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PAOK vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 91-70
19-16 39-16 13-20 20-18
Position#24
Record5-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game78.4
PAOK 🏆
vs
Position#21
Record7-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game78.5
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 13
European cup2017
Meetings · PAOK v Neptunas
31 Jan 2018
PAK91
NEP70
10 Jan 2017
PAK82
NEP73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#5
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H16/12
Basket League
Gaziantep
#41
W
77-65 OT
77
65
+12
A20/12
Champions League
Lavrio
#6
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H07/01
Basket League
Capo d'Orlando
#46
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H09/01
Champions League
Panionios
#12
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H13/01
Basket League
Chalon/Saone
#33
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H16/01
Champions League
Ifaistos Limnou
#11
L
89-101
89
101
-12
A20/01
Basket League
Tenerife
#3
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A24/01
Champions League
Promitheas
#4
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A27/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
16-17
23-15
18-14
19-16
15-14
13-20
15-12
15-19
20-29
19-20
18-22
29-18
15-15
13-8
21-30
15-18
26-17
21-11
17-15
22-31
36-15
16-16
18-12
24-22
24-20
15-20
27-19
26-27
23-22
26-24
14-28
15-16
24-30
25-28
15-19
20-26
13-22
15-16
20-17
159.2Avg total
81.0Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.278.4152.6-4.242%
Season at home (6)78.577.5156.0+1.050%
Season away (6)69.879.3149.2-9.533%
Last 10 (10)81.078.2159.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)83.686.0169.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.086.3159.3-13.317%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.476.7152.1-1.244%
vs Weaker (14)78.474.8153.2+3.664%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A16/12
LKL
Ventspils
#34
W
84-69
84
69
+15
A19/12
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A23/12
LKL
Skycop
#10
W
104-83
104
83
+21
H27/12
LKL
Siauliai
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H04/01
LKL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H09/01
Champions League
Gaziantep
#41
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
A17/01
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H21/01
LKL
Capo d'Orlando
#46
W
99-62
99
62
+37
H23/01
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H27/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
23-13
20-11
19-24
11-17
26-14
17-16
30-22
18-20
12-23
23-28
39-15
26-23
27-21
26-21
25-18
21-21
20-19
22-22
21-17
23-22
10-20
19-26
19-19
12-27
21-19
25-25
27-14
16-26
25-20
16-21
18-16
35-19
31-11
14-20
19-12
26-19
16-19
19-21
22-19
167.0Avg total
87.1Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.678.5164.1+7.158%
Season at home (6)88.074.0162.0+14.083%
Season away (6)83.283.0166.2+0.233%
Last 10 (10)87.179.9167.0+7.270%
Last 5 (5)84.481.6166.0+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.984.4158.2-10.525%
vs Similar ◀ (3)79.376.0155.3+3.367%
vs Weaker (19)91.876.8168.6+15.189%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +6.3+6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +6.3+6.3
PAOKNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H16/12
Basket League
Gaziantep
#41
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A20/12
Champions League
Lavrio
#6
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H07/01
Basket League
Capo d'Orlando
#46
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H09/01
Champions League
Panionios
#12
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H13/01
Basket League
Chalon/Saone
#33
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H16/01
Champions League
Ifaistos Limnou
#11
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A20/01
Basket League
Tenerife
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A24/01
Champions League
Promitheas
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A27/01
Basket League
83.9Avg total
42.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.078.5-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.339.780.0+0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)36.940.377.2-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.383.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.446.291.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.043.284.2-2.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.342.080.3-3.744%-
vs Weaker (14)38.137.375.4+0.957%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A16/12
LKL
Ventspils
#34
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A19/12
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A23/12
LKL
Skycop
#10
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H27/12
LKL
Siauliai
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H04/01
LKL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H09/01
Champions League
Gaziantep
#41
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A17/01
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H21/01
LKL
Capo d'Orlando
#46
W
66-30
66
30
+36
H23/01
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H27/01
LKL
82.1Avg total
42.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.282.7+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.840.586.3+5.356%-
Last 30 away (14)36.741.978.6-5.236%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.982.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.483.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.646.481.0-11.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)41.740.382.0+1.333%-
vs Weaker (19)44.539.183.6+5.468%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
PAOK wins
2
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
15/11/17Neptunas v PAOK82-69
10/01/17PAOK v Neptunas82-73
16/11/16Neptunas v PAOK68-63
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/18APromitheas68-81
24/01/18ATenerife79-93
20/01/18AIfaistos Limnou89-101
16/01/18HChalon/Saone90-81
13/01/18HPanionios92-74
09/01/18HCapo d'Orlando79-61
07/01/18HOlympiacos78-71
30/12/17ALavrio72-90
20/12/17AGaziantep77-65 OT
16/12/17HAEK Athens86-65
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/18HLietkabelis83-78
23/01/18HCapo d'Orlando99-62
21/01/18HZalgiris Kaunas75-83
17/01/18AGaziantep94-98 OT
09/01/18HLudwigsburg71-87
04/01/18HSiauliai84-79
27/12/17HSkycop104-83
23/12/17APieno Zvaigzdes92-86
19/12/17AVentspils84-69
16/12/17ANevezis85-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Champions League 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL42%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game74.278.569.8
Allowed / game78.477.579.3
Point differential-4.2+1.0-9.5
Avg total152.6156.0149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Neptunas
Champions League 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW58%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game85.688.083.2
Allowed / game78.574.083.0
Point differential+7.1+14.0+0.2
Avg total164.1162.0166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco12120100%85.966.1+19.8
2 Ludwigsburg1917289%82.467.8+14.6
3 Tenerife1210283%82.566.0+16.5
4 Antwerp Giants65183%77.575.7+1.8
5 Besiktas1310377%80.273.6+6.6
6 Banvit139469%78.273.8+4.5
7 Minsk64267%69.764.5+5.2
8 Nymburk128467%82.479.8+2.7
9 Karsiyaka1510567%85.383.1+2.1
10 Saratov64267%72.272.0+0.2
11 Oldenburg138562%85.081.2+3.8
12 Strasbourg138562%78.776.3+2.4
13 Nanterre159660%81.677.7+3.9
14 Estudiantes159660%78.675.3+3.3
15 Neptunas127558%85.678.5+7.1
16 Bayreuth127558%81.279.2+2.0
17 Murcia127558%80.479.3+1.1
18 Venezia127558%81.180.0+1.1
19 AEK Athens137654%82.079.2+2.8
20 Joventut Badalona42250%76.069.0+7.0
21 Academic42250%84.580.2+4.2
22 Alba Fehervar42250%78.578.2+0.2
23 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%76.877.5-0.8
24 Karpos21150%80.082.5-2.5
25 Bakken Bears21150%81.584.5-3.0
26 Keravnos21150%69.573.0-3.5
27 Benfica42250%73.878.0-4.2
28 Skycop21150%69.079.5-10.5
29 Zielona Gora136746%77.377.2+0.2
30 Sassari136746%81.383.1-1.8
31 Ventspils136746%75.077.3-2.3
32 Avellino125742%74.773.6+1.1
33 Chalon/Saone125742%72.674.1-1.5
34 PAOK125742%74.278.4-4.2
35 Oostende125742%69.375.4-6.1
36 Bonn156940%78.378.1+0.2
37 Donar Groningen62433%78.875.7+3.2
38 Juventus1551033%80.286.5-6.3
39 Aris124833%66.574.2-7.7
40 Petrol Olimpija134931%72.279.2-7.1
41 Gaziantep134931%74.885.2-10.3
42 Kataja41325%75.280.2-5.0
43 Hapoel Holon1331023%82.689.0-6.4
44 Enisey1331023%74.683.6-9.0
45 Capo d'Orlando1531220%65.876.3-10.5
46 HydroTruck Radom1521313%73.981.0-7.1
47 Nizhny Novgorod2020%74.578.0-3.5
48 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%67.071.0-4.0
49 BC Lulea2020%76.582.0-5.5
50 Budivelnyk2020%57.564.5-7.0
51 Univ. Cluj-Napoca2020%74.583.0-8.5
52 Z-Mobile Prishtina2020%62.073.0-11.0
53 Mornar Bar2020%66.079.0-13.0
54 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%63.079.0-16.0
55 Basic-Fit Brussels2020%54.580.0-25.5
56 KK Bosna2020%59.093.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 56 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK1939132091
Neptunas1616201870
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