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Rapla vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 81-89 (OT)
16-26 24-15 16-19 17-13 8-16
Position#10
Record3-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Parnu 🏆
Position#8
Record4-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game72.9
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sadolin Spordihoone (Rapla)
Other2023
Meetings · Rapla v Parnu
29 Apr 2025
RAPL95
PAR69
23 Apr 2025
RAPL100
PAR69
16 Apr 2025
RAPL87
PAR66
08 Feb 2025
RAPL113
PAR76
25 May 2024
RAPL82
PAR66
21 May 2024
RAPL55
PAR65
11 Nov 2023
RAPL81
PAR89
28 Apr 2023
RAPL65
PAR78
21 Apr 2023
RAPL72
PAR80
13 Apr 2023
RAPL95
PAR93
24 Jan 2023
RAPL73
PAR76
04 May 2022
RAPL76
PAR86
29 Apr 2022
RAPL80
PAR67
29 Jan 2022
RAPL107
PAR79
01 May 2021
RAPL72
PAR79
16 Mar 2021
RAPL64
PAR72
16 Jan 2021
RAPL88
PAR93
18 Oct 2020
RAPL79
PAR86
16 Apr 2019
RAPL82
PAR80
10 Apr 2019
RAPL60
PAR83
07 Feb 2019
RAPL94
PAR85
19 May 2018
RAPL90
PAR79
14 May 2018
RAPL84
PAR77
10 Apr 2018
RAPL73
PAR80
30 Dec 2017
RAPL74
PAR71
18 Mar 2017
RAPL93
PAR91
26 Nov 2016
RAPL75
PAR62
18 Oct 2016
RAPL85
PAR67
05 Apr 2016
RAPL77
PAR61
08 Dec 2015
RAPL78
PAR75
28 Nov 2015
RAPL83
PAR76
14 Mar 2015
RAPL80
PAR75
29 Nov 2014
RAPL92
PAR68
29 Mar 2014
RAPL66
PAR74
09 Nov 2013
RAPL86
PAR75
16 Feb 2013
RAPL81
PAR76
24 Nov 2012
RAPL54
PAR73
07 Jan 2012
RAPL101
PAR69
13 Dec 2011
RAPL93
PAR74
08 Jan 2011
RAPL75
PAR65
06 Oct 2010
RAPL82
PAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#16
L
72-78
72
78
-6
57avg 64
H22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
61avg 64
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
70avg 64
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
66-90
66
90
-24
55avg 64
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
71-63
71
63
+8
68avg 64
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
88-67
88
67
+21
92avg 64
A22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 64
A25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
55avg 64
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
65-72
65
72
-7
56avg 64
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
67avg 64
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-27
21-14
22-22
20-15
23-13
11-25
18-12
14-16
21-20
19-14
14-19
14-15
8-28
18-22
25-21
15-19
20-16
22-18
23-17
6-12
26-13
16-27
23-12
23-15
32-16
15-28
21-21
11-21
16-16
18-19
13-15
20-21
21-21
22-19
12-16
10-16
19-19
14-24
21-17
24-28
150.5Avg total
73.8Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.876.7150.5-2.930%
Season at home (3)70.070.7140.7-0.733%
Season away (7)75.479.3154.7-3.929%
Last 10 (10)73.876.7150.5-2.930%
Last 5 (5)75.476.8152.2-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.081.7155.7-7.722%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.179.6153.7-5.520%
vs Weaker (11)83.268.8152.0+14.482%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#4
W
91-69
91
69
+22
78avg 67
A26/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#9
W
77-75
77
75
+2
78avg 67
A23/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
83-66
83
66
+17
80avg 67
H27/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tindastoll
#19
L
62-69
62
69
-7
56avg 67
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#25
L
67-77
67
77
-10
56avg 67
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#3
L
64-80
64
80
-16
59avg 67
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
68-70
68
70
-2
56avg 67
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
77-56
77
56
+21
79avg 67
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
79-63
79
63
+16
81avg 67
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
59avg 67
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
26-13
26-17
20-15
25-17
14-22
19-21
19-15
22-15
21-20
22-9
18-22
19-13
16-13
14-19
13-24
15-11
20-21
19-26
13-19
13-17
16-11
15-33
20-19
16-15
8-19
26-20
18-16
24-15
19-16
21-12
13-13
22-24
18-13
20-15
19-11
27-24
8-26
25-29
10-21
146.3Avg total
73.8Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.072.9146.9+1.157%
Season at home (4)75.074.8149.8+0.250%
Season away (3)72.770.3143.0+2.367%
Last 10 (10)73.872.5146.3+1.350%
Last 5 (5)71.673.8145.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.684.6156.2-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)77.376.8154.1+0.553%
vs Weaker (6)80.375.0155.3+5.350%
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
RaplaParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#16
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A22/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
77.0Avg total
37.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.139.476.5-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.639.975.6-4.336%-
Last 30 away (16)38.339.077.3-0.756%-
Last 10 (10)37.139.977.0-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.480.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.041.174.1-8.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.941.778.6-4.840%-
vs Weaker (11)40.536.076.5+4.582%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A26/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A23/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tindastoll
#19
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#25
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#3
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
71.7Avg total
36.8Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.036.974.9+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.839.276.0-2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)39.034.973.9+4.162%-
Last 10 (10)36.834.971.7+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.070.2-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.038.671.6-5.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)38.936.975.9+2.053%-
vs Weaker (6)39.035.574.5+3.583%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.821.3
48.6%
50.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.8
28.9%
32.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws15.59.6
61.9%
70.5%9.6
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.7
54.2%
50.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.6
31.0%
32.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.011.8
65.6%
70.5%11.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
LLLLWWLLWL
Parnu
LWWLLLLWWW
#10
League position
#8
-5.0
Net rating
+2.0
95.4
Offensive rating
98.5
100.4
Defensive rating
96.5
46.8%
Effective FG%
51.4%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
19.4%
Turnover %
19.8%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.9%
3-point %
31.0%
62.6%
Assist %
56.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 98.5Defence100.4 · 96.5Shooting46.8% · 51.4%3-point %28.9% · 31.0%Ball care19.4% · 19.8%Off. rebounds30.2% · 23.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Rapla   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rapla wins
6
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
28/04/23Rapla v Parnu65-78
25/04/23Parnu v Rapla58-75
21/04/23Rapla v Parnu72-80
17/04/23Parnu v Rapla83-71
13/04/23Rapla v Parnu95-93 OT
24/01/23Rapla v Parnu73-76
26/11/22Parnu v Rapla66-81
04/05/22Rapla v Parnu76-86
02/05/22Parnu v Rapla97-81
29/04/22Rapla v Parnu80-67
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/23AVentspils78-88
02/11/23ABK Liepaja65-72
28/10/23HBC Kalev/Cramo67-71
25/10/23ATal Tech79-86
22/10/23AViimsi88-67
17/10/23HLatvijas Universitate71-63
14/10/23APrometey66-90
06/10/23AValmiera Glass Via75-77 OT
29/09/23ABK Ogre77-75 OT
22/09/23HTallinna Kalev72-78
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HBC Kalev/Cramo70-100
28/10/23HViimsi79-63
21/10/23ALatvijas Universitate77-56
14/10/23HValmiera Glass Via68-70
11/10/23AVEF Riga64-80
05/10/23ATrepca67-77
03/10/23HTindastoll62-69
27/09/23HKeila KK83-66
23/09/23ATal Tech77-75
26/05/23AViimsi91-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %30%33%29%
Points / game73.870.075.4
Allowed / game76.770.779.3
Point differential-2.9-0.7-3.9
Avg total150.5140.7154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %20%0%29%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game74.075.072.7
Allowed / game72.974.870.3
Point differential+1.1+0.2+2.3
Avg total146.9149.8143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo880100%94.265.5+28.8
2 Prometey76186%89.471.6+17.9
3 Rigas Zelli86275%78.166.4+11.8
4 Tartu Ulikool86275%78.970.0+8.9
5 Tal Tech96367%81.078.6+2.4
6 VEF Riga85362%84.868.5+16.2
7 BK Liepaja85362%84.283.0+1.2
8 Parnu74357%74.072.9+1.1
9 Ventspils95456%90.386.0+4.3
10 BK Ogre105550%77.077.1-0.1
11 Keila KK94544%80.081.0-1.0
12 Rapla103730%73.876.7-2.9
13 Tallinna Kalev92722%65.281.7-16.4
14 Valmiera Glass Via102820%74.587.2-12.7
15 Latvijas Universitate112918%68.584.9-16.4
16 Viimsi91811%63.489.6-26.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Rapla16241617881
Parnu261519131689
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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