Paris and Hapoel Tel-Aviv face off in the EuroLeague on 19 November 2026, a contest that feels almost evenly matched as the two sides have slipped past the mid-table with similar records. Paris has gone 5-6 in 11 games, averaging 91.0 points and conceding 94.1, while Hapoel Tel-Aviv sits 6-5, scoring 90.4 and allowing 87.2. Paris's home form is weaker, 2-4 at home with 92.5 points and 96.2 allowed, but the French club has won four of its last five outings, including a 111-109 win over Fenerbahce and a 107-77 triumph over JL Bourg. Hapoel Tel-Aviv's road record is 2-3, with 82.0 points and 86.2 allowed, and they have won two of their last five, notably a 78-71 home victory over Bnei Herzliya. In head-to-head history, Hapoel Tel-Aviv leads 4-2, most recently defeating Paris 93-82 on 17 March 2026. Pythia rates Paris as the slight favourite with a 52% chance of winning versus 48% for Hapoel Tel-Aviv, projecting a 91-90 scoreline and 181.6 total points. The home team line is 4.5, with a 66% probability of covering, while the over/under at 181.5 has a 49% chance of exceeding, and a 6% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Paris can extend its recent winning streak or if Hapoel Tel-Aviv can replicate the decisive March victory.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Paris win
52.1%fair 1.92
Best odds2.63
Implied36.8%
Edge+15.3pp
Hapoel Tel-Aviv win
47.9%fair 2.09
Best odds1.52
Implied63.2%
Edge-15.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:33 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Paris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Total points distribution
Pythia expects about 182 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%). The market's main line is 181.5.
Over/Under 176.5
Over 176.5
61.0%
@ 1.46-1.2pp
Under 176.5
39.0%
@ 2.40+1.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.46
Under
1xBet
2.40
Over/Under 181.5 · main line
Over 181.5
49.0%
@ 1.94-0.7pp
Under 181.5
51.0%
@ 1.92+0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.85
Under
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.83
Over/Under 186.5
Over 186.5
37.2%
@ 2.40-0.6pp
Under 186.5
62.8%
@ 1.46+0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.46
📊 3. Team Totals
Paris total 84.5
Over 84.5
73.4%
Under 84.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris total 88.5 · main line
Over 88.5
59.4%
@ 1.81+9.4pp
Under 88.5
40.6%
@ 1.81-9.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Paris total 92.5
Over 92.5
44.2%
Under 92.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel-Aviv total 88.5
Over 88.5
57.2%
Under 88.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel-Aviv total 92.5 · main line
Over 92.5
41.6%
@ 1.75-9.9pp
Under 92.5
58.4%
@ 1.86+9.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.75
Under
1xBet
1.86
Hapoel Tel-Aviv total 96.5
Over 96.5
27.4%
Under 96.5
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Winning margin distribution
Margin from Paris's side (positive = Paris win). Pythia's expected margin is +0.6; Paris win by 1+ in 46% of simulations.
Spread Paris +1.5
PRS +1.5
55.0%
@ 2.21+13.9pp
HTA -1.5
45.0%
@ 1.54-13.9pp
Best 5 market prices
PRS
1xBet
2.21
HTA
1xBet
1.54
Spread Paris +4.5 · main line
PRS +4.5
66.2%
@ 1.92+15.9pp
HTA -4.5
33.8%
@ 1.94-15.9pp
Best 5 market prices
PRS
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.83
HTA
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.85
Spread Paris +7.5
PRS +7.5
75.8%
@ 1.54+16.9pp
HTA -7.5
24.2%
@ 2.21-16.9pp
Best 5 market prices
PRS
1xBet
1.54
HTA
1xBet
2.21
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
ParisHapoel Tel-Aviv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Paris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 2nd half markets priced for this game yet.
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Paris: 91.0 points a game allowed
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
39.2
21.9
55.9%
55.2%
43.8
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
29.8
10.9
36.6%
35.7%
32.7
🏀Free throws
20.5
14.5
70.7%
77.1%
14.5
Their opponents take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of those shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Hapoel Tel-Avivtheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Hapoel Tel-Aviv: 83.9 points a game allowed
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
41.9
22.2
53.0%
55.2%
44.4
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
24.7
8.2
33.2%
35.7%
24.6
🏀Free throws
19.8
14.9
75.3%
77.1%
14.9
Their opponents take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of those shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Paris: 88.2 points a game allowed
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.3 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
39.4
21.1
53.6%
55.2%
42.3
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
27.3
9.5
34.7%
35.7%
28.4
🏀Free throws
23.7
17.5
74.0%
77.1%
17.5
Their opponents take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of those shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Hapoel Tel-Avivtheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Hapoel Tel-Aviv: 77.4 points a game allowed
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.5 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
34.0
19.2
56.5%
55.2%
38.5
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
25.2
8.8
34.7%
35.7%
26.3
🏀Free throws
16.3
12.6
77.7%
77.1%
12.6
Their opponents take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of those shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WWWLWWWWLW
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
WLLWLWLWWW
#14
League position
#10
+4.0
Net rating
+7.3
103.4
Offensive rating
105.2
99.4
Defensive rating
97.8
57.9%
Effective FG%
58.2%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
14.7%
Turnover %
12.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.7%
3-point %
40.6%
59.2%
Assist %
51.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%
Profile
■ Paris■ Hapoel Tel-Aviv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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