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Paris vs Cholet Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 10 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#9
Record4-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game86.0
FranceLNBRound 26· Adidas Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Paris v Cholet
10 Apr 2027
PRS v CHO
upcoming
04 Jun 2026
PRS100
CHO77
02 Jun 2026
PRS89
CHO90
21 Dec 2025
PRS107
CHO84
26 Jan 2025
PRS90
CHO77
21 May 2024
PRS74
CHO62
15 May 2024
PRS81
CHO91
24 Apr 2024
PRS92
CHO90
29 Oct 2022
PRS66
CHO75
13 Feb 2022
PRS90
CHO102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
84avg 85
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
W
96-75
96
75
+21
96avg 85
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#9
W
99-93
99
93
+6
88avg 85
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
99-94
99
94
+5
97avg 85
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
116-112 OT
116
112
+4
no box
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#13
W
107-77
107
77
+30
no box
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
no box
H11/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#12
W
97-82
97
82
+15
no box
A14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
28-25
16-26
23-21
18-16
22-27
24-23
32-9
23-25
31-22
19-25
26-21
25-17
10-19
30-29
34-29
21-26
36-32
24-23
23-23
19-28
22-15
20-15
18-21
23-26
19-10
24-34
29-20
25-24
32-22
22-19
28-12
23-14
27-29
22-29
20-20
24-17
23-22
34-25
16-18
193.3Avg total
100.3Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)97.285.9183.1+11.389%
Season at home (4)102.887.0189.8+15.8100%
Season away (5)92.885.0177.8+7.880%
Last 10 (10)100.393.0193.3+7.380%
Last 5 (5)100.090.4190.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.394.0180.3-7.733%
vs Similar (11)95.696.1191.7-0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.082.5176.5+11.585%
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
73avg 78
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#20
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 78
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
76avg 78
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#5
L
69-86
69
86
-17
55avg 78
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
56avg 78
H28/10
Champions League
Strasbourg
#8
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 78
A31/10
LNB
Paris
#1
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
no box
H03/11
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
no box
H07/11
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
A10/11
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#15
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
A14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
22-16
22-25
19-21
16-21
21-11
22-17
25-17
23-25
27-16
16-27
11-18
17-23
17-21
17-22
18-20
11-14
18-15
20-26
16-14
14-23
19-21
28-32
21-12
28-19
15-22
15-20
21-18
19-23
14-27
17-31
21-16
18-23
17-17
28-21
10-14
21-12
14-20
31-20
15-23
159.2Avg total
78.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.086.0167.0-5.044%
Season at home (5)82.489.8172.2-7.440%
Season away (4)79.281.2160.5-2.050%
Last 10 (10)78.181.1159.2-3.040%
Last 5 (5)80.285.0165.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)81.988.1170.1-6.233%
vs Similar (10)84.478.5162.9+5.960%
vs Weaker (5)91.872.4164.2+19.4100%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
ParisCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#9
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#13
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H11/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#12
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/11
LNB
92.5Avg total
47.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.345.290.5+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.447.696.0+0.831%-
Last 30 away (14)41.842.484.2-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)47.744.892.5+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.441.488.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.045.087.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (11)45.248.493.5-3.227%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.942.689.5+4.354%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#20
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H28/10
Champions League
Strasbourg
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A31/10
LNB
Paris
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H03/11
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H07/11
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/11
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#15
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A14/11
LNB
75.9Avg total
37.3Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.784.4+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.341.986.2+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.041.682.6-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)37.338.675.9-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.477.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)42.845.087.8-2.247%-
vs Similar (10)40.739.179.8+1.650%-
vs Weaker (5)46.237.283.4+9.080%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.621.6
60.7%
55.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.5
36.7%
34.3%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
74.2%14.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.6
51.1%
55.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.2
31.1%
34.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws25.220.2
80.2%
74.2%20.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WWWWLWWWWL
Cholet
WLLWLLLLWW
#1
League position
#9
+4.0
Net rating
+0.0
103.4
Offensive rating
91.7
99.4
Defensive rating
91.7
57.9%
Effective FG%
49.2%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
14.7%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.40
36.7%
3-point %
31.1%
59.2%
Assist %
70.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 91.7Defence99.4 · 91.7Shooting57.9% · 49.2%3-point %36.7% · 31.1%Ball care14.7% · 17.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Paris   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Paris wins
3
Cholet wins
DateGameScore
03/11/26Cholet v Paris94-90 OT
09/06/26Cholet v Paris91-94
07/06/26Cholet v Paris86-95
04/06/26Paris v Cholet100-77
02/06/26Paris v Cholet89-90
19/04/26Cholet v Paris93-99
21/12/25Paris v Cholet107-84
26/01/25Paris v Cholet90-77
26/10/24Cholet v Paris90-80
21/05/24Paris v Cholet74-62
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALimoges97-82
11/11/26HFenerbahce111-109 OT
08/11/26HJL Bourg107-77
05/11/26AAnadolu Efes95-90
03/11/26ACholet90-94 OT
01/11/26HChalon/Saone116-112 OT
29/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-94
27/10/26ADubai99-93
25/10/26ARoanne96-75
23/10/26HValencia93-104
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASaint Quentin81-75
10/11/26ASpartak Subotica73-75
07/11/26HDijon71-97
03/11/26HParis94-90 OT
31/10/26AStrasbourg82-88
28/10/26HSpartak Subotica65-69
24/10/26ANanterre69-86
17/10/26HChalon/Saone77-86
14/10/26HVechta84-66
10/10/26HPau-Orthez85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game97.2102.892.8
Allowed / game85.987.085.0
Point differential+11.3+15.8+7.8
Avg total183.1189.8177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %22%25%20%
Cholet
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game81.082.479.2
Allowed / game86.089.881.2
Point differential-5.0-7.4-2.0
Avg total167.0172.2160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris98189%97.285.9+11.3
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone85362%93.683.8+9.9
7 Roanne85362%81.980.0+1.9
8 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-5.1
9 Cholet94544%81.086.0-5.0
10 Boulazac83538%80.185.4-5.2
11 Nancy72529%79.383.9-4.6
12 Limoges82625%85.990.0-4.1
13 JL Bourg82625%87.192.1-5.0
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-6.8
15 Saint Quentin92722%86.093.2-7.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque7070%76.789.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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