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Pato vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 98-80
25-15 22-24 28-19 23-22
Position#14
Record9-18
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game85.0
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#6
Record18-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game79.6
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pato v Brasilia
02 Apr 2026
PATO58
BRAS67
14 Mar 2025
PATO98
BRAS80
03 Nov 2023
PATO78
BRAS80
07 Apr 2023
PATO91
BRAS64
17 Feb 2022
PATO77
BRAS75
26 Jan 2021
PATO98
BRAS76
28 Oct 2019
PATO73
BRAS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 74
H27/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
76-85
76
85
-9
68avg 74
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-80
67
80
-13
52avg 74
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 74
A13/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
78-65
78
65
+13
70avg 74
H20/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
70avg 74
H22/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
87avg 74
H05/02
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
86-98
86
98
-12
70avg 74
A14/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
76-91
76
91
-15
73avg 74
A16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
81-91
81
91
-10
67avg 74
A28/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
19-18
21-25
28-27
19-22
22-18
25-23
10-22
15-16
19-13
13-22
20-29
31-17
19-29
16-23
10-11
16-20
21-15
16-17
25-13
24-19
17-22
19-15
21-18
15-18
26-23
19-27
31-26
19-18
24-29
21-29
22-22
29-26
27-24
13-19
7-22
12-19
22-27
22-25
25-20
164.6Avg total
80.2Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.785.0166.7-3.333%
Season at home (14)84.982.4167.3+2.657%
Season away (13)78.287.8166.0-9.58%
Last 10 (10)80.284.4164.6-4.230%
Last 5 (5)83.089.6172.6-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.994.1178.0-10.212%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.180.2158.3-2.238%
vs Weaker (6)84.581.5166.0+3.050%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
79-94
79
94
-15
69avg 71
A11/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
71-89
71
89
-18
53avg 71
A13/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 71
H22/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#5
W
85-75
85
75
+10
83avg 71
H25/01
Super 8
Minas
#2
L
58-61
58
61
-3
47avg 71
A28/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-80
67
80
-13
61avg 71
A05/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
84-62
84
62
+22
73avg 71
A07/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
81avg 71
H12/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
95-71
95
71
+24
98avg 71
H14/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
72-70
72
70
+2
67avg 71
H26/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
18-18
21-20
17-28
17-28
25-17
14-27
15-17
9-15
18-14
21-13
26-28
24-18
21-21
20-16
20-20
10-17
18-18
15-7
15-19
20-20
20-11
11-26
16-23
26-21
14-9
29-15
15-17
21-20
20-14
12-21
30-22
25-16
24-22
27-20
19-13
19-21
21-22
18-14
14-13
151.7Avg total
76.8Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.179.6161.8+2.567%
Season at home (13)82.878.6161.5+4.285%
Season away (14)81.580.6162.1+0.950%
Last 10 (10)76.874.9151.7+1.960%
Last 5 (5)80.272.0152.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.879.4156.2-2.640%
vs Similar ◀ (17)82.380.2162.5+2.165%
vs Weaker (7)80.374.0154.3+6.386%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
PatoBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H27/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A13/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H05/02
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/02
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A16/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A28/02
NBB
82.7Avg total
41.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.682.1+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.439.580.9+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)41.741.783.3+0.053%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.982.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.088.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.845.487.1-3.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.838.678.4+1.156%-
vs Weaker (6)46.039.385.3+6.783%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A13/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H22/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H25/01
Super 8
Minas
#2
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A28/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A05/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A07/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H12/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H14/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H26/02
NBB
76.3Avg total
39.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.780.8+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.140.782.8+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)40.038.878.8+1.233%-
Last 10 (10)39.337.076.3+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.035.277.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.841.677.4-5.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.240.481.5+0.841%-
vs Weaker (7)44.037.081.0+7.057%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.1
47.5%
50.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.0
34.3%
33.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.312.3
75.5%
72.7%12.3
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.216.4
50.9%
50.9%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.79.8
30.9%
33.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.113.6
79.5%
72.7%13.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LLLLWWLLLW
Brasilia
WWWWLLWWLL
#14
League position
#6
-5.6
Net rating
+2.3
107.9
Offensive rating
103.0
113.5
Defensive rating
100.7
49.3%
Effective FG%
48.7%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
17.9%
Turnover %
14.1%
36.5%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.3%
3-point %
30.9%
59.8%
Assist %
62.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 103.0Defence113.5 · 100.7Shooting49.3% · 48.7%3-point %34.3% · 30.9%Ball care17.9% · 14.1%Off. rebounds36.5% · 21.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Pato   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Pato wins
4
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
16/12/24Brasilia v Pato98-94
06/01/24Brasilia v Pato65-77
03/11/23Pato v Brasilia78-80
07/04/23Pato v Brasilia91-64
03/01/23Brasilia v Pato79-66
17/02/22Pato v Brasilia77-75
21/11/21Brasilia v Pato53-70
26/01/21Pato v Brasilia98-76
20/12/20Brasilia v Pato98-104 OT
13/01/20Brasilia v Pato76-73
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25AFlamengo81-91
16/02/25ABotafogo76-91
14/02/25AVasco86-98
05/02/25HBauru91-94
22/01/25HUniao Corinthians81-74
20/01/25HCaxias do Sul78-65
13/01/25ACearense76-80
10/01/25AUnifacisa67-80
29/12/24HCorinthians Paulista76-85
27/12/24HPinheiros90-86
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25HPinheiros72-70
14/02/25HUniao Corinthians95-71
12/02/25HCaxias do Sul83-77
07/02/25ACearense84-62
05/02/25AUnifacisa67-80
28/01/25AMinas58-61
25/01/25HUniao Corinthians85-75
22/01/25HCorinthians Paulista74-70
13/01/25AMogi71-89
11/01/25ASao Jose79-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %33%57%8%
Points / game81.784.978.2
Allowed / game85.082.487.8
Point differential-3.3+2.6-9.5
Avg total166.7167.3166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %67%85%50%
Points / game82.182.881.5
Allowed / game79.678.680.6
Point differential+2.5+4.2+0.9
Avg total161.8161.5162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%15%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)88% (8)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2521484%82.271.6+10.6
2 Flamengo2620677%84.373.9+10.4
3 Brasilia2718967%82.179.6+2.5
4 Franca2516964%83.478.3+5.0
5 Bauru27161159%78.478.6-0.1
6 Vasco28161257%77.175.7+1.5
7 Uniao Corinthians25141156%78.579.0-0.6
8 Paulistano26131350%78.275.3+2.9
9 Pinheiros28141450%75.975.3+0.6
10 Sao Jose28141450%78.178.2-0.2
11 Unifacisa27131448%75.475.3+0.1
12 Corinthians Paulista28131546%80.179.3+0.8
13 Sao Paulo28111739%76.078.9-2.9
14 Caxias do Sul2691735%73.778.4-4.7
15 Pato2791833%81.785.0-3.3
16 Mogi2891932%74.181.0-6.9
17 Botafogo2781930%73.180.5-7.4
18 Cearense2882029%71.878.1-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2522282398
Brasilia1524192280
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