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Parnu vs Brno Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 69-81
19-19 19-20 13-23 18-19
Position#40
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game83.0
Parnu
vs
Brno 🏆
Position#28
Record1-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game75.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Final· Parnu Spordihall
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brno winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#1
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 70
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
78-103
78
103
-25
62avg 70
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
84-98
84
98
-14
74avg 70
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
79-102
79
102
-23
64avg 70
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#4
L
66-87
66
87
-21
53avg 70
A16/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 70
H19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
69-100
69
100
-31
54avg 70
A23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
W
92-82
92
82
+10
86avg 70
H26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
69-95
69
95
-26
55avg 70
A29/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Brno
#28
L
75-83
75
83
-8
51avg 70
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-32
19-24
24-17
23-23
21-27
23-20
15-27
19-29
23-27
11-24
25-29
25-18
17-27
20-25
25-18
17-32
14-23
19-22
21-22
12-20
16-25
24-20
18-14
24-16
23-23
16-21
12-20
18-36
13-19
33-23
24-21
22-19
17-23
16-25
19-26
17-21
8-16
16-25
26-20
25-22
169.8Avg total
77.7Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)77.792.1169.8-14.420%
Last 5 (5)77.487.0164.4-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)77.190.7167.8-13.620%
vs Similar ◀ (3)82.076.0158.0+6.067%
vs Weaker (7)87.180.4167.6+6.771%
This opponent (Brno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrnoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrno
Date
Competition
Decin
#6
L
67-103
67
103
-36
54avg 74
A07/05
NBL
Decin
#6
W
102-100
102
100
+2
107avg 74
H10/05
NBL
Decin
#6
L
55-82
55
82
-27
37avg 74
A13/05
NBL
Decin
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
73avg 74
H15/05
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
69-97
69
97
-28
66avg 74
A20/05
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
73-110
73
110
-37
65avg 74
A21/05
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
77-112
77
112
-35
68avg 74
H25/05
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
69-89
69
89
-20
67avg 74
H26/05
NBL
Parnu
#40
W
83-75
83
75
+8
58avg 74
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Usti n. Labem
#4
W
87-64
87
64
+23
81avg 74
A28/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-33
19-29
19-19
11-22
32-24
28-29
24-25
18-22
12-18
7-16
17-26
19-22
19-29
27-19
18-18
19-13
19-29
17-23
15-23
18-22
24-27
15-29
13-25
21-29
19-16
16-38
18-36
24-22
16-21
15-24
15-29
23-15
16-8
25-16
20-26
22-25
16-23
19-12
21-14
31-15
167.6Avg total
76.5Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.075.0158.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)83.075.0158.0+8.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.591.1167.6-14.640%
Last 5 (5)77.890.0167.8-12.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.392.4170.7-14.129%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.679.9160.5+0.857%
vs Weaker (2)89.068.0157.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
ParnuBrno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#1
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A16/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A23/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A29/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Brno
#28
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
83.7Avg total
36.6Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.043.881.8-5.823%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.442.579.9-5.223%-
Last 30 away (17)38.544.783.2-6.224%-
Last 10 (10)36.647.183.7-10.510%-
Last 5 (5)36.444.080.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.046.283.2-9.215%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)35.041.376.3-6.333%-
vs Weaker (7)42.037.979.9+4.143%-
This opponent (Brno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Decin
#6
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A07/05
NBL
Decin
#6
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H10/05
NBL
Decin
#6
L
19-34
19
34
-15
A13/05
NBL
Decin
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H15/05
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A20/05
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A21/05
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H25/05
NBL
Nymburk
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H26/05
NBL
Parnu
#40
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Usti n. Labem
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A28/09
NBL
84.2Avg total
37.9Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.544.184.7-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.341.184.3+2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)37.847.285.0-9.47%-
Last 10 (10)37.946.384.2-8.420%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.879.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.148.789.8-7.621%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.140.679.6-1.536%-
vs Weaker (2)47.037.084.0+10.050%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.9
51.1%
52.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.1
28.3%
34.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.315.1
67.7%
73.4%15.1
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brno: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.7
50.3%
52.0%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.8
30.4%
34.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws27.116.7
61.6%
73.4%16.7
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LLWLWLLLLL
Brno
WWLLLLWLWL
#40
League position
#28
-18.9
Net rating
-19.0
100.4
Offensive rating
95.5
119.2
Defensive rating
114.5
47.3%
Effective FG%
48.3%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
15.1%
Turnover %
22.5%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.44
28.3%
3-point %
30.4%
58.9%
Assist %
72.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 95.5Defence119.2 · 114.5Shooting47.3% · 48.3%3-point %28.3% · 30.4%Ball care15.1% · 22.5%Off. rebounds25.1% · 29.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Parnu   ■ Brno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Parnu wins
1
Brno wins
DateGameScore
24/09/25Brno v Parnu83-75
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/25ABrno75-83
29/04/25ARapla69-95
26/04/25HRapla92-82
23/04/25ARapla69-100
19/04/25HRapla82-75
16/04/25ARapla66-87
15/03/25AValmiera Glass Via79-102
11/03/25ABK Liepaja84-98
08/03/25ABC Kalev/Cramo78-103
01/03/25HVEF Riga83-96
Brnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25AUsti n. Labem87-64
24/09/25HParnu83-75
26/05/25HNymburk69-89
25/05/25HNymburk77-112
21/05/25ANymburk73-110
20/05/25ANymburk69-97
15/05/25HDecin83-79
13/05/25ADecin55-82
10/05/25HDecin102-100
07/05/25ADecin67-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game75.0-75.0
Allowed / game83.0-83.0
Point differential-8.0--8.0
Avg total158.0-158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Brno
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.083.0-
Allowed / game75.075.0-
Point differential+8.0+8.0-
Avg total158.0158.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Bosna110100%82.057.0+25.0
2 Corona Brasov220100%89.066.5+22.5
3 Absheron Lions110100%89.073.0+16.0
4 Vechta110100%79.063.0+16.0
5 Brno110100%83.075.0+8.0
6 Cibona110100%91.083.0+8.0
7 Bashkimi110100%80.075.0+5.0
8 Anwil Wloclawek1010%75.080.0-5.0
9 BC Prievidza1010%83.091.0-8.0
10 Parnu1010%75.083.0-8.0
11 Anorthosis1010%73.089.0-16.0
12 Balkan1010%63.079.0-16.0
13 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
14 Mechelen1010%57.082.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu1919131869
Brno1920231981
← all games of the day
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