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Paris vs Cholet Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 74-62
19-17 16-10 15-14 24-21
Position#2
Record28-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game74.8
Paris 🏆
France
vs
Position#6
Record18-18
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game80.1
FranceLNBLNB - Quarter-finals· Adidas Arena
Domestic2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Paris v Cholet
10 Apr 2027
PRS v CHO
upcoming
04 Jun 2026
PRS100
CHO77
02 Jun 2026
PRS89
CHO90
21 Dec 2025
PRS107
CHO84
26 Jan 2025
PRS90
CHO77
21 May 2024
PRS74
CHO62
15 May 2024
PRS81
CHO91
24 Apr 2024
PRS92
CHO90
29 Oct 2022
PRS66
CHO75
13 Feb 2022
PRS90
CHO102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#2
W
77-64
77
64
+13
65avg 92
H09/04
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
85avg 92
A12/04
Eurocup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
86-66
86
66
+20
96avg 92
A21/04
LNB
Cholet
#6
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
100avg 92
H24/04
LNB
JL Bourg
#4
W
84-80
84
80
+4
101avg 92
H28/04
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#14
W
84-73
84
73
+11
97avg 92
A30/04
LNB
Roanne
#17
W
90-61
90
61
+29
108avg 92
H04/05
LNB
Le Portel
#8
W
80-66
80
66
+14
85avg 92
A11/05
LNB
Cholet
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
88avg 92
H15/05
LNB
Cholet
#6
W
90-72
90
72
+18
85avg 92
A18/05
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
31-20
11-12
12-21
22-26
21-20
21-17
25-18
14-17
27-17
20-23
25-9
22-22
20-23
18-29
23-9
22-27
20-25
18-7
24-21
27-17
19-20
20-18
18-18
22-12
28-19
20-18
20-12
20-17
18-16
26-16
16-17
14-23
27-23
17-20
23-25
30-17
10-20
24-14
26-21
159.7Avg total
85.3Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)86.874.8161.6+11.978%
Season at home (18)90.676.2166.8+14.483%
Season away (18)82.973.4156.3+9.472%
Last 10 (10)85.374.4159.7+10.990%
Last 5 (5)85.072.6157.6+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)89.581.0170.5+8.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)91.574.9166.4+16.692%
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Nancy
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
99avg 82
A30/03
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
L
72-84
72
84
-12
83avg 82
H06/04
LNB
Roanne
#17
L
69-82
69
82
-13
76avg 82
A14/04
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
L
71-80
71
80
-9
88avg 82
H20/04
LNB
Paris
#2
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
103avg 82
A24/04
LNB
Dijon
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
87avg 82
H30/04
LNB
Monaco
#1
W
79-66
79
66
+13
85avg 82
A05/05
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#14
W
84-77
84
77
+7
98avg 82
H11/05
LNB
Paris
#2
W
91-81
91
81
+10
110avg 82
A15/05
LNB
Paris
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
84avg 82
H18/05
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
24-18
21-20
24-21
14-15
16-26
22-22
20-21
20-18
14-22
18-16
17-26
25-20
23-20
14-13
9-27
22-22
23-20
29-18
9-23
15-19
16-26
19-23
29-20
15-20
23-20
20-16
21-10
26-22
17-24
22-16
19-15
23-14
23-27
20-17
25-23
17-30
20-10
14-24
21-26
160.9Avg total
79.2Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)79.880.1159.9-0.350%
Season at home (18)79.280.4159.6-1.344%
Season away (18)80.479.7160.2+0.756%
Last 10 (10)79.281.7160.9-2.540%
Last 5 (5)81.080.4161.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.484.8166.1-3.438%
vs Similar (17)82.983.2166.1-0.459%
vs Weaker (4)85.281.8167.0+3.550%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
ParisCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#2
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H09/04
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A12/04
Eurocup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A21/04
LNB
Cholet
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H24/04
LNB
JL Bourg
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H28/04
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#14
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A30/04
LNB
Roanne
#17
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H04/05
LNB
Le Portel
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A11/05
LNB
Cholet
#6
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H15/05
LNB
Cholet
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A18/05
LNB
82.9Avg total
43.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.439.585.9+6.973%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.739.988.6+8.973%-
Last 30 away (15)44.139.183.3+5.073%-
Last 10 (10)43.739.282.9+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.879.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)46.045.591.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)46.838.585.3+8.380%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nancy
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A30/03
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H06/04
LNB
Roanne
#17
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A14/04
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H20/04
LNB
Paris
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A24/04
LNB
Dijon
#9
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H30/04
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/05
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#14
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H11/05
LNB
Paris
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A15/05
LNB
Paris
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H18/05
LNB
80.3Avg total
39.2Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.183.5-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.342.084.3+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)40.442.282.6-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.180.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.481.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.942.884.6-0.938%-
vs Similar (17)38.941.680.5-2.635%-
vs Weaker (4)49.842.292.0+7.575%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.0
54.7%
53.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.5
34.5%
34.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws22.116.8
76.0%
72.5%16.8
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.6
58.0%
53.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.8
32.2%
34.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.312.8
66.3%
72.5%12.8
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WLWWWWWWWW
Cholet
LWWWLLLLLW
#2
League position
#6
+15.0
Net rating
-3.2
116.0
Offensive rating
107.9
101.0
Defensive rating
111.1
53.3%
Effective FG%
53.7%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
18.7%
Turnover %
19.8%
38.2%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.5%
3-point %
32.2%
60.4%
Assist %
77.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 107.9Defence101.0 · 111.1Shooting53.3% · 53.7%3-point %34.5% · 32.2%Ball care18.7% · 19.8%Off. rebounds38.2% · 32.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Paris   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Paris wins
3
Cholet wins
DateGameScore
18/05/24Cholet v Paris72-90
15/05/24Paris v Cholet81-91
24/04/24Paris v Cholet92-90 OT
12/11/23Cholet v Paris70-77
25/03/23Cholet v Paris63-79
29/10/22Paris v Cholet66-75
13/02/22Paris v Cholet90-102
16/10/21Cholet v Paris83-85
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/24ACholet90-72
15/05/24HCholet81-91
11/05/24ALe Portel80-66
04/05/24HRoanne90-61
30/04/24AChalon/Saone84-73
28/04/24HJL Bourg84-80
24/04/24HCholet92-90 OT
21/04/24ALyon-Villeurbanne86-66
12/04/24AJL Bourg89-81
09/04/24HJL Bourg77-64
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/24HParis72-90
15/05/24AParis91-81
11/05/24HChalon/Saone84-77
05/05/24AMonaco79-66
30/04/24HDijon79-88
24/04/24AParis90-92 OT
20/04/24HAda Blois71-80
14/04/24ARoanne69-82
06/04/24HGravelines-Dunkerque72-84
30/03/24ANancy85-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWWW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %78%83%72%
Points / game86.890.682.9
Allowed / game74.876.273.4
Point differential+11.9+14.4+9.4
Avg total161.6166.8156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%56%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Cholet
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLLLWL44%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %50%44%56%
Points / game79.879.280.4
Allowed / game80.180.479.7
Point differential-0.3-1.3+0.7
Avg total159.9159.6160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%11%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (15)80% (5)50% (10)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco3631586%86.174.5+11.6
2 Paris3628878%86.874.8+11.9
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne3627975%84.777.4+7.3
4 JL Bourg37271073%84.976.0+8.9
5 Nanterre37211657%83.283.8-0.6
6 Cholet36181850%79.880.1-0.3
7 Saint Quentin36171947%76.575.8+0.7
8 Le Portel36171947%79.984.7-4.8
9 Dijon34161847%78.174.9+3.2
10 Limoges34161847%78.481.1-2.6
11 Nancy34161847%79.183.2-4.1
12 Le Mans34151944%80.982.4-1.6
13 Strasbourg34151944%77.779.7-1.9
14 Chalon/Saone34142041%81.084.3-3.3
15 Gravelines-Dunkerque34122235%74.577.1-2.6
16 Ada Blois34112332%80.585.4-4.9
17 Roanne34102429%80.987.3-6.4
18 Boulogne-Levallois3443012%78.691.4-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris1916152474
Cholet1710142162
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