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Parnu vs Prometey Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 49-80
16-17 8-20 8-20 17-23
Position#8
Record5-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#2
Record6-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game71.6
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall (Parnu)
Other2023
Meetings · Parnu v Prometey
18 Nov 2023
PAR49
PRM80
22 Oct 2022
PAR71
PRM77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prometey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#9
W
77-75
77
75
+2
78avg 67
A23/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
83-66
83
66
+17
80avg 67
H27/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tindastoll
#19
L
62-69
62
69
-7
56avg 67
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#25
L
67-77
67
77
-10
56avg 67
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#3
L
64-80
64
80
-16
59avg 67
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
68-70
68
70
-2
56avg 67
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
77-56
77
56
+21
79avg 67
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
79-63
79
63
+16
81avg 67
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
59avg 67
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
75avg 67
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
14-22
19-21
19-15
22-15
21-20
22-9
18-22
19-13
16-13
14-19
13-24
15-11
20-21
19-26
13-19
13-17
16-11
15-33
20-19
16-15
8-19
26-20
18-16
24-15
19-16
21-12
13-13
22-24
18-13
20-15
19-11
27-24
8-26
25-29
10-21
26-16
15-24
19-16
13-17
147.3Avg total
73.6Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.973.9149.8+2.062%
Season at home (4)75.074.8149.8+0.250%
Season away (4)76.873.0149.8+3.875%
Last 10 (10)73.673.7147.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)76.674.0150.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.684.6156.2-13.00%
vs Similar (19)77.777.6155.4+0.153%
vs Weaker (6)80.375.0155.3+5.350%
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrometeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrometey
Date
Competition
Rapla
#10
W
90-66
90
66
+24
90avg 82
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
London Lions
#5
L
87-99
87
99
-12
67avg 82
H18/10
Eurocup
BK Liepaja
#11
W
103-70
103
70
+33
104avg 82
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
90-83
90
83
+7
76avg 82
A25/10
Eurocup
VEF Riga
#3
W
70-66
70
66
+4
65avg 82
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Paris
#1
L
79-96
79
96
-17
63avg 82
H01/11
Eurocup
BK Ogre
#7
L
76-85
76
85
-9
63avg 82
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Wolves
#14
L
71-85
71
85
-14
67avg 82
A08/11
Eurocup
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
92-79
92
79
+13
92avg 82
H10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
98-89
98
89
+9
100avg 82
H14/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-8
22-18
21-25
19-15
30-19
15-29
20-25
22-26
26-15
28-17
27-21
22-17
18-26
29-19
25-20
18-18
28-19
12-8
12-18
18-21
22-17
19-31
19-27
19-21
18-29
24-15
19-25
15-16
24-24
17-16
16-28
14-17
16-18
26-22
21-20
29-19
29-26
19-23
27-18
23-22
167.4Avg total
85.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.471.6161.0+17.986%
Season at home (6)89.571.2160.7+18.383%
Season away (1)89.074.0163.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.681.8167.4+3.860%
Last 5 (5)83.286.8170.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.592.5181.0-4.050%
vs Similar (4)81.085.8166.8-4.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)88.274.0162.2+14.288%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
ParnuPrometey
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A23/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tindastoll
#19
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#25
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#3
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
71.6Avg total
36.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.937.375.2+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.339.976.2-3.646%-
Last 30 away (17)39.135.274.4+3.965%-
Last 10 (10)36.435.271.6+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.475.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.038.671.6-5.640%-
vs Similar (19)38.837.576.3+1.453%-
vs Weaker (6)39.035.574.5+3.583%-
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrometeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#10
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
London Lions
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H18/10
Eurocup
BK Liepaja
#11
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A25/10
Eurocup
VEF Riga
#3
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H29/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Paris
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H01/11
Eurocup
BK Ogre
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Wolves
#14
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/11
Eurocup
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H14/11
Eurocup
84.9Avg total
45.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.338.182.4+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (20)45.537.282.7+8.270%-
Last 30 away (10)42.039.881.8+2.270%-
Last 10 (10)45.039.984.9+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.287.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.548.593.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (4)40.844.585.2-3.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.936.281.0+8.783%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.8
54.5%
50.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.7
31.0%
32.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws17.111.3
66.1%
70.5%11.3
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prometeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prometey: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.7
53.2%
50.5%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.0
33.9%
32.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.212.0
62.5%
70.5%12.0
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
WLWWLLLLWW
Prometey
WWLLLWWWLW
#8
League position
#2
+0.4
Net rating
+6.3
98.2
Offensive rating
111.9
97.8
Defensive rating
105.6
51.6%
Effective FG%
52.2%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
20.5%
Turnover %
15.9%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
36.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.0%
3-point %
33.9%
58.5%
Assist %
59.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 111.9Defence97.8 · 105.6Shooting51.6% · 52.2%3-point %31.0% · 33.9%Ball care20.5% · 15.9%Off. rebounds23.9% · 36.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Parnu   ■ Prometey
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Parnu wins
2
Prometey wins
DateGameScore
28/01/23Prometey v Parnu94-59
22/10/22Parnu v Prometey71-77
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23ARapla89-81 OT
04/11/23HBC Kalev/Cramo70-100
28/10/23HViimsi79-63
21/10/23ALatvijas Universitate77-56
14/10/23HValmiera Glass Via68-70
11/10/23AVEF Riga64-80
05/10/23ATrepca67-77
03/10/23HTindastoll62-69
27/09/23HKeila KK83-66
23/09/23ATal Tech77-75
Prometeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/23HHapoel Tel-Aviv98-89
10/11/23HRigas Zelli92-79
08/11/23ABC Wolves71-85
04/11/23HBK Ogre76-85
01/11/23HParis79-96
29/10/23HVEF Riga70-66
25/10/23ACedevita Olimpija90-83
21/10/23HBK Liepaja103-70
18/10/23HLondon Lions87-99
14/10/23HRapla90-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game75.975.076.8
Allowed / game73.974.873.0
Point differential+2.0+0.2+3.8
Avg total149.8149.8149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Prometey
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %86%83%100%
Points / game89.489.589.0
Allowed / game71.671.274.0
Point differential+17.9+18.3+15.0
Avg total161.0160.7163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo880100%94.265.5+28.8
2 Prometey76186%89.471.6+17.9
3 Rigas Zelli97278%79.265.6+13.7
4 VEF Riga107370%84.869.7+15.1
5 Tartu Ulikool107370%79.470.1+9.3
6 Tal Tech96367%81.078.6+2.4
7 Parnu85362%75.973.9+2.0
8 Ventspils95456%90.386.0+4.3
9 BK Liepaja95456%83.683.2+0.3
10 BK Ogre116555%78.076.5+1.5
11 Keila KK105550%80.080.2-0.2
12 Rapla123925%74.278.4-4.2
13 Tallinna Kalev92722%65.281.7-16.4
14 Valmiera Glass Via102820%74.587.2-12.7
15 Latvijas Universitate1221017%67.885.2-17.4
16 Viimsi111109%63.989.5-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu16881749
Prometey1720202380
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