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Pato vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 78-80
15-20 25-22 17-12 21-26
Position#12
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game72.8
Pato
Brazil
vs
Brasilia 🏆
Brazil
Position#19
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game80.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi (Pato Branco)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pato v Brasilia
02 Apr 2026
PATO58
BRAS67
14 Mar 2025
PATO98
BRAS80
03 Nov 2023
PATO78
BRAS80
07 Apr 2023
PATO91
BRAS64
17 Feb 2022
PATO77
BRAS75
26 Jan 2021
PATO98
BRAS76
28 Oct 2019
PATO73
BRAS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Minas
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
A31/03
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
91-64
91
64
+27
no box
H07/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
H10/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
H18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
57-90
57
90
-33
no box
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
A23/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
66avg 68
A15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
79-71
79
71
+8
74avg 68
A24/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
62-71
62
71
-9
56avg 68
A27/10
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
83-65
83
65
+18
74avg 68
H31/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
19-30
26-15
25-19
20-16
29-19
22-12
20-17
28-26
19-21
23-23
28-21
14-11
24-13
18-25
26-21
18-19
13-17
19-28
7-26
14-16
22-34
21-17
21-25
17-23
22-15
12-26
20-20
23-15
17-17
25-22
14-17
23-22
19-18
11-13
9-18
24-16
18-15
16-22
25-12
157.1Avg total
79.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.872.8146.5+1.050%
Season at home (1)83.065.0148.0+18.0100%
Season away (3)70.775.3146.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)79.178.0157.1+1.160%
Last 5 (5)74.676.6151.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.984.2159.1-9.322%
vs Similar (8)81.675.1156.8+6.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)95.092.8187.8+2.275%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
94-100
94
100
-6
no box
H04/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
72-88
72
88
-16
no box
A10/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
75-109
75
109
-34
no box
H23/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
L
74-92
74
92
-18
no box
H30/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
no box
H04/04
NBB
Pato
#12
L
64-91
64
91
-27
no box
A07/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
71-113
71
113
-42
no box
A13/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
A15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
72-84
72
84
-12
59avg 75
H21/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
94-76
94
76
+18
91avg 75
H23/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
26-27
22-18
27-34
29-24
11-31
21-14
11-19
12-27
21-17
18-30
24-35
9-24
26-26
19-22
20-20
20-27
23-18
18-24
11-18
16-20
19-29
12-22
17-20
14-27
14-28
25-23
18-35
22-24
23-24
15-24
13-18
26-24
14-21
15-21
17-18
25-25
24-17
24-11
21-23
169.1Avg total
76.1Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.080.0163.0+3.050%
Season at home (2)83.080.0163.0+3.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.193.0169.1-16.910%
Last 5 (5)74.890.8165.6-16.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)78.591.3169.8-12.713%
vs Similar (7)80.981.3162.1-0.457%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -6.1-6.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -6.1-6.1
PatoBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A31/03
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H07/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H10/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A23/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A27/10
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H31/10
NBB
78.4Avg total
40.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.281.1-1.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.137.579.6+4.554%-
Last 30 away (17)38.244.082.2-5.818%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.178.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.278.0+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.040.279.2-1.233%-
vs Similar (8)39.440.179.5-0.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.847.892.5-3.025%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H04/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A10/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H23/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H30/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H04/04
NBB
Pato
#12
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A07/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A13/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A15/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H23/10
NBB
87.4Avg total
39.3Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.846.986.7-7.127%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.545.286.8-3.838%-
Last 30 away (14)37.948.786.6-10.914%-
Last 10 (10)39.348.187.4-8.810%-
Last 5 (5)39.447.887.2-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)39.448.688.0-9.222%-
vs Similar (7)41.141.182.3+0.043%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.015.2
52.6%
51.8%30.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.8
33.1%
33.9%32.2
🏀 Free throws14.29.5
66.7%
72.6%9.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.0
51.9%
51.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.5
36.5%
33.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.014.5
72.5%
72.6%14.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/2 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
WLWLLLWWWW
Brasilia
WLLLLLLLLL
#12
League position
#19
+0.0
Net rating
+6.4
101.8
Offensive rating
107.0
101.8
Defensive rating
100.6
51.0%
Effective FG%
53.1%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.0%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.1%
3-point %
36.5%
66.3%
Assist %
52.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 107.0Defence101.8 · 100.6Shooting51.0% · 53.1%3-point %33.1% · 36.5%Ball care19.7% · 18.0%Off. rebounds29.5% · 25.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Pato   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pato wins
3
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
07/04/23Pato v Brasilia91-64
03/01/23Brasilia v Pato79-66
17/02/22Pato v Brasilia77-75
21/11/21Brasilia v Pato53-70
26/01/21Pato v Brasilia98-76
20/12/20Brasilia v Pato98-104 OT
13/01/20Brasilia v Pato76-73
28/10/19Pato v Brasilia73-76
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/23HCerrado83-65
27/10/23AVasco62-71
24/10/23ABotafogo79-71
15/10/23AFlamengo71-84
23/04/23APaulistano78-92
21/04/23APaulistano57-90
18/04/23HPaulistano82-70
10/04/23HCerrado98-91
07/04/23HBrasilia91-64
31/03/23AMinas90-82
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/23HPinheiros94-76
21/10/23HCorinthians Paulista72-84
15/04/23ACorinthians Paulista73-90
13/04/23APaulistano71-113
07/04/23APato64-91
04/04/23HFranca72-87
30/03/23HRio Claro74-92
23/03/23HFlamengo75-109
10/03/23ASao Paulo72-88
04/03/23HSao Jose94-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game73.883.070.7
Allowed / game72.865.075.3
Point differential+1.0+18.0-4.7
Avg total146.5148.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game83.083.0-
Allowed / game80.080.0-
Point differential+3.0+3.0-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca220100%94.571.0+23.5
2 Unifacisa330100%79.762.7+17.0
3 Minas330100%85.068.7+16.3
4 Corinthians Paulista220100%75.565.0+10.5
5 Cearense330100%75.772.7+3.0
6 Vasco43175%68.265.5+2.8
7 Uniao Corinthians32167%76.372.7+3.7
8 Brasilia21150%83.080.0+3.0
9 Pato42250%73.872.8+1.0
10 Flamengo21150%77.079.0-2.0
11 Bauru42250%74.276.5-2.2
12 Pinheiros21150%72.578.0-5.5
13 Caxias do Sul31233%67.772.3-4.7
14 Paulistano31233%64.072.0-8.0
15 Sao Jose2020%70.075.0-5.0
16 Mogi2020%65.573.5-8.0
17 Botafogo4040%73.082.8-9.8
18 Cerrado3030%61.773.0-11.3
19 Sao Paulo3030%70.086.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1525172178
Brasilia2022122680
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