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Pato vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 91-64
20-16 29-19 22-12 20-17
Position#12
Record8-22
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game84.8
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#15
Record7-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game86.8
BrazilNBB
Other2022-23
Meetings · Pato v Brasilia
02 Apr 2026
PATO58
BRAS67
14 Mar 2025
PATO98
BRAS80
03 Nov 2023
PATO78
BRAS80
07 Apr 2023
PATO91
BRAS64
17 Feb 2022
PATO77
BRAS75
26 Jan 2021
PATO98
BRAS76
28 Oct 2019
PATO73
BRAS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A31/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
L
93-100
93
100
-7
A02/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H06/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
78-102
78
102
-24
A15/02
NBB
Cearense
#14
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H02/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#8
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H04/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A09/03
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
55-74
55
74
-19
A11/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H22/03
NBB
Minas
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A31/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
25-20
18-24
24-19
22-23
21-26
26-28
24-23
24-11
22-18
20-16
22-35
24-24
23-25
12-36
19-17
26-27
13-23
18-21
25-16
22-16
19-12
16-25
25-18
19-23
11-15
16-15
23-23
24-19
11-16
13-23
7-16
14-18
20-19
18-9
14-22
20-18
19-30
26-15
25-19
161.3Avg total
78.5Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.784.8161.6-8.127%
Season at home (14)74.382.0156.3-7.729%
Season away (16)78.987.3166.2-8.425%
Last 10 (10)78.582.8161.3-4.330%
Last 5 (5)72.474.2146.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)75.086.2161.2-11.315%
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.078.9155.9-1.943%
vs Weaker (3)88.089.3177.3-1.367%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#6
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A18/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H01/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
74-96
74
96
-22
H04/02
NBB
Minas
#4
L
79-110
79
110
-31
A17/02
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H02/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
94-100
94
100
-6
H04/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A10/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
75-109
75
109
-34
H23/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
L
74-92
74
92
-18
H30/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H04/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
13-26
25-27
28-14
20-17
17-21
22-28
19-22
24-28
19-12
17-31
14-25
15-32
21-28
24-19
19-31
25-14
19-20
31-15
11-16
19-21
26-27
22-18
27-34
29-24
11-31
21-14
11-19
12-27
21-17
18-30
24-35
9-24
26-26
19-22
20-20
20-27
23-18
18-24
11-18
171.6Avg total
78.7Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.686.8165.3-8.224%
Season at home (16)78.688.5167.1-9.912%
Season away (13)78.584.7163.2-6.238%
Last 10 (10)78.792.9171.6-14.210%
Last 5 (5)77.495.2172.6-17.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)77.690.9168.4-13.39%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.477.1159.6+5.371%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -5.0-5.0
PatoBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A31/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A02/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H06/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A15/02
NBB
Cearense
#14
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H02/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#8
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H04/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A09/03
NBB
Bauru
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A11/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H22/03
NBB
Minas
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A31/03
NBB
80.2Avg total
39.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.441.779.1-4.317%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.938.975.8-1.929%-
Last 30 away (16)37.844.281.9-6.46%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.880.2-1.420%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.273.0-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.440.577.9-3.120%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.741.977.6-6.114%-
vs Weaker (3)41.049.390.3-8.30%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#6
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A18/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H04/02
NBB
Minas
#4
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A17/02
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H02/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H04/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A10/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H23/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H30/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H04/04
NBB
85.3Avg total
38.6Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.545.585.0-6.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.544.284.8-3.838%-
Last 30 away (14)38.446.985.2-8.521%-
Last 10 (10)38.646.785.3-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)39.248.487.6-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)38.948.086.9-9.222%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.637.078.6+4.657%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pato wins
3
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
03/01/23Brasilia v Pato79-66
17/02/22Pato v Brasilia77-75
21/11/21Brasilia v Pato53-70
26/01/21Pato v Brasilia98-76
20/12/20Brasilia v Pato98-104 OT
13/01/20Brasilia v Pato76-73
28/10/19Pato v Brasilia73-76
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/23AMinas90-82
22/03/23HUniao Corinthians66-68
11/03/23ABauru55-74
09/03/23APinheiros69-76
04/03/23HUnifacisa82-71
02/03/23HCearense82-87
15/02/23ACorinthians Paulista78-102
06/02/23HCaxias do Sul88-80
02/02/23ARio Claro93-100
31/01/23AFranca82-88
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/23HFranca72-87
30/03/23HRio Claro74-92
23/03/23HFlamengo75-109
10/03/23ASao Paulo72-88
04/03/23HSao Jose94-100
02/03/23HCerrado86-65
17/02/23AMinas79-110
04/02/23HUniao Corinthians74-96
01/02/23HCaxias do Sul78-88
18/01/23APinheiros83-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW27%
HomeLWLWL29%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %27%29%25%
Points / game76.774.378.9
Allowed / game84.882.087.3
Point differential-8.1-7.7-8.4
Avg total161.6156.3166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%14%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Brasilia
NBB 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %24%12%38%
Points / game78.678.678.5
Allowed / game86.888.584.7
Point differential-8.2-9.9-6.2
Avg total165.3167.1163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%12%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca31310100%90.777.2+13.5
2 Flamengo3027390%84.669.0+15.5
3 Sao Paulo3021970%86.279.5+6.7
4 Minas31211068%86.378.7+7.6
5 Paulistano30191163%76.573.9+2.6
6 Pinheiros31191261%80.878.1+2.7
7 Bauru30171357%77.671.5+6.1
8 Corinthians Paulista30151550%81.079.6+1.4
9 Unifacisa32161650%77.779.4-1.8
10 Sao Jose31141745%80.982.6-1.8
11 Caxias do Sul30121840%73.776.1-2.3
12 Uniao Corinthians2992031%79.082.3-3.3
13 Cearense2982128%73.283.8-10.6
14 Pato3082227%76.784.8-8.1
15 Brasilia2972224%78.686.8-8.2
16 Rio Claro3072323%76.587.9-11.4
17 Cerrado2952417%82.192.6-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2029222091
Brasilia1619121764
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