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Parnu vs VEF Riga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record8-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall
Other2026
Meetings · Parnu v VEF Riga
13 Mar 2027
PAR v VRI
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
PAR62
VRI72
01 Mar 2025
PAR83
VRI96
13 Jan 2024
PAR78
VRI88
05 Nov 2022
PAR63
VRI71
20 Nov 2021
PAR77
VRI80
08 Nov 2018
PAR72
VRI76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#9
L
70-75
70
75
-5
60avg 67
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nancy
#4
L
61-84
61
84
-23
54avg 67
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
63avg 67
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Vienna Basket
#32
W
86-69
86
69
+17
80avg 67
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 67
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
L
80-82
80
82
-2
74avg 67
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
73avg 67
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Szczecin
#16
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#5
W
89-80
89
80
+9
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keravnos
#18
L
65-86
65
86
-21
no box
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
12-19
11-20
23-15
18-28
13-15
10-12
20-29
19-17
15-19
17-29
21-24
14-21
24-16
24-17
24-15
24-25
19-16
29-14
19-22
12-32
20-13
26-20
22-17
13-16
24-23
22-22
17-13
21-18
14-14
17-30
17-20
23-17
22-22
20-21
24-20
21-17
20-22
11-15
13-32
155.7Avg total
75.9Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.978.1157.0+0.757%
Season at home (5)80.475.8156.2+4.680%
Season away (2)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)75.979.8155.7-3.940%
Last 5 (5)75.880.8156.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.884.2157.0-11.413%
vs Similar (8)79.275.6154.9+3.650%
vs Weaker (7)84.675.0159.6+9.686%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Neftchi IK
#38
W
110-94
110
94
+16
117avg 84
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
84avg 84
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#15
L
84-92
84
92
-8
77avg 84
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 84
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Mykonos
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
83avg 84
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
69avg 84
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
97-65
97
65
+32
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Viimsi
#13
L
88-104
88
104
-16
no box
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
W
85-83
85
83
+2
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#5
W
96-85
96
85
+11
no box
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
26-30
30-16
30-22
17-19
19-15
29-17
24-21
23-20
17-20
22-25
22-27
22-16
20-17
27-27
28-29
26-20
21-20
25-18
16-33
34-25
17-15
9-18
14-28
26-14
27-14
21-22
23-15
25-27
14-18
26-30
23-29
20-24
22-28
22-17
21-14
26-26
22-19
21-13
27-27
176.9Avg total
90.8Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.276.0166.2+14.280%
Season at home (5)87.867.8155.6+20.080%
Season away (5)92.684.2176.8+8.480%
Last 10 (10)90.886.1176.9+4.760%
Last 5 (5)88.084.6172.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)86.689.6176.2-3.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.574.6164.0+14.981%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.7-1.7
ParnuVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nancy
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Vienna Basket
#32
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Szczecin
#16
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keravnos
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
76.3Avg total
37.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.978.0-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.438.978.3+0.568%-
Last 30 away (11)35.941.577.5-5.618%-
Last 10 (10)37.239.176.3-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.876.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.339.976.2-3.733%-
vs Similar (8)37.440.077.4-2.650%-
vs Weaker (7)43.039.682.6+3.486%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neftchi IK
#38
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Mykonos
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Viimsi
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#5
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
86.1Avg total
44.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.739.585.1+6.277%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.138.584.5+7.693%-
Last 30 away (15)45.340.585.7+4.860%-
Last 10 (10)44.841.386.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.088.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)43.539.883.2+3.888%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.339.085.3+7.471%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.121.8
50.6%
52.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.3
27.7%
31.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.110.2
67.5%
68.3%10.2
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.723.1
58.2%
52.5%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.8
31.5%
31.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws26.018.4
70.8%
68.3%18.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LWLWLWWLLL
VEF Riga
WWLWLLWLWW
#7
League position
#2
-2.4
Net rating
+14.5
86.7
Offensive rating
101.3
89.1
Defensive rating
86.9
47.1%
Effective FG%
53.7%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.2%
Turnover %
12.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.38
27.7%
3-point %
31.5%
70.8%
Assist %
77.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.7 · 101.3Defence89.1 · 86.9Shooting47.1% · 53.7%3-point %27.7% · 31.5%Ball care15.2% · 12.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Parnu   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Parnu wins
10
VEF Riga wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26VEF Riga v Parnu89-72
11/02/26Parnu v VEF Riga62-72
13/12/25VEF Riga v Parnu90-80
01/03/25Parnu v VEF Riga83-96
02/11/24VEF Riga v Parnu75-70
13/01/24Parnu v VEF Riga78-88
11/10/23VEF Riga v Parnu80-64
14/01/23VEF Riga v Parnu85-41
05/11/22Parnu v VEF Riga63-71
20/11/21Parnu v VEF Riga77-80
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HKeravnos65-86
07/11/26HVentspils89-80
04/11/26HSzczecin69-82
01/11/26HValmiera Glass Via76-74
28/10/26ANitra Blue Wings80-82
25/10/26HLatvijas Universitate91-77
22/10/26HVienna Basket86-69
17/10/26AVEF Riga72-89
13/10/26HNancy61-84
10/10/26HKeila KK70-75
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AVentspils96-85
11/11/26ALok. Plovdiv85-83
08/11/26AViimsi88-104
04/11/26AFribourg Olympic97-65
31/10/26HTartu Ulikool74-86
28/10/26HMykonos88-91
24/10/26AValmiera Glass Via97-89
21/10/26ACSM Oradea84-92
17/10/26HParnu89-72
14/10/26ANeftchi IK110-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%80%0%
Points / game78.980.475.0
Allowed / game78.175.884.0
Point differential+0.7+4.6-9.0
Avg total157.0156.2159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW80%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game90.287.892.6
Allowed / game76.067.884.2
Point differential+14.2+20.0+8.4
Avg total166.2155.6176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%80%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool85362%82.876.4+6.4
5 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
6 Tal Tech106460%73.773.8-0.1
7 Parnu74357%78.978.1+0.7
8 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet9090%70.391.1-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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