEK Athens2718967%84.380.6+3.7
5 Aris27151256%84.682.0+2.6
6 Peristeri26141254%78.779.6-1.0
7 Mykonos2691735%79.787.9-8.2
8 Iraklis2481633%80.084.6-4.6
9 Promitheas2481633%84.090.2-6.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes2681831%81.287.3-6.1
11 AS Karditsas2471729%79.084.8-5.7
12 Maroussi2461825%85.892.1-6.3
13 Panionios2461825%77.585.6-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Panathinaikos2322321918114
PAOK242625216102
← all games of the day
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