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Parnu vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 83-96
17-32 19-24 24-17 23-23
Position#11
Record11-13
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#1
Record20-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game67.4
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall
Other2024
Meetings · Parnu v VEF Riga
13 Mar 2027
PAR v VRI
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
PAR62
VRI72
01 Mar 2025
PAR83
VRI96
13 Jan 2024
PAR78
VRI88
05 Nov 2022
PAR63
VRI71
20 Nov 2021
PAR77
VRI80
08 Nov 2018
PAR72
VRI76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#14
W
98-68
98
68
+30
96avg 69
A28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
80-70
80
70
+10
71avg 69
A05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
98-96
98
96
+2
90avg 69
A10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
77avg 69
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
77-74
77
74
+3
64avg 69
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
97-80
97
80
+17
93avg 69
A22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
91-82
91
82
+9
98avg 69
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
100-90
100
90
+10
92avg 69
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
76-113
76
113
-37
65avg 69
A08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
57-92
57
92
-35
37avg 69
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
24-11
17-19
28-17
16-28
20-15
21-16
23-11
23-30
27-22
19-22
29-22
23-27
26-25
24-15
14-23
19-20
19-25
22-16
17-13
14-20
26-16
26-22
31-22
27-6
29-27
16-25
19-24
20-23
21-26
30-17
29-24
15-24
15-30
17-28
29-31
17-19
11-23
10-23
19-27
171.6Avg total
86.1Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.282.8164.0-1.546%
Season at home (13)76.281.5157.6-5.338%
Season away (11)87.284.3171.5+2.955%
Last 10 (10)86.185.5171.6+0.670%
Last 5 (5)84.291.4175.6-7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)75.085.2160.1-10.220%
vs Similar (2)85.572.5158.0+13.0100%
vs Weaker (8)85.977.0162.9+8.975%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Jelgava
#8
W
101-51
101
51
+50
98avg 76
A10/01
Latvian Cup
Jelgava
#8
W
79-65
79
65
+14
70avg 76
H19/01
Latvian Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
93-67
93
67
+26
92avg 76
A25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
77-67
77
67
+10
no box
A29/01
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
92-73
92
73
+19
88avg 76
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
73-65
73
65
+8
66avg 76
H04/02
Latvian Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
78-59
78
59
+19
75avg 76
A08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
80-59
80
59
+21
76avg 76
H12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
87avg 76
H15/02
Latvian Cup
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
89-80
89
80
+9
84avg 76
A28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
24-20
22-12
32-4
21-14
17-21
22-13
19-17
19-16
27-18
23-18
24-15
23-21
21-13
16-17
17-16
18-27
26-21
31-12
17-13
22-17
16-16
16-21
19-11
32-10
13-16
18-23
15-10
21-17
14-14
23-14
22-14
35-20
25-27
18-15
18-19
30-28
21-17
21-11
17-24
152.5Avg total
85.8Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.867.4150.2+15.591%
Season at home (12)81.562.9144.4+18.6100%
Season away (10)84.472.7157.1+11.780%
Last 10 (10)85.866.7152.5+19.1100%
Last 5 (5)83.268.8152.0+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.580.0149.5-10.50%
vs Similar (4)79.877.2157.0+2.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)83.866.8150.7+17.096%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +5.7+5.7
ParnuVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#14
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
85.9Avg total
42.1Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.141.578.6-4.423%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.040.176.1-4.119%-
Last 30 away (14)38.443.181.6-4.729%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.885.9-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.881.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.044.079.0-8.910%-
vs Similar (2)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (8)41.535.476.9+6.150%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jelgava
#8
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A10/01
Latvian Cup
Jelgava
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H19/01
Latvian Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A29/01
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H04/02
Latvian Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H12/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#2
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H15/02
Latvian Cup
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
81.6Avg total
44.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.135.877.8+6.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.434.877.2+7.571%-
Last 30 away (13)41.737.078.7+4.762%-
Last 10 (10)44.836.881.6+8.090%-
Last 5 (5)45.836.482.2+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.540.074.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (4)36.539.576.0-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.534.878.3+8.778%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.6
50.4%
51.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.7
35.5%
32.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.516.8
74.7%
70.6%16.8
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.1
51.3%
51.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.0
35.9%
32.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.713.9
70.6%
70.6%13.9
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LLWWWWLWWW
VEF Riga
WWWWWWWWWW
#11
League position
#1
+0.8
Net rating
+17.1
110.1
Offensive rating
113.9
109.3
Defensive rating
96.8
51.6%
Effective FG%
52.5%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.9%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.5%
3-point %
35.9%
59.7%
Assist %
68.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 113.9Defence109.3 · 96.8Shooting51.6% · 52.5%3-point %35.5% · 35.9%Ball care15.2% · 15.9%Off. rebounds28.1% · 34.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ Parnu   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Parnu wins
8
VEF Riga wins
DateGameScore
02/11/24VEF Riga v Parnu75-70
13/01/24Parnu v VEF Riga78-88
11/10/23VEF Riga v Parnu80-64
14/01/23VEF Riga v Parnu85-41
05/11/22Parnu v VEF Riga63-71
20/11/21Parnu v VEF Riga77-80
16/10/21VEF Riga v Parnu92-95
26/12/18VEF Riga v Parnu91-56
08/11/18Parnu v VEF Riga72-76
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25HBK Ogre57-92
08/02/25ARapla76-113
01/02/25HVentspils100-90
25/01/25HKeila KK91-82
22/01/25ALatvijas Universitate97-80
17/01/25HTal Tech77-74
14/01/25HTartu Ulikool87-90
10/01/25AKeila Coolbet98-96
05/01/25AViimsi80-70
28/12/24AKeila KK98-68
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25AKeila Coolbet89-80
15/02/25HVentspils96-81
12/02/25HRigas Zelli80-59
08/02/25ALatvijas Universitate78-59
04/02/25HRigas Zelli73-65
31/01/25HValmiera Glass Via92-73
29/01/25ARigas Zelli77-67
25/01/25ATartu Ulikool93-67
19/01/25HJelgava79-65
10/01/25AJelgava101-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL46%
HomeLWWWL38%
AwayWWWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %46%38%55%
Points / game81.276.287.2
Allowed / game82.881.584.3
Point differential-1.5-5.3+2.9
Avg total164.0157.6171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%15%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %91%100%80%
Points / game82.881.584.4
Allowed / game67.462.972.7
Point differential+15.5+18.6+11.7
Avg total150.2144.4157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%67%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga2220291%82.867.4+15.5
2 BC Kalev/Cramo2319483%87.073.5+13.6
3 Rigas Zelli2519676%83.069.4+13.6
4 Tartu Ulikool2416867%82.780.1+2.6
5 BK Ogre2415962%81.576.6+4.9
6 Valmiera Glass Via25151060%82.076.8+5.2
7 Ventspils23121152%89.385.4+3.9
8 BK Liepaja24121250%82.382.0+0.3
9 Rapla24121250%82.882.7+0.1
10 Parnu24111346%81.282.8-1.5
11 Tal Tech24101442%79.583.5-4.0
12 Keila Coolbet2471729%78.085.0-7.1
13 Viimsi2351822%71.085.2-14.2
14 Keila KK2332013%72.790.1-17.3
15 Latvijas Universitate242228%69.484.9-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu1719242383
VEF Riga3224172396
← all games of the day
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