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Paris vs Cholet Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 107-84
29-23 26-25 24-15 28-21
Position#2
Record8-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game82.4
Paris 🏆
France
vs
Position#5
Record6-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game81.8
FranceLNBRound 12· Adidas Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Paris v Cholet
10 Apr 2027
PRS v CHO
upcoming
04 Jun 2026
PRS100
CHO77
02 Jun 2026
PRS89
CHO90
21 Dec 2025
PRS107
CHO84
26 Jan 2025
PRS90
CHO77
21 May 2024
PRS74
CHO62
15 May 2024
PRS81
CHO91
24 Apr 2024
PRS92
CHO90
29 Oct 2022
PRS66
CHO75
13 Feb 2022
PRS90
CHO102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
82avg 90
A21/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
89-90
89
90
-1
79avg 90
A25/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#1
L
103-109
103
109
-6
90avg 90
A02/12
French Cup
Monaco
#10
L
104-125
104
125
-21
85avg 90
A04/12
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#14
W
99-69
99
69
+30
95avg 90
H07/12
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
110-80
110
80
+30
107avg 90
H09/12
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
105-108
105
108
-3
95avg 90
H11/12
Euroleague
Nancy
#10
L
90-97
90
97
-7
82avg 90
A13/12
LNB
Barcelona
#8
L
69-85
69
85
-16
56avg 90
H16/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
90-95
90
95
-5
80avg 90
A18/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
20-37
20-17
17-23
32-17
13-29
21-13
23-31
25-33
33-32
16-15
29-29
29-35
17-23
24-33
34-34
36-20
12-19
21-17
30-13
21-15
32-23
24-16
33-26
29-28
27-20
17-32
32-28
26-22
15-25
24-31
25-19
13-30
16-22
23-16
17-17
21-24
29-25
24-21
16-25
190.1Avg total
94.5Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)99.582.4181.9+17.273%
Season at home (5)103.086.6189.6+16.480%
Season away (6)96.778.8175.5+17.867%
Last 10 (10)94.595.6190.1-1.120%
Last 5 (5)92.893.0185.8-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)90.296.6186.8-6.420%
vs Similar (13)88.592.8181.4-4.323%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)100.280.9181.1+19.382%
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
73avg 87
H01/11
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#36
W
94-92 OT
94
92
+2
83avg 87
A04/11
Champions League
Nancy
#10
L
87-91
87
91
-4
82avg 87
A07/11
LNB
Nanterre
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
71avg 87
H14/11
LNB
Bursaspor
#35
W
109-77
109
77
+32
105avg 87
H19/11
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#14
L
68-77
68
77
-9
57avg 87
A22/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
85-93
85
93
-8
78avg 87
A03/12
French Cup
Limoges
#13
W
91-88
91
88
+3
84avg 87
H06/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
52avg 87
A14/12
LNB
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
80avg 87
H17/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
28-17
19-21
13-22
22-15
25-19
24-26
13-24
21-29
22-19
20-23
24-20
25-18
22-14
13-29
16-17
34-20
30-20
22-26
23-11
16-24
10-10
20-22
22-21
20-26
23-21
17-29
25-17
27-22
19-27
20-15
25-24
26-22
20-25
25-21
16-17
14-28
28-16
22-20
23-25
171.8Avg total
86.4Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.481.8166.2+2.555%
Season at home (6)88.280.7168.8+7.567%
Season away (5)79.883.2163.0-3.440%
Last 10 (10)86.485.4171.8+1.040%
Last 5 (5)83.686.4170.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)82.388.3170.7-6.033%
vs Similar (12)80.686.9167.5-6.333%
vs Weaker (14)88.183.5171.6+4.664%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
ParisCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A21/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A25/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#1
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A02/12
French Cup
Monaco
#10
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A04/12
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#14
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H07/12
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H09/12
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H11/12
Euroleague
Nancy
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A13/12
LNB
Barcelona
#8
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H16/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A18/12
Euroleague
97.5Avg total
47.5Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.546.493.0+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.647.893.4-2.243%-
Last 30 away (16)47.445.292.6+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)47.550.097.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.846.892.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)49.248.898.0+0.460%-
vs Similar (13)42.248.190.2-5.923%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)49.541.791.2+7.773%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H01/11
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#36
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A04/11
Champions League
Nancy
#10
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A07/11
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H14/11
LNB
Bursaspor
#35
W
64-40
64
40
+24
H19/11
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#14
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A22/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A03/12
French Cup
Limoges
#13
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H06/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A14/12
LNB
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H17/12
Champions League
86.8Avg total
45.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.784.8-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.141.485.5+2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)40.443.884.2-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)45.241.686.8+3.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.644.284.8-3.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.048.089.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (12)40.243.583.7-3.342%-
vs Weaker (14)43.940.684.5+3.457%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 93.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
46%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.0
50.6%
54.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.413.4
40.1%
34.2%40.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.6
74.3%
75.1%13.6
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
46%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.2
50.2%
54.8%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.3
37.3%
34.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws24.918.2
73.1%
75.1%18.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
LLLLWWLLLL
Cholet
LWWLLWLLWL
#2
League position
#5
-1.3
Net rating
+2.4
117.5
Offensive rating
109.0
118.7
Defensive rating
106.7
55.0%
Effective FG%
52.5%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.5%
38.3%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.38
40.1%
3-point %
37.3%
54.2%
Assist %
65.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 109.0Defence118.7 · 106.7Shooting55.0% · 52.5%3-point %40.1% · 37.3%Ball care17.6% · 18.5%Off. rebounds38.3% · 29.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Paris   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Paris wins
4
Cholet wins
DateGameScore
26/01/25Paris v Cholet90-77
26/10/24Cholet v Paris90-80
21/05/24Paris v Cholet74-62
18/05/24Cholet v Paris72-90
15/05/24Paris v Cholet81-91
24/04/24Paris v Cholet92-90 OT
12/11/23Cholet v Paris70-77
25/03/23Cholet v Paris63-79
29/10/22Paris v Cholet66-75
13/02/22Paris v Cholet90-102
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25AReal Madrid90-95
16/12/25HBarcelona69-85
13/12/25ANancy90-97
11/12/25HZalgiris Kaunas105-108
09/12/25HLe Portel110-80
07/12/25HSaint Quentin99-69
04/12/25AMonaco104-125
02/12/25AMonaco103-109
25/11/25ADubai89-90
21/11/25AOlympiacos86-98
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HJoventut Badalona87-89
14/12/25ALyon-Villeurbanne87-85
06/12/25HLimoges91-88
03/12/25AStrasbourg85-93
22/11/25ASaint Quentin68-77
19/11/25HBursaspor109-77
14/11/25HNanterre76-78
07/11/25ANancy87-91
04/11/25AHapoel Holon94-92 OT
01/11/25HLe Mans80-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game99.5103.096.7
Allowed / game82.486.678.8
Point differential+17.2+16.4+17.8
Avg total181.9189.6175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%60%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cholet
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW55%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game84.488.279.8
Allowed / game81.880.783.2
Point differential+2.5+7.5-3.4
Avg total166.2168.8163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1210283%94.786.5+8.2
2 Lyon-Villeurbanne129375%89.578.1+11.4
3 Paris118373%99.582.4+17.2
4 Nanterre128467%86.481.5+4.9
5 JL Bourg128467%87.683.2+4.3
6 Strasbourg128467%82.081.5+0.5
7 Le Mans127558%85.284.1+1.2
8 Chalon/Saone127558%83.985.6-1.7
9 Cholet116555%84.481.8+2.5
10 Nancy126650%86.387.3-1.0
11 Dijon125742%85.985.9+0.0
12 Boulazac124833%80.383.2-2.9
13 Limoges124833%82.688.4-5.8
14 Saint Quentin1221017%74.884.3-9.5
15 Gravelines-Dunkerque1221017%77.691.1-13.5
16 Le Portel121118%77.091.2-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris29262428107
Cholet2325152184
← all games of the day
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